Dan76 Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 4 hours ago, dendrite said: Chiefs 45, Niners 35 Spread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 My NAO indicator for winter seems to be working again. If it continues to be right, March is your best shot for heavy snow in big Nor'easters. February...is not what you want if my idea is right. NAO Sept-Mar May-Apr Dec 2017 -1.35 -3.64 0.88 1994 -2.58 -1.71 2.02 2017 -1.35 -3.64 0.88 Mean -1.76 -3.00 1.26 2019 -1.80 -3.09 1.20 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.nao.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table 2017 0.48 1.00 0.74 1.73 -1.91 0.05 1.26 -1.10 -0.61 0.19 -0.00 0.88 2018 1.44 1.58 -0.93 1.24 2.12 1.09 1.39 1.97 1.67 0.93 -0.11 0.61 1994 1.04 0.46 1.26 1.14 -0.57 1.52 1.31 0.38 -1.32 -0.97 0.64 2.02 1995 0.93 1.14 1.25 -0.85 -1.49 0.13 -0.22 0.69 0.31 0.19 -1.38 -1.67 (-0.93 x 2) + (1.25)/3 --> -0.2 NAO for March. Here is last year - 1975 0.58 -0.62 -0.61 -1.60 -0.52 -0.84 1.55 -0.26 1.56 -0.54 0.41 0.00 1976 -0.25 0.93 0.75 0.26 0.96 0.80 -0.32 1.92 -1.29 -0.08 0.17 -1.60 2018 1.44 1.58 -0.93 1.24 2.12 1.09 1.39 1.97 1.67 0.93 -0.11 0.61 2019 0.59 0.29 1.23 0.47 -2.62 -1.09 -1.43 -1.17 -0.16 -1.41 0.28 1.20 NAO Sept-Mar May-Apr DJF 1975 2.17 1.08 0.23 2018 2.60 0.88 0.50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 21 hours ago, ice1972 said: Whatever it is the folks are discussing for this weekend forget it.....I haven’t looked at a thing and I guarantee it’s an elongated POS going NYC TO BOS in a shit airmass....it’s over....shut it down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Hi. My name is Mike. I've been a weenie for 53 years. Lately, it's taken up all my free time. With this latest possibility shitting the bed, I just can't take it any more. I'm hoping this thread will help me get my head straight. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 On 1/21/2020 at 5:32 AM, Snow88 said: This winter ranks up there so far as the worst winter ever. Yup. So far for me worse than 11/12. However slightly better than 01/02 and 97/98. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Yup. So far for me worse than 11/12. However slightly better than 01/02 and 97/98. Worse than 2001 for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 It's been a pretty good winter for my bamboo. We're basically at the climo coldest point right now so there's still plenty of winter to go. Looks bleak down there into Feb though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 No where close to 2011/12. 14.80" that season. Over 22" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 I was at 11 for 11/12. 8.75 so far this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 27 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Worse than 2001 for me SEASON JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN TOTAL 2000-01 0 0 0 T 0 13.4 8.3 9.5 3.8 0 0 0 35.0 2001-02 0 0 0 0 0 T 3.5 T T T 0 0 3.5 2002-03 0 0 0 T T 11.0 4.7 26.1 3.5 4.0 0 0 49.3 2003-04 0 0 0 0 0 19.8 17.3 0.7 4.8 0 0 0 42.6 2004-05 0 0 0 0 T 3.0 15.3 15.8 6.9 0 0 0 41.0 2005-06 0 0 0 0 T 9.7 2.0 26.9 1.3 0.1 0 0 40.0 2006-07 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.6 3.8 6.0 T 0 0 12.4 2007-08 0 0 0 0 T 2.9 T 9.0 T 0 0 0 11.9 2008-09 0 0 0 0 T 6.0 9.0 4.3 8.3 T 0 0 27.6 2009-10 0 0 0 0 0 12.4 2.1 36.9 T 0 0 0 51.4 2010-11 0 0 0 0 T 20.1 36.0 4.8 1.0 T 0 0 61.9 2011-12 0 0 0 2.9 0 0 4.3 0.2 0 0 0 0 7.4 2012-13 0 0 0 0 4.7 0.4 1.5 12.2 7.3 0 0 0 26.1 2013-14 0 0 0 0 T 8.6 19.7 29.0 0.1 T 0 0 57.4 2014-15 0 0 0 0 0.2 1.0 16.9 13.6 18.6 0 0 0 50.3 2015-16 0 0 0 0 0 T 27.9 4.0 0.9 T 0 0 32.8 2016-17 0 0 0 0 T 3.2 7.9 9.4 9.7 0 0 0 30.2 2017-18 0 0 0 0 T 7.7 11.2 4.9 11.6 5.5 0 0 40.9 2018-19 0 0 0 0 6.4 T 1.1 2.6 10.4 0 0 0 20.5 Red = Ratters, under 10" Blue = Good winters, 40+ers You've been spoiled, we all have, in the 2000s. So far 19-20 is at 4.8" for NYC which is already well ahead of 3.5" they got from 01-02, which was one single event every other day and month was only T. