Orangeburgwx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Yeah I know. Just talking junk to Mack. The EPS is beautiful at 500mb.6z EPS or the one from last night? Cause I nearly cried when I saw that look on the 0zSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 8 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: 6z EPS or the one from last night? Cause I nearly cried when I saw that look on the 0z Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk The 0z ensembles. I cant get the image to load for some reason. Has huge -EPO with split flow and even a hint of a -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 The 0z ensembles. I cant get the image to load for some reason. Has huge -EPO with split flow and even a hint of a -NAO.This from hr240? Or did it get even better in the 11-15 day range?Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: This from hr240? Or did it get even better in the 11-15 day range? Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk That has a February of 73 look! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CustomWX Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Maps: 1. GEFS mean w/ sleet (Largest since 06z yesterday) 2. GEFS members w/ sleet 3. GEFS Mean without sleet 4. GEFS members without sleet 5. EPS Mean (Highest run I’ve seen the entire year) 6. EPS Members 1-25 7. EPS Members 26-50 8. EPS percentages for over an inch 9. 24hrs snow Meteogram For GSO 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Maps: 1. GEFS mean w/ sleet (Largest since 06z yesterday) 2. GEFS members w/ sleet 3. GEFS Mean without sleet 4. GEFS members without sleet 5. EPS Mean (Highest run I’ve seen the entire year) 6. EPS Members 1-25 7. EPS Members 26-50 8. EPS percentages for over an inch 9. 24hrs snow Meteogram For GSOp18 on the GEFS leveling that 73 redux... Holy moly...@mackerel_sky Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 1 hour ago, Orangeburgwx said: This from hr240? Or did it get even better in the 11-15 day range? Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Very similar to that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 That's one of the best gefs runs in the long range I've seen. Eps as always not as enthused but still looks very good at h5. Hopefully it ticks up in the mean. Getting to the point where im afraid to keep looking at the models because im afraid theyre going to fall apart. I'm a weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Out to hr78, not quite as strong cold push, big NW trend in the rain for the southeast during that time Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 11 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Out to hr78, not quite as strong cold push, big NW trend in the rain for the southeast during that time Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk The 19th storm is going to be the tablesetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Hopefully the Ensembles stay cold and wintry, the GFS OP looks terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Somebody better post some pretty ensembles, quickly!! 12 z gfs was a bigger dumpster fire than 6z! The rain/snow line is around Chicago on the 23rd! Delayed, but not denied, yadda yadda 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Yea the OP runs looks like crap on the GFS and Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 There is always next year. Models keep pushing back the cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Punting this pattern change over what the OP GFS spit out at 240+ hours seems like a bit of an overreaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 All the weather pros say pay attention to ensembles in the long run. It would be our luck for the Operational runs to be correct. I’m sticking with ensembles for now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Mega - NAO look and a cutting storm with torching 2m temps.... Awesome... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 40 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Somebody better post some pretty ensembles, quickly!! 12 z gfs was a bigger dumpster fire than 6z! The rain/snow line is around Chicago on the 23rd! Delayed, but not denied, yadda yadda Take a plane out of GSP to Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CustomWX Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Most beautiful ensemble run since December 2018. Nearly half of the members are big dogs 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Man, you guys gotta be lovin the 12z gefs. Really upped the odds of a SE frozen event. Considering how far out in time the window is it's remarkable how many member solutions drop snow/ice/sleet in the SE. Hurry up and wait for now but at least there's reason for some optimism 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Just now, Bob Chill said: Man, you guys gotta be lovin the 12z gefs. Really upped the odds of a SE frozen event. Considering how far out in time the window is it's remarkable how many member solutions drop snow/ice/sleet in the SE. Hurry up and wait for now but at least there's reason for some optimism As I was joking about up in your thread, we are more disturbed by the 12z op than we are enthused by the 12z gefs. We are like beaten dogs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Took a peak at the 850mb temp for hour 256 (major snow the last 2 runs)6z 9/20 12z: 11/20 Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 I will take the ensemble runs over one OP any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 20 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Man, you guys gotta be lovin the 12z gefs. Really upped the odds of a SE frozen event. Considering how far out in time the window is it's remarkable how many member solutions drop snow/ice/sleet in the SE. Hurry up and wait for now but at least there's reason for some optimism I don’t know if you heard but the OP sucked and we have no hope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 4 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: I don’t know if you heard but the OP sucked and we have no hope. Anyone who frets an op run needs to click on hr 192 panel of the gfs on TT and click previous run 10 times and see what amazing consistency there is run over run. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 16 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: I don’t know if you heard but the OP sucked and we have no hope. Missed you WidreMann 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 GEFS 5 day avg loop from days 8-12 to days 12-16 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Can someone show the GFS Ensemble snow for 10 days or under out , or does everything keep getting pushed to hr 378? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 It's a good trend I will say. Hopefully it continues. Here is depth at 288 hrs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 1 minute ago, Wow said: It's a good trend I will say. Hopefully it continues. Here is depth at 288 hrs. Thanks! That does look encouraging... let's hope the trend continues! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now