PackGrad05 Posted November 22, 2020 Share Posted November 22, 2020 1 hour ago, yotaman said: This may be the 1st November in quite a while that we didn't have a freeze. Don't see anything in the near future to change that. Depressing. Didn't y'all hit 32 a couple days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Flash* Posted November 22, 2020 Share Posted November 22, 2020 Euro trends are encouraging. While I won't hold my breath, it's nice to see blue shades close to home. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 22, 2020 Share Posted November 22, 2020 Euro trends are encouraging. While I won't hold my breath, it's nice to see blue shades close to home. Good start. Something to watch . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 22, 2020 Share Posted November 22, 2020 Sure wish the dry season would kick in. Here it is middle of November still raining on a regular basis. Usually from May to October is our wet season. But from post above. Looks like a wet dry season in store. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted November 22, 2020 Share Posted November 22, 2020 14 hours ago, PackGrad05 said: Didn't y'all hit 32 a couple days ago? Inland most likely but not in mby. I hit 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 I'm feeling better about this winter. A change to La Nina will finally switch things up a bit and hopefully our long-departed -NAO will return this season. Also, come this time next year I'll likely be a few mile further NE in Mt Ulla ! Watch out @NC_hailstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 19 hours ago, Wow said: I'm feeling better about this winter. A change to La Nina will finally switch things up a bit and hopefully our long-departed -NAO will return this season. Also, come this time next year I'll likely be a few mile further NE in Mt Ulla ! Watch out @NC_hailstorm My wife and I are hoping to move to the foothills early next year. Anywhere from Morganton to Mt Airy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 19 hours ago, Wow said: I'm feeling better about this winter. A change to La Nina will finally switch things up a bit and hopefully our long-departed -NAO will return this season. Also, come this time next year I'll likely be a few mile further NE in Mt Ulla ! Watch out @NC_hailstorm We're moving to NW Durham County(edge of the city) and hoping that makes a difference for us. I still remember that event a few years ago where you had snow at your house, I had sleet in Davidson and it was just raining in Huntersville. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 1 hour ago, BullCityWx said: We're moving to NW Durham County(edge of the city) and hoping that makes a difference for us. I still remember that event a few years ago where you had snow at your house, I had sleet in Davidson and it was just raining in Huntersville. The closer to Caswell/ Person county the better. It doesn't really seem like it. But there is a 200-300 ft + difference in elevation between southern Durham County and Northern Person County going towards Danville. That and alot less concrete and asphalt. Remember 85 is magical snow line Roxboro is at 715 feet. Person County in general is 600+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 GFS trying hard on picking up a cold cut off upper low setup for the SE. Around or before December 5. Maybe the first true upslope setup for the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 21 hours ago, Wow said: I'm feeling better about this winter. A change to La Nina will finally switch things up a bit and hopefully our long-departed -NAO will return this season. Also, come this time next year I'll likely be a few mile further NE in Mt Ulla ! Watch out @NC_hailstorm Sure come on up get away from all the terrible Mooresville traffic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 Anyways,my two cents on winter.Good and Bad. Good: There's always a 3 to 4 year lag on low solar/sunspots so just coming into that,blocking Ascending phase of the solar cycle,blocking QBO-Bad now could be good soon very deceiving only a small patch of westerlies is at the equator with EQBO forecasted to push down to 30mb.Weakens PV.blocking. BAD ENSO- La Lina Usually southeast ridging .west trough. Gulf Stream-Tick better than last year but still not good.Looking for colder waters from Newfoundland/Nova Scotia/down to NC,Warm around Greenland..NAO is what you look at here. About it . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Kevin Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 5 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: Anyways,my two cents on winter.Good and Bad. Good: There's always a 3 to 4 year lag on low solar/sunspots so just coming into that,blocking Ascending phase of the solar cycle,blocking QBO-Bad now could be good soon very deceiving only a small patch of westerlies is at the equator with EQBO forecasted to push down to 30mb.Weakens PV.blocking. BAD ENSO- La Lina Usually southeast ridging .west trough. Gulf Stream-Tick better than last year but still not good.Looking for colder waters from Newfoundland/Nova Scotia/down to NC,Warm around Greenland..NAO is what you look at here. About it . Got a question. Mike ventrice tweeted the +qbo is downwelling into the 100mb level. Any idea what that really means? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 Looks right it is forecasted to push to 100mb.Everything I read is you want easterly at 30mb maybe he wants it at 100mb too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 ICON has some borderline snow showers across the piedmont of NC/SC. Probably just eye candy but hey, not bad for 12/1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 Some fairly decent totals for the hills: Boone to Murphy 3-4" with higher totals in the ski areas. .5-1" totals in and around CLT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 The GFS starts off December with nine freeze days in a row. A marked change from last yr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 12z GFSE has a massive +PNA, -NAO and neutral EPO according to the charts. It would seem like the charts peak in our favor around 12/3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 Tons of potential with this set up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 The 12z Euro OP is WAY inland compared to it's ensemble members by about 500 miles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 cutters gonna cut 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 43 minutes ago, eyewall said: cutters gonna cut Honestly you cant say for sure. Neither can I. Its 2020 after all. Jan 25 2000 redux maybe in store. 20 years later. I'm torn between laughing at you and giving you a weenie. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 12 minutes ago, FLweather said: Honestly you cant say for sure. Neither can I. Its 2020 after all. Jan 25 2000 redux maybe in store. 20 years later. I'm torn between laughing at you and giving you a weenie. Anything before thanksgiving gets a laugh. After that weenies are in order. Lets get this southern jet fired up asap. I'm liking my chances already! (Laughter is appropriate here) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 hour ago, FLweather said: Honestly you cant say for sure. Neither can I. Its 2020 after all. Jan 25 2000 redux maybe in store. 20 years later. I'm torn between laughing at you and giving you a weenie. Would be great to see that hopefully we can get in the snow this year ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 3 hours ago, BullCityWx said: The 12z Euro OP is WAY inland compared to it's ensemble members by about 500 miles. And so it begins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 Welcome back y'all 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clemsonlady Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 Haha in regards to welcome back! I love snow watches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 May all of us here in the SE forum have a happy holidays, a safe holidays, and a snowful new year starting with next week Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 About as good as one can expect for the beginning of December. We'll see if it bears fruit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 1 hour ago, BullCityWx said: About as good as one can expect for the beginning of December. We'll see if it bears fruit. Very nice to see that +PNA!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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