BullCityWx Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 23 minutes ago, rduwx said: I don't post much anymore but do still keep up with model runs during winter and I agree 100%. It doesn't always work out for us in the south so no guarantees but the players are on the field. It's been a while...LOL! We need you around man! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Starting to see the ECENS sort of pick up on something around New Years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 9 hours ago, strongwxnc said: So far the temps have been great this month. Worked outside the last two days taking down and putting up a horse fence. mid 40’s and cloudy. Works for me. This game is all about the wait round here. Going into my like 20th winter season on these inter webs. All we have is time in the SE. . It has been perfect temps for the most part. Great riding and training weather for the horses. Who am I kidding...great for me too 4 hours ago, griteater said: 12z CMC has a southern stream wave that tracks from central/southern California to Texas Dec 28-31, with snow and ice deep into TX and surface low in NW Gulf That looks really nice as we head into the heart of winter 33 minutes ago, rduwx said: I don't post much anymore but do still keep up with model runs during winter and I agree 100%. It doesn't always work out for us in the south so no guarantees but the players are on the field. It's been a while...LOL! OMG! I’ve missed your face 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 The Canadian sure does look interesting long range. Wouldn't take much to dislodge the PV from Russia and setup a huge trough over Central and eastern Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 So your saying we have a chance. Lol . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 So your saying we have a chance. Lol . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 hours ago, buckeyefan1 said: It has been perfect temps for the most part. Great riding and training weather for the horses. Who am I kidding...great for me too That looks really nice as we head into the heart of winter OMG! I’ve missed your face I've missed your face too! I hope you and the family are doing well! Now get us some snow! 2 hours ago, BullCityWx said: We need you around man! I like the pattern that's showing up right now so you'll be seeing more of me! I hope you're doing well man! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Control run of the Euro weeklies: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 12 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Control run of the Euro weeklies: Did we get one of those last year? Do not remember one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Euro weekly looks excellent for blocking all the way thru week 4! It’s just a matter of time before we score something. PAC isn’t great but as always will be out timing wave with cold high. Miller B’s more likely right now though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 38 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Control run of the Euro weeklies: Quite the contrast with the run before it. Hopefully it's onto something with the storm track sliding south a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 11 minutes ago, HKY1894 said: Euro weekly looks excellent for blocking all the way thru week 4! It’s just a matter of time before we score something. PAC isn’t great but as always will be out timing wave with cold high. Miller B’s more likely right now though. I would think with a -NAO and -AO but +EPO we could be seeing some SuperCADs possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 I would think with a -NAO and -AO but +EPO we could be seeing some SuperCADs possible.And patience is what is needed.. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Cold might catch up in time for some late flakes in the Triad on Christmas Eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 0zSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Gfs-para hinting of something around the 4th. A CAD event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nick Esasky Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Cold chasing moisture rarely pans out, but it makes for fun model watching 54 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 14 minutes ago, Nick Esasky said: Cold chasing moisture rarely pans out, but it makes for fun model watching 54 hours out. The models are currently trending toward a bit more vigorous trough passage. Keep that trend going, and you'll have flakes flying late on Christmas Eve and overnight in Atlanta / North GA / North Bama. Here's the 12z Canadian which is currently the most energetic with the trough, closing it off over TN. Temperatures really crash as it moves through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Disclaimer: Depending on changeovers along frontal boundaries hardly ever works in our favor in AL/GA, but the more robust trough helps our chances. Also the CMC looks nice with some backside snow showers into the morning of the 25th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 The long range GFS continues to be a train wreck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Disclaimer: Depending on changeovers along frontal boundaries hardly ever works in our favor in AL/GA, but the more robust trough helps out chances. Also the CMC looks nice with some backside snow showers into the morning of the 25th I would freaking crySent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 The long range GFS continues to be a train wreck It is the GFS, water is wet Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 It’s sad that all we can chase is a few snow flakes on Christmas for some(if you are lucky). We need some of this potential to go our way. #Cliff driver lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Been a longtime since we have seen this kind of negative NAO in January. Even though GFS wasn't great today, still feel like timeframe after New Year's has potential. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index_mrf.shtml 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Been a longtime since we have seen this kind of negative NAO in January. Even though GFS wasn't great today, still feel like timeframe after New Year's has potential. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index_mrf.shtml Models going to have to play catch up to the oscillations, been awhile since they were this negative and have to adjust to itSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 January 3rd-7th has potential no matter what any models verbatim output is at this range. I’m super optimistic for whole month of January. This is not the same as last few winters. NAM state most favorable we’ve seen in a decade. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 The long range Euro looks crappy too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 The long range Euro looks crappy tooThat's why we look at the ensembles Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 The Pacific is screwing everything up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Good lordSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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