SENC Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 2 hours ago, franklin NCwx said: What is a coastal cutter? Either a, great "Snow Storm, OR Pastebomb" for Us Coastal Folks.. Mostly, starting & ending in a very cold rain.. With snow in between.. Not much for ya'll inland folks (except on the "outskirts" that don't get warm-nosed.. ) Like inland Pender County etc, etc,, Works out Awesome East & South of I-95 & North & West, of Highway 17.... (Sometimes) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 In all my years I have never heard of a coastal cutter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 18 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: In all my years I have never heard of a coastal cutter You not the only one. I've heard of a lakes cutter, app runner. But not a coastal cutter. That's still a Miller A or B or hybrid. Tryed to look up Jan 2018. But https://climate.ncsu.edu/tools/wxevents changed and no as informative and in depth as once it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 You not the only one. I've heard of a lakes cutter, app runner. But not a coastal cutter. That's still a Miller A or B or hybrid. Tryed to look up Jan 2018. But https://climate.ncsu.edu/tools/wxevents changed and no as informative. Also heard it called "Coastal Crusher"Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 29 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: In all my years I have never heard of a coastal cutter I consider it a fast-developing coastal storm with little/no blocking that is extremely transient. The type where the cold usually comes in to late or at the very end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Just a reminder, it only takes one. It still isn't January. I think we get lucky once or twice...even if it is 60 a couple days after. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Just a reminder, it only takes one. It still isn't January. I think we get lucky once or twice...even if it is 60 a couple days after. Or before... . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 I wouldn't give up right now. The season still early. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 I wouldn't give up right now. The season still early. Writing is on the wall, no storm by January 15th: winter cancel Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 5 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: WSLS Roanoke: When it gets super cold in Alaska, we usually have to "watch out" 10 days afterward. The ridge that has supplied us with warmth will buckle soon, supplying a gateway for a sliver of that cold air to come down. Looks like after the first weekend of January https://t.co/AEc5fw3byv Who will be right? TV Mets or Mid Atlantic weenies?? Hmmmmm.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 38 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Who will be right? TV Mets or Mid Atlantic weenies?? Hmmmmm.... Some of the more knowledgeable weenies up there are on the edge of the cliff! I've already jumped! You should join me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Need some cold air. This tepid cool is not conducive for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 ECMWF appears to be showing a storm and plenty of cold on hour 240. Anyone else see that? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 When it gets inside 24 hours, let me know! But seriously, atleast some cold is showing up and storms keep rolling through, maybe they will meet up at some point verbatim, it’s not cold enough for snow, outside the mountains, but a pretty good setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 18 hours ago, Orangeburgwx said: Writing is on the wall, no storm by January 15th: winter cancel Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Dumbest post I’ve ever read on this. Forum. Dude, it’s not even January yet. Besides, it doesn’t snow in Orangeburg anyway.. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 22 hours ago, FLweather said: You not the only one. I've heard of a lakes cutter, app runner. But not a coastal cutter. That's still a Miller A or B or hybrid. Tryed to look up Jan 2018. But https://climate.ncsu.edu/tools/wxevents changed and no as informative and in depth as once it was. As @Orangeburgwx said, and others, added,, a *Coastal Cutter* , something like THIS! https://www.weather.gov/ilm/christmassnow1989 Again, the GFS AND other Models are flouting a "brief" , though, robust cold shot 6~8th.. Can the Coastal counties make something work? @Wow, What's you're thinking, (IF) the piece of LP get's left behind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 20 hours ago, Orangeburgwx said: Writing is on the wall, no storm by January 15th: winter cancel Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk February into early march is prime time for anything down there I believe. I lived below Columbia for 30 years and most memorable storms (that I recall) fall into that time frame...not sure what climatology says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 We all need a 50/50 low. I can’t even remember one other than ‘09-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 29, 2019 Share Posted December 29, 2019 2 hours ago, LithiaWx said: We all need a 50/50 low. I can’t even remember one other than ‘09-10. Need more that that. No blocking, the Pacific a wreck . What else? ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 29, 2019 Share Posted December 29, 2019 5 hours ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: ECMWF appears to be showing a storm and plenty of cold on hour 240. Anyone else see that? Looks coolish, not necessarily cold. Which to be frank, is a still win for me. I love snow, but if I can't have it, I will take cool and dry. I hate winter torches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonysc Posted December 29, 2019 Share Posted December 29, 2019 6 hours ago, Buckethead said: February into early march is prime time for anything down there I believe. I lived below Columbia for 30 years and most memorable storms (that I recall) fall into that time frame...not sure what climatology says. I've lived in the Upstate of SC all my life which has spanned six and a half decades, and I can say just from memory that I've seen probably more, and definitely bigger snowstorms in February than I have in January, and several big ones in March....late March. So for somebody to jump off the cliff on December 28th is quite astonishing to me. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 29, 2019 Share Posted December 29, 2019 On 12/27/2019 at 8:54 PM, Orangeburgwx said: Writing is on the wall, no storm by January 15th: winter cancel Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 29, 2019 Share Posted December 29, 2019 17 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: When it gets inside 24 hours, let me know! But seriously, atleast some cold is showing up and storms keep rolling through, maybe they will meet up at some point verbatim, it’s not cold enough for snow, outside the mountains, but a pretty good setup It’s not even cold enough for snow IN the mountains 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 29, 2019 Share Posted December 29, 2019 Just about 50% of GEFS members have measurable snow through 240 for KIGX. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 29, 2019 Share Posted December 29, 2019 I’d love to see the EPS members in the coming days. Tail end of today’s 12z Euro looked intriguing. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 29, 2019 Share Posted December 29, 2019 1 minute ago, Tar Heel Snow said: I’d love to see the EPS members in the coming days. Tail end of today’s 12z Euro looked intriguing. The 540 line is in KY. I’m trying to find something positive in the long range, atleast no 60s and 70s, but the GFS looks to have backed off it’s extreme cold around the 7th or 8th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 5 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: but the GFS looks to have backed off it’s extreme cold around the 7th or 8th Shocking. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 Status report from MA thread: Cool gradient pattern setting up day 9 - 10. If they get lucky they could end up on the right side of the gradient, but generally pessimistic based on previous gradient patterns. Verbatim, the pattern setting up after day 12 or so on all three major ensembles, is the kind that makes women faint, strong men weep, and dogs hide under the beds. My own extrapolation for us: no reason to get excited about any winter weather potential for the SE. Should hopefully have a couple of days cool/coldish days but little hope for anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 5 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: The 540 line is in KY. I’m trying to find something positive in the long range, atleast no 60s and 70s, but the GFS looks to have backed off it’s extreme cold around the 7th or 8th huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 5 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: The 540 line is in KY. I’m trying to find something positive in the long range, atleast no 60s and 70s, but the GFS looks to have backed off it’s extreme cold around the 7th or 8th Bone chilling regionwide mid/upper 20’s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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