Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Feb. 1st LP was closer to the coast and a full 6mb deeperSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 953mb Nor'easter...Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 3:48 PM, Queencitywx said: Expand Wow at that upstate cutoff! Mostly elevation depedant there, but goes from 8 inches to absolutely nothing in like 15 miles. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Snow in N. Alabama, extreme NW Ga, Eastern Tenn., and along the NC mountains at hr258Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 The Feb 1st storm looks even better! Track closer to the coast, still no cold air! A nice Miller A , in late Jan/Early Feb, and we rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Anyone have GEFS ensemble members snow totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 4:50 PM, mackerel_sky said: The Feb 1st storm looks even better! Track closer to the coast, still no cold air! A nice Miller A , in late Jan/Early Feb, and we rain Expand It comes with the territory when you’ve got a juiced up STJ. Rain, and lots of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 5:04 PM, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: Anyone have GEFS ensemble members snow totals?GEFS only out to hr234, but there is one beefer that matches the ICON... (and will make [mention=7528]mackerel_sky[/mention] cry) Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Fellas, I don't remember seeing the Ukie model mentioned a single time this year; do you guys ever look at it anymore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Would love to see the EURO have a look like the ICON... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 5:04 PM, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: Anyone have GEFS ensemble members snow totals? Expand 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 5:11 PM, Iceagewhereartthou said: Fellas, I don't remember seeing the Ukie model mentioned a single time this year; do you guys ever look at it anymore? Hasn't updated since the 21st Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 It is just ensemble number 6, but it lines up with the CMC/ICON but more juiced (and yes Mack you get in on the dinner) https://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/GEFS/2020012512/SE/GEFSSE_prec_snens_210.png Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 5:22 PM, Orangeburgwx said: It is just ensemble number 6, but it lines up with the CMC/ICON but more juiced (and yes Mack you get in on the dinner) https://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/GEFS/2020012512/SE/GEFSSE_prec_snens_210.png Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Expand 0.1 imby! Yessssssssssss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 The GFS is closer than you’d think to a snowier solution along 40. HKY/INT/GSO is just about a degree away from a potentially wet snow. That is well within error range. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 5:49 PM, mackerel_sky said: 0.1 imby! Yessssssssssss Expand What a storm signal! How will I ever shovel all that GEFS snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 The 12z Euro has the storm as well. But it’s slower with the system and the warmest model right now. Lots of time for adjustments. I’m just glad we have a system all the global models are picking up on. Might be the first time this season. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 That's a great track on the 12z EURO but just not enough cold air... kinda crazy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 There are several times in the last few runs where big things could happen, I think we cash in, maybe even a few times... This is so close to being a big deal for most of NC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 The 12z EURO is a 34 degree cold rain in mby , with heavy snow and 32 degrees just to the northwest... still time to hopefully get a little more cold weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 7:07 PM, BornAgain13 said: The 12z EURO is a 34 degree cold rain in mby , with heavy snow and 32 degrees just to the northwest... still time to hopefully get a little more cold weather. Expand Both the GFS and Euro were very close to being a big event. I like where we are currently. Lots of time for adjustments... hopefully colder adjustments. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 There is nothing to see next weekend outside the mountains folks. Where would it get colder air from? A phase? Good luck with that in the se and maintain a favorable track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 5:56 PM, Queencitywx said: The GFS is closer than you’d think to a snowier solution along 40. HKY/INT/GSO is just about a degree away from a potentially wet snow. That is well within error range. Expand Feels like we always error to a degree warmer than shown and end with 33/34 rain... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 5:22 PM, Orangeburgwx said: It is just ensemble number 6, but it lines up with the CMC/ICON but more juiced (and yes Mack you get in on the dinner) https://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/GEFS/2020012512/SE/GEFSSE_prec_snens_210.png Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Expand Interesting member. I would be curious to see the storm setup for that member. The only way far western upstate (Oconee/Pickens) and NEGA can bullseye like that is with an intensifying storm that tracks too far West to give the 1-77 or I-95 corridors much, and tracks up the coast (Noreaster). Think Jan 96 or even March 93. Its probably the most unlikely scenario and yet it's bascially the only one that gives that area anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 18z ICON looked like it was heading for another good run , but 18z only runs to 120 hrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 9:39 PM, BornAgain13 said: 18z ICON looked like it was heading for another good run , but 18z only runs to 120 hrs. Expand H5 definitely different from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 9:42 PM, FLweather said: H5 definitely different from 12z. Expand In a good way or bad way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 9:43 PM, BornAgain13 said: In a good way or bad way? Expand Hard to say. More consolidation imo at h5. 18z 12z Very evident 3 pieces of energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 7:34 PM, Waiting on snow said: There is nothing to see next weekend outside the mountains folks. Where would it get colder air from? A phase? Good luck with that in the se and maintain a favorable track. Expand You know, it’ll make its own cold air! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 On 1/25/2020 at 7:12 PM, jjwxman said: Both the GFS and Euro were very close to being a big event. I like where we are currently. Lots of time for adjustments... hopefully colder adjustments. Expand How many times do we actually see SE/colder corrections of storms? Really? Christmas 2010?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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