BornAgain13 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 10:48 PM, HKY1894 said: Christmas night snowstorm on happy hour gfs ...........we take Expand That would be amazing!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 pattern looks awesome for a threat around that time... all the models have a nice cold blast... just need a disturbance to roll through on it's heels. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 11:02 PM, burrel2 said: pattern looks awesome for a threat around that time... all the models have a nice cold blast... just need a disturbance to roll through on it's heels. Expand Looks like that one on the 18z GFS is a stalling front with low pressure developing and bringing the goods.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 11:02 PM, burrel2 said: pattern looks awesome for a threat around that time... all the models have a nice cold blast... just need a disturbance to roll through on it's heels. Expand NCPC mentioned this in today’s 7-14 day hazard outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Merry Christmas Everyone! . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Heavy snowstorm (15-20 inches in rdu) temps in 20’s, freezing line at the coast, on Christmas??? Weenie run of the decade 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 The most anticipated GFS run of year 2020 incoming 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 1:27 AM, NorthHillsWx said: Heavy snowstorm (15-20 inches in rdu) temps in 20’s, freezing line at the coast, on Christmas??? Weenie run of the decade Expand You know as long as we are talking about Weenie fantasies, I think I'd rather have this dream scenario on Christmas Eve, or maybe even Dec 23rd. I think I enjoy the lead up to Christmas more than Christmas itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 How's the 0z gfs looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Nevermind ugh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Shows a big time cold shot at least. That's step 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Even with significant changes, seems a rather cold Christmas Day is coming into focus, no matter the set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 12:42 AM, jjwxman said: Merry Christmas Everyone! . Expand That will be a severe threat within a few days Obviously we have to get out of fantasy range to get excited. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 12:40 PM, eyewall said: That will be a severe threat within a few days Obviously we have to get out of fantasy range to get excited. Expand No doubt. Cold on Christmas would do for most. But this is nice to look at for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 32 degree high on Christmas at RDU per Euro. yowzers! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 1:35 PM, StantonParkHoya said: 32 degree high on Christmas at RDU per Euro. yowzers! Expand I’d take it at least feeling like winter and call it a win 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 1:35 PM, StantonParkHoya said: 32 degree high on Christmas at RDU per Euro. yowzers! Expand I’ll take it. Could mean staying in 20s in Triad. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 12:40 PM, eyewall said: That will be a severe threat within a few days Obviously we have to get out of fantasy range to get excited. Expand Yeah, we know that will never happen. Why do we do this to ourselves? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I fully expect to zero out on snow in Raleigh this year so cold for Christmas will have to do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Looking at a blend of the models, it looks like a quick shot of cold air then warming back up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 9:34 PM, wncsnow said: Looking at a blend of the models, it looks like a quick shot of cold air then warming back up.. Expand Figures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Happy Hour GFS brought the goods again. Not as expansive as last night but still an event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/17/2020 at 12:01 AM, BullCityWx said: Happy Hour GFS brought the goods again. Not as expansive as last night but still an event. Expand 2 days later and only about an inch or 2. It will disappear next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Marginal temps 11 days out. What could go wrong? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/17/2020 at 1:16 AM, Grayman said: Marginal temps 11 days out. What could go wrong? Expand Warm nose,, other wise Bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Looking at the GEFS ensembles, there’s 7/20 members showing at least a trace of snow on Christmas. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 That is three runs in a row with a piece of energy rounding the base of the trough on Christmas Day. If it happens, it should enhance the snow in the mountains plus give some snow shower action east of the mountains. I doubt it’ll amount to much but considering I’ve seen snow on two of the forty christmases I’ve had on earth, I wouldn’t bitch if it happened. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/17/2020 at 2:05 AM, BullCityWx said: Looking at the GEFS ensembles, there’s 7/20 members showing at least a trace of snow on Christmas. 4/20 down my way as well, and after seeing flurries last night, it got me in that "I'm Dreaming of a White Christmas" moodSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 12z EURO with a High of 27 here on Christmas Day... Ouch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On both the GFS and Euro it is cold chasing the moisture with it primarily being a FROPA. That is the kiss of death for the NC Piedmont. It almost NEVER works out. The GFS tries to develop a surface low but it is barely there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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