frazdaddy Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 31 minutes ago, eyewall said: I stand by my call that RDU zeros out this winter. Probably a good call , Plum trees are in full bloom in Cary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Pivotal added what is, IMO, the second best model(UKMET). 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Saturday STJ wave is the most interesting looking one I've seen this year so far (that's not saying much). The 12z NAM at 84 hours has this system much more cutoff over the southwest. The thicknesses are supportive of snow/rain. Only issue could be the boundary layer conditions being too warm.If we could trend this a bit strong aloft/more cutoff, it would manufacture some cold air. Something to watch. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 11 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Saturday STJ wave is the most interesting looking one I've seen this year so far (that's not saying much). The 12z NAM at 84 hours has this system much more cutoff over the southwest. The thicknesses are supportive of snow/rain. Only issue could be the boundary layer conditions being too warm.If we could trend this a bit strong aloft/more cutoff, it would manufacture some cold air. Something to watch. I hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveRDU Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 3 hours ago, eyewall said: I stand by my call that RDU zeros out this winter. When was the last time that happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Hey btw, Pivotal Weather now has UKmet maps... surface and upper air. I'm sure the free days are numbered... but maybe not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Here's Pivotal Weather's UKmet sounding for Saturday over GSO with total QPF of around 0.4"... so very close. This kills me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 hour ago, SteveRDU said: When was the last time that happened? I have been trying to find a comprehensive list of past seasons but I know it has happened on multiple occasions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 hour ago, SteveRDU said: When was the last time that happened? '05-06 was just a trace. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gearhead302 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 16 hours ago, Orangeburgwx said: Ensembles continue to target between the 7th-10th, couple of juicers in there too Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk How many 10 day out storms have verified this year? This will be gone by thursday and, I'd be willing to bet a sizable amount of money. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Credit: WFMY 2. This is for the GSO reporting location, we move into 5th place tomorrow. How in the heck did we survive the early 90’s... geez. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 15 minutes ago, jjwxman said: Credit: WFMY 2. This is for the GSO reporting location, we move into 5th place tomorrow. How in the heck did we survive the early 90’s... geez. 2nd or 3rd place may be in jeopardy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 At least this fantasy storm is at hour 240 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpstateSCGamecock Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 At least this fantasy storm is at hour 240 We know the faults of the GFS but it’s shown this storm signal for this date multiple times. Can we finally score? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 18 hours ago, SteveRDU said: When was the last time that happened? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 41 minutes ago, UpstateSCGamecock said: We know the faults of the GFS but it’s shown this storm signal for this date multiple times. Can we finally score? . 1 hour ago, JoshM said: At least this fantasy storm is at hour 240 well here we go with the 10 days out thing again. why couldn't this be showing for this Friday and Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 31 minutes ago, Isopycnic said: We've had a TRACE this year? Must have missed that. Guess I didn't chase the trace. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 hour ago, JoshM said: At least this fantasy storm is at hour 240 There have been many ,many runs of the gfs with a storm around this time(6/7th) Thats is the best look yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 7 hours ago, eyewall said: 2nd or 3rd place may be in jeopardy 8 hours ago, jjwxman said: Credit: WFMY 2. This is for the GSO reporting location, we move into 5th place tomorrow. How in the heck did we survive the early 90’s... geez. Not sure I'm buying #1. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 38 minutes ago, tarheelwx said: Not sure I'm buying #1. TW I was skeptical but it's a fact according to Past Events - NWS Raleigh, NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 47 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: There have been many ,many runs of the gfs with a storm around this time(6/7th) Thats is the best look yet! trouble is where will the cold air come from, that's been the problem all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 hour ago, tarheelwx said: Not sure I'm buying #1. TW I lived through it. It's real. Had a winter storm warning in Jan 1992 that ended up being a virga storm. But yeah, it was a rough period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 hour ago, CaryWx said: We've had a TRACE this year? Must have missed that. Guess I didn't chase the trace. November 12th. Rain/snow line was right over RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 The odds continue to increase for a snowless winter for most of the southeast. I would put the odds of a trace or less of snow for Charlotte, GSP, Raleigh and GSO at 70%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 hour ago, Tacoma said: trouble is where will the cold air come from, that's been the problem all winter. The cold is coming according to the GFS, after the 4th or 5th, so fresh cold air, low developing on the front, bingo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 hour ago, Tacoma said: trouble is where will the cold air come from, that's been the problem all winter. Verbatim, temps are in the mid 20s over the upstate and CLT, while we are getting plastered with snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Verbatim, temps are in the mid 20s over the upstate and CLT, while we are getting plastered with snow! Just now, mackerel_sky said: Verbatim, temps are in the mid 20s over the upstate and CLT, while we are getting plastered with snow! what date are you referring to ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 what date are you referring to ? 2/7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, strongwxnc said: 2/7 . Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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