NorthHillsWx Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 54 minutes ago, LithiaWx said: GFs still very interesting for GA and western NC. 2/1 Yea, 2/1 snow ratios for someone in the mountains too... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: Yea, 2/1 snow ratios for someone in the mountains too... Here in the foothills the extracted 12Z GFS data has great 925/850 before, during (however) rises above and torches around 5 degree and back to below 0 as the moisture leaves.... Total of 1:04" So close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 2 hours ago, wncsnow said: It does have our storm the GFS is showing and is another closer call but rain for most Yep, the real cold is still locked up in Canada during this time. If the GFS is to be trusted, it shows a pretty good push of cold air south from Canada but not until the after this storm has passed. Still, something to keep an eye on as well as the following week (1st week of Feb.) with cold on the move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 14 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said: Yep, the real cold is still locked up in Canada during this time. If the GFS is to be trusted, it shows a pretty good push of cold air south from Canada but not until the after this storm has passed. Still, something to keep an eye on as well as the following week (1st week of Feb.) with cold on the move. Go figure, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Can someone explain what the CFS model is? It’s showing big snow in roughly 280 to 300. Yes I am a desperate weenie but trying to learn what this model even does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 48 minutes ago, Grayman said: Can someone explain what the CFS model is? It’s showing big snow in roughly 280 to 300. Yes I am a desperate weenie but trying to learn what this model even does Basically, just disregard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Can someone explain what the CFS model is? It’s showing big snow in roughly 280 to 300. Yes I am a desperate weenie but trying to learn what this model even does “Climate Forecast System (CFS)An animation of CFSR global atmospheric precipitable water for March 1–15, 1993, in 12-hourly intervalsAn animated image of CFSR global atmospheric precipitable water for March 1–15, 1993, in 12-hourly intervals. (One-hourly CFSR data was down-sampled to every 12 hours to keep image size down.) This image was produced with the Grid Analysis and Display System and ImageMagick.The Climate Forecast System (CFS) is a model representing the global interaction between Earth's oceans, land, and atmosphere. Produced by several dozen scientists under guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), this model offers hourly data with a horizontal resolution down to one-half of a degree (approximately 56 km) around Earth for many variables. CFS uses the latest scientific approaches for taking in, or assimilating, observations from data sources including surface observations, upper air balloon observations, aircraft observations, and satellite observations.”https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/model-data/model-datasets/climate-forecast-system-version2-cfsv2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 3km nam not looking good this weekend. For upslope snow for the mountains. Looks like tstorms/squall line for SC,NC,Va. Not liking the looks. Summer maybe dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 1 minute ago, FLweather said: 3km nam not looking good this weekend. For upslope snow for the mountains. Looks like tstorms/squall line for SC,NC,Va. The Upslope part that we are eyeing doesnt start til Sunday. *edit: Saturday evening into sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 The Canadian trying to toss us a bone. 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downtownRAL Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Over past 3 months, the Canadian model has moved ahead of the U.S. NOAA global weather model in skill metrics. https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1219601429045895170 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 On 1/21/2020 at 2:35 PM, Lookout said: Well tried as hard as I could to see flakes this morning but alas only managed virga. Its beyond sad and embarrassing that winter sucks so much that it I have to resort to that. I guess the next sad excuse/fail for winter weather.... is there could be a little sleet at the start of precip thur evening due to dry low to mid levels before our exciting mid to upper 30s rain slams us. Looks like some sleet and even snow fell for a brief period at the start in parts of west ga with the heaviest stuff...from around Carrollton to the north. As expected though it's been brief with a quick changeover to rain. The way this year is going they should consider themselves lucky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 17 minutes ago, Lookout said: Looks like some sleet and even snow fell for a brief period at the start in parts of west ga with the heaviest stuff...from around Carrollton to the north. As expected though it's been brief with a quick changeover to rain. The way this year is going they should consider themselves lucky. Yes, any non liquid outside of favored areas should be lucky to see anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 2/1 still has potential per 12z GFS. The track is way too far inland, but there is a high in the Maine area and a robust storm cutting across the SE. On the bright side, the storm doesn't cut west of the Apps, which is a change of pace already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Pattern is loaded as we head into February!!☃️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 180hr icon appears to be setting up for a phasing trough that produces a gulf monster with hp locked in over New England. Cold air is marginal though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Ensembles 19 threw down one hell of a haymaker... Large portion from Texas to Both Carolinas getting 5"+ from the 6th-8th (haven't seem that in weeks)Shorter term (the 1st), only 3/20 ensembles have snow for NC/SC outside the mountainsSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said: Pattern is loaded as we head into February!!☃️ Yeah, still rainstorms every 3-5 days!! Loaded! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 1 hour ago, Orangeburgwx said: Ensembles 19 threw down one hell of a haymaker... Large portion from Texas to Both Carolinas getting 5"+ from the 6th-8th (haven't seem that in weeks) Shorter term (the 1st), only 3/20 ensembles have snow for NC/SC outside the mountains Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk wishing your life away 10 days at a time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 wishing your life away 10 days at a time. Better than watching torch 10 months at a time Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gearhead302 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 2 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: Yeah, still rainstorms every 3-5 days!! Loaded! A tale as old as time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Tracking fantasy storms is still better than having nothing to watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 141 years ago, the weather was still the same! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 0z CMC with some snow for western and central NC Thursday still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpstateSCGamecock Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Euro Feb 2 WNC Bomb . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 0z EURO with a Wacko run! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 3 hours ago, BornAgain13 said: 0z EURO with a Wacko run! Can you provide specifics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpstateSCGamecock Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Can you provide specifics?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 1 hour ago, UpstateSCGamecock said: . That's one crazy wind field. If that happens, better get your generator ready..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 11 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said: That's one crazy wind field. If that happens, better get your generator ready..... The way it has been lately. It will turn to rain,No need to worry... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now