NorthHillsWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 The 17th-18th period looks interesting at least. Some cold air and southern energy playing around. At this stage, I'd say suppression is a good thing. With al the doom and gloom (me included) this is at least something to look at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: The 17th-18th period looks interesting at least. Some cold air and southern energy playing around. At this stage, I'd say suppression is a good thing. With al the doom and gloom (me included) this is at least something to look at. Yep, 12z is definitely interesting! The first system around the 16th is our best look at 9-10 days out in awhile! Something lurking around TX/LA and 1050 high sliding East in tandem! Yes it’s along way out and it’s the GFS, but with next weeks heatwave, atleast it’s something to watch 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 12z Clown map... If you want to even call it that for once Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Is that for tomorrow?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Euro sounding the alarm for flooding across Western NC, SC and the Tennessee valley. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 7 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Yep, 12z is definitely interesting! The first system around the 16th is our best look at 9-10 days out in awhile! Something lurking around TX/LA and 1050 high sliding East in tandem! Yes it’s along way out and it’s the GFS, but with next weeks heatwave, atleast it’s something to watch Ducks on the pond! You know how well we do with highs sliding in tandem with no 50/50 low and no blocking.. should be money though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 5 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Is that for tomorrow?? No..all of that snow in the upstate occurs after 300hr..and it’s onset ice, not even snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Euro sounding the alarm for flooding across Western NC, SC and the Tennessee valley. Good grief That would cause some major problems. At this point I'll take dry over cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 21 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Good grief That would cause some major problems. At this point I'll take dry over cold. If we could get this, with the cold! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Euro sounding the alarm for flooding across Western NC, SC and the Tennessee valley. That would not be good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Go EPS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Yeah, the EPS is looking pretty good out in la la land. Gotta look good out there before it gets in here, I guess. Hopefully, we will see several runs back to back with that look and have it actually progress in closer this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 15 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Yeah, the EPS is looking pretty good out in la la land. Gotta look good out there before it gets in here, I guess. Hopefully, we will see several runs back to back with that look and have it actually progress in closer this time. I Guess we will never learn... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 16 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Yeah, the EPS is looking pretty good out in la la land. Gotta look good out there before it gets in here, I guess. Hopefully, we will see several runs back to back with that look and have it actually progress in closer this time. It’s always darkest before the dawn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 27 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Yeah, the EPS is looking pretty good out in la la land. Gotta look good out there before it gets in here, I guess. Hopefully, we will see several runs back to back with that look and have it actually progress in closer this time. It's been showing this for a few days. Canadian ensembles are in agreement. Hopefully they have the correct idea to lead us away from the central Pacific death ridge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Well, while I know a lot of you would prefer cold and dry over rain/warmth. I for one, am thankful for the rain. It keeps those wildfires at bay and it also helps us going into Spring. We were in a pretty bad drought a few months ago and that has pretty much been erased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 That was an interesting run at the end: 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 4 hours ago, Orangeburgwx said: 12z Clown map... If you want to even call it that for once Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk When clown maps no longer have any pink on them... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveRDU Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 30 minutes ago, Extreme NEGA said: That was an interesting run at the end: Makes sense - NYC and BOS sucking wind while southern MS cashes in... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 18z gets was a subtle shift towards the eps and cmc ensembles. Hopefully we can move out of this wretched pattern!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 hours ago, Cold Rain said: Yeah, the EPS is looking pretty good out in la la land. Gotta look good out there before it gets in here, I guess. Hopefully, we will see several runs back to back with that look and have it actually progress in closer this time. Hey CR, can you lower the snow shields and raise the SE Ridge shields for a change? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 hour ago, Extreme NEGA said: That was an interesting run at the end: I was just about to make a funny post saying not to look at the 384 hour GFS if you didn't want to see another I40/85 N special but too late. One odd thing though C.A.P.E posted a map of the same model run at the same 384 hour time stamp but it was from WeatherBell. It had a much less of the good stuff south of 40/85. Wonder what the difference is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 12 minutes ago, cbmclean said: I was just about to make a funny post saying not to look at the 384 hour GFS if you didn't want to see another I40/85 N special but too late. One odd thing though C.A.P.E posted a map of the same model run at the same 384 hour time stamp but it was from WeatherBell. It had a much less of the good stuff south of 40/85. Wonder what the difference is. Go with weatherbell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 NW shift up 75 miles....IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 hour ago, cbmclean said: I was just about to make a funny post saying not to look at the 384 hour GFS if you didn't want to see another I40/85 N special but too late. One odd thing though C.A.P.E posted a map of the same model run at the same 384 hour time stamp but it was from WeatherBell. It had a much less of the good stuff south of 40/85. Wonder what the difference is. Not sure but the one on TT definitely factored in a lot of mixed precip as snow for the I-85 corridor south. The weatherbell one being more believable lol. Not going to lie, it just feels good seeing something, anything on the models even in LALA land smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I will say, kinda feels and smells like snow outside for the first time. May head up to the farm in Stuart tomorrow to see a half inch of slush. But it may be all we can muster until Fab Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CustomWX Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 The 18z GFS based on the Weatherbell maps, is the most classic case of the Wake county gradient. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 32 minutes ago, CustomWX said: The 18z GFS based on the Weatherbell maps, is the most classic case of the Wake county gradient. Wasn't there a guy here who lived in that far south corner. That map must make him physically ill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Wasn't there a guy here who lived in that far south corner. That map must make him physically ill. don't worry...will probably trend NW 50-75 miles so Wake won't have to worry about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 7 hours ago, cbmclean said: Wasn't there a guy here who lived in that far south corner. That map must make him physically ill. That's me. I'm used to it by now... There are a couple more of us on here, too. My friend in northern Wake always texts me pics of his snow and I send him back pics of my rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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