CaryWx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Wow, Does the ECMWF look similar in the same time frame? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 5 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Wow, Does the ECMWF look similar int he same time frame? Not the 0z OP run (12z still coming in) but the EPS is similar with large HP overhead and a weak area low LP off the east coast. Good enough for now. BTW here is the mean MSLP on teh GEFS at 264 hrs. Nice overrunning type event here: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 That's a pretty good spot looks like for the LP and a sorta/kinda banana HP look too maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 1 hour ago, CustomWX said: Most beautiful ensemble run since December 2018. Nearly half of the members are big dogs I’ll take a p2/p14 blend, and never post again! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: I’ll take a p2/p14 blend, and never post again! Did you mean p2/p13? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Is a 3-4” mean on the GEFS good? Asking for a friend!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Just now, cbmclean said: Did you mean p2/p13? P02/19 , my bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 9 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Is a 3-4” mean on the GEFS good? Asking for a friend!? Idk. I’m still waiting on my ensemble snow from last year. Teleconnections for said time frame are looking $$$ though. Hard to not get a little excited 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 When does the EPS come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 I think we are close to having the EURO OP on board, little better cold push than 12z yesterday... image below is for d9Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Looking at the Mid Atlantic boards talk about the EPS , looks really really good similar to GEFS after next weekend.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 If things still look the way they do in a few days , we will really start seeing some fantasy snows on the GFS and EURO OP.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: Looking at the Mid Atlantic boards talk about the EPS , looks really really good similar to GEFS after next weekend.... The EPS doesn't look as good as the GEFS for sure, but we'll see how things play out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 1 hour ago, Orangeburgwx said: I think we are close to having the EURO OP on board, little better cold push than 12z yesterday... image below is for d9 Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Nice cold chasing moisture look! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Just my two cents on the upcoming possible pattern change; love the trends and we've certainly waited for our turn. Couple things I'm looking for; really interested to see where the southeast ridge and resulting storm track sets up; that's been a huge deal breaker for us for years now. Lots of Highs showing up on maps for that time period, as many as 6 or 7 on some maps. That would really lend itself to overrunning Miller A types which would help more of the board, so lets see if that continues. Also, I'm temepering any excitement until at least Wed of next week. Let's get the time period within 5 days to get a better sense of where we're heading. Track on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 4 hours ago, griteater said: GEFS 5 day avg loop from days 8-12 to days 12-16 Very nice. I love how through the whole time referenced the west coast ridge axis and east coast trough axis just sits there in the perfect spot. Pretty much opposite of the last 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 18z GFS is craptastic! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 OP keeps getting worse... I mean seriously, what kind of banana rama bs is this?! Something is going to have to give somewhereSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 12 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: OP keeps getting worse... I mean seriously, what kind of banana rama bs is this?! Something is going to have to give somewhere Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk I’m sure the American has this nailed down at this lead. Time to throw in the towel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Not gonna happen that way. It’s a long range American OP...lol if it showed big show we’d all be hesitant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 I don't take these op runs literally. But that's 3 in a row of crap. Can't help but wonder if the wheels are wobbling a little now and its only a matter of time before the ensembles push the pattern change back too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 384 hints...Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 4 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: 384 hints... Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 384 ALWAYS hints...... I'm just totally done with this wet pattern. Bring me warm and dry at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 9 minutes ago, Extreme NEGA said: Ouch. It'll hopefully bounce back overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 I don't take these op runs literally. But that's 3 in a row of crap. Can't help but wonder if the wheels are wobbling a little now and its only a matter of time before the ensembles push the pattern change back too.18z suites took a big hitSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 41 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: OP keeps getting worse... I mean seriously, what kind of banana rama bs is this?! Something is going to have to give somewhere Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 28 minutes ago, WarmNose said: I’m sure the American has this nailed down at this lead. Time to throw in the towel These two post. With the convection issues GFS has been having. I wouldn't trust it past 120 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 hour ago, JoshM said: 18z GFS is craptastic! The ensembles won’t let you down! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 25 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: 18z suites took a big hit Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk My money is on panel 17 being closest to reality. We've seen this movie way too many times and should know the ending. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 GFS can’t predict a 5 day away cold shot, but this day twelve dumper fire heat wave it showed at 18 z, at 12 days plus! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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