Waiting on snow Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said: Already losing it North! It’s been shifting N the past 3 days Wedge is always underdone! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Wedge is always underdone!Golden ruleSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 5 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: 32 at the tip of Florida... Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Add 10 degrees to all these temps, and that’s what reality will be! Still better than 60s/70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Well this thread certainly woke up 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 I don't want cold. I want the whole package. Snow and cold 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Plowing it right into that HP: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Can I just point out how far south the freezing temps go in Mexico?... 20°N (same latitude as Hawaii)Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 hour ago, Orangeburgwx said: 32 at the tip of Florida... Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk That is one hell of a polar vortex. Highly doubtful it will verify but would be amazing if it did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 27 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Can I just point out how far south the freezing temps go in Mexico?... 20°N (same latitude as Hawaii) Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk That's high elevation also. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 39 minutes ago, FLweather said: That's high elevation also. The 5 in Birmingham, is still chilly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 2 hours ago, Orangeburgwx said: 32 at the tip of Florida... Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk If this "materializes" should be great getting rid of iguanas .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 2 hours ago, Extreme NEGA said: I don't want cold. I want the whole package. Snow and cold BUT, I don't want the Electric Bill 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 2 hours ago, Extreme NEGA said: Is it a block? 2 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: I think the low N of Maine, is acting as a temporary block, or temporary-NAO, by it bombing out, slowing things down. That could make the storm go more S in future runs , if it’s stronger or furthe S I think the high North of that would be your blocking high with the low you're ralking about acting as the 50/50 low, though it would be better a bit South of there. The high over Maine is the cold air source. One would think the Missouri low would be a bit South of there, or at least push SE from there with the high, though I think we want a high in the 1040 range and the low over LA instead. That particular look (though obviously fantasy at this range) looks to put most of us in the warm sector looking for ZR if anything. IDK, maybe Grit or Wow or someone better than me could chime in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 3 hours ago, Extreme NEGA said: Is it a block? It's best to look at H5 here. This is not a "keep the storm to the south" look. Dont let the surface pressure map fool you. High pressure can look good, but if it's not being anchored or reinforced, it will move out as a storm moves in, giving the illusion that the storm is plowing into a block. If I had a nickel for every time I've heard how a storm can't plow into a high pressure area.... 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 I know a lot of us will be watching ahead looking for the possible pattern change, but man, oh man, at the coming setup. NWS has my low over the next 7 days at 51! Not sure I've ever seen a week like this in January before, at least not for that long of a stretch. Highs 15-20 above normal and lows 20-25 above! Severe weather and possible tornadoes for much of the SE, rain and storms all the way from upper midwest through New England. This is totally nuts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 My goodness the GFS looks like a monster at 288. Fantasy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Lol , don't look at the 0z GFS , past Hr 276 , that thing is going boom with a huge winter storm... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 00z GFS going cold again in the extended, but a little quicker this run...and it has a significant winter storm in parts of the SE from Corpus Cristi / Houston / New Orleans / Montgomery / Charlotte 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Finally getting some weather porn in the Fantasy range 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 That would put about everyone on the board with winter storm . Wish I had not watched that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 The Land mass that this fantasy winter storm covers is unreal , deep south to the northeast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Nice western ridge on the GFS...fun to look at for now anyway 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Grit, you feeling like something like that could happen or pure weenie run? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 GFS builds the western ridge even more out in time. That's 2 cold runs for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, Grayman said: Grit, you feeling like something like that could happen or pure weenie run? With the MJO making it's run out into the Pacific (phase 7-8), it does make sense that we would see better chances at western ridging. So, that's step 1. These last 2 runs are on the extreme side, so hard to count on that...but it shows the potential 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 With the MJO making it's run out into the Pacific (phase 7-8), it does make sense that we would see better chances at western ridging. So, that's step 1. These last 2 runs are on the extreme side, so hard to count on that...but it shows the potentialhr384, Miller A possibly brewingSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Welp, the 19th is all rain for the entire forum! Good news is, bitter cold is about to hammer the Southeast around hour 300 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Best run I've seen of the GEFS in the extended. Core of the cold air is in the lower 48 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Recent trends on the CFS Monthly for February 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 26 minutes ago, griteater said: Recent trends on the CFS Monthly for February That looks workable for a flurry or sleet pellet 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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