Extreme NEGA Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Not even excited about this with the way this winter has gone but things can change right lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 18z GFS to warm again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 33 minutes ago, FLweather said: Hard to say. More consolidation imo at h5. 18z 12z Very evident 3 pieces of energy Others are better at this but I think the 12z looks better. It's a tick SW with a sharper western trough. Then there's the energy over VA on the 12z that is much less consolidated and weaker on the 18z. I beleive that would be the peice that helps with the cold press as well as keeping the main low further south. My guess is it would end up warmer and further north on the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 WPC for next weekend already seeing the opportunity. Although it's a low chance for now , at least the possibility exists.Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 18z GFS to warm again...NW trend factoring in there... Now the LP was over Savannah Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Crickets in here and now I see why after seeing the 18z. Nothing but rain and no cold air to be found through day 10. After that not even worth looking at. This winter can't end quick enough. What a damn disaster. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Agree waiting on snow. What a dumpster fire . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 9 minutes ago, Waiting on snow said: Crickets in here and now I see why after seeing the 18z. Nothing but rain and no cold air to be found through day 10. After that not even worth looking at. This winter can't end quick enough. What a damn disaster. Well good news for you; you don't have to wait for it to end, it never started! 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 30 minutes ago, Waiting on snow said: Crickets in here and now I see why after seeing the 18z. Nothing but rain and no cold air to be found through day 10. After that not even worth looking at. This winter can't end quick enough. What a damn disaster. Don’t y’all know, the great pattern is coming mid February! The pattern is looking great! -NAO, big PNA ridge, PV split! Fab Feb incoming, and March 1960 redux! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 If we get something, I don't think it will be something we track from Day 10. I think it'll pop up in the 5-6 day range and we reel it in from there. I've abandoned even looking at the Day 10 models bc they flip flop so much. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 0z ICON Hammers I-81 with 12-18" of snow. But a very sharp cut off to the east... where it's mainly rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 0z Icon Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 FWIW ICON has been an absolute crush job for the 81 corridor back into the NW NC mountains. Granted it is the ICON but it has been known to have scored a coup or two in the past and has the backing of the Euro and to a lesser extent the GFS (but only because of temp issues). Pretty big signal between models that next weekend someone will be skiing or swimming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 0z ICON Hammers I-81 with 12-18" of snow. But a very sharp cut off to the east... where it's mainly rain. Lmao just beat me to it. Was typing as you were posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Just now, Buddy1987 said: FWIW ICON has been an absolute crush job for the 81 corridor back into the NW NC mountains. Granted it is the ICON but it has been known to have scored a coup or two in the past and has the backing of the Euro and to a lesser extent the GFS (but only because of temp issues). Pretty big signal between models that next weekend someone will be skiing or swimming. Would love to see that snow line go 50-75 miles more east.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 What happened to the Brazilian? That’s my go to model back in the day! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckfever2 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 What is it looking like for Georgia for the February 2nd event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 26, 2020 Author Share Posted January 26, 2020 Keep the BS in the banter thread. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckfever2 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckfever2 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 1 minute ago, RT1980 said: For certain posters though right? 3 minutes ago, jburns said: Keep the BS in the banter thread. Who was that meant for I'm not understanding? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Just now, Buckfever2 said: Who was that meant for I'm not understanding? It means no one cares about your backyard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 26, 2020 Author Share Posted January 26, 2020 1 minute ago, Buckfever2 said: Who was that meant for I'm not understanding? It wasn’t meant for you. I deleted the posts in question. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 The GFS has a monster storm Saturday! Big rainer, even in the mountains, and low tracking through TN, only about 500 miles w of 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Not even saying this because I'm wish casting but GFS has been atrocious with next weekend's storm. It has a different solution it seems almost every Zulu run. Now has cutter up into southern Ohio. Wont buy it until Euro and other models show something similar. Euro Canadian and Icon all in a similar camp compared to GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 @Buddy1987 if I remember correctly, they built the German model using either code or something from the euro model, which explains how it usually follows its lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Just now, Queencitywx said: @Buddy1987 if I remember correctly, they built the German model using either code or something from the euro model, which explains how it usually follows its lead. Makes sense then. Be honest man with the way the winter has been it's great to see for the time being and I'd rather be in the euro camp with this years trends etc bc the GFS has been the euro's biatch. Knocking on wood as we speak so I dont jinx the 0z Euro run. Hopefully GEFS improved because there were some decent hits at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 This is valid for close to back home(Cherryville) on the ICON: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 The progression of next weekends storm system on the 00z GFS was very weird. At hr 138 it has the LP center just west of Tampa, FL. Then at 142 it has the LP center over Nashville, TN. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Just now, RT1980 said: To get back to weather, what are the trends for the following week in everyone’s opinion? It’s not far off if you believe the better modeling. It’s well within error range at this point to end up with something. Probably less than a 30% chance but that’s the best odds all winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, RT1980 said: To get back to weather, what are the trends for the following week in everyone’s opinion? Gut shot would say anyone north and west of I40 would have the best odds we've had in a very long time. GGEM has been furthest south and more of a swing and a miss. GFS is and has been the most amped and Euro and ICON have been best case scenarios for a couple runs for the northern folks of the forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now