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 40 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: SEASON JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN TOTAL 2000-01 0 0 0 T 0 13.4 8.3 9.5 3.8 0 0 0 35.0 2001-02 0 0 0 0 0 T 3.5 T T T 0 0 3.5 2002-03 0 0 0 T T 11.0 4.7 26.1 3.5 4.0 0 0 49.3 2003-04 0 0 0 0 0 19.8 17.3 0.7 4.8 0 0 0 42.6 2004-05 0 0 0 0 T 3.0 15.3 15.8 6.9 0 0 0 41.0 2005-06 0 0 0 0 T 9.7 2.0 26.9 1.3 0.1 0 0 40.0 2006-07 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.6 3.8 6.0 T 0 0 12.4 2007-08 0 0 0 0 T 2.9 T 9.0 T 0 0 0 11.9 2008-09 0 0 0 0 T 6.0 9.0 4.3 8.3 T 0 0 27.6 2009-10 0 0 0 0 0 12.4 2.1 36.9 T 0 0 0 51.4 2010-11 0 0 0 0 T 20.1 36.0 4.8 1.0 T 0 0 61.9 2011-12 0 0 0 2.9 0 0 4.3 0.2 0 0 0 0 7.4 2012-13 0 0 0 0 4.7 0.4 1.5 12.2 7.3 0 0 0 26.1 2013-14 0 0 0 0 T 8.6 19.7 29.0 0.1 T 0 0 57.4 2014-15 0 0 0 0 0.2 1.0 16.9 13.6 18.6 0 0 0 50.3 2015-16 0 0 0 0 0 T 27.9 4.0 0.9 T 0 0 32.8 2016-17 0 0 0 0 T 3.2 7.9 9.4 9.7 0 0 0 30.2 2017-18 0 0 0 0 T 7.7 11.2 4.9 11.6 5.5 0 0 40.9 2018-19 0 0 0 0 6.4 T 1.1 2.6 10.4 0 0 0 20.5 Red = Ratters, under 10" Blue = Good winters, 40+ers You've been spoiled, we all have, in the 2000s. So far 19-20 is at 4.8" for NYC which is already well ahead of 3.5" they got from 01-02, which was one single event every other day and month was only T. Wow did not realize NYC did so poorly in 2008 2009 (actually average). Not too far away here in SW CT we were over 40 and had snow coverage for months. Of course NEMO was the difference in 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 so say we all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Hopefully we get no snow this weekend. But I’m not ready to panic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 lol wut is that garbage at the end of the gfs? what a winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 besides the neurotic tri-staters and usual suspects who would probably complain about winning the lottery, most seem to be handling this winter in stride Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drop the Trough Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 47 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: besides the neurotic tri-staters and usual suspects who would probably complain about winning the lottery, most seem to be handling this winter in stride 40 felt like 50 today, azure blue sky, no wind, sun high....last months gas bill was $82. Want snow? Go to Utah or Western Canada! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Not sure why folks who hate winter come into this thread. Strange souls seeking attention by going against the grain. For the winter lovers who this thread is for...bet on one or two big snows before we turn the seasonal page. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 1 hour ago, Drop the Trough said: 40 felt like 50 today, azure blue sky, no wind, sun high....last months gas bill was $82. Want snow? Go to Utah or Western Canada! complainers ...they would never travel or relocate, too inconvenient 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 8 hours ago, The Graupler said: Hopefully we get no snow this weekend. But I’m not ready to panic You're probably good the rest of the winter on not getting any snow, But you've probably wrestled with that idea, And have a good hold on that it may be the case. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 3 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: besides the neurotic tri-staters and usual suspects who would probably complain about winning the lottery, most seem to be handling this winter in stride It’s just snow. In the scheme of things it ain’t no big deal 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: It’s just snow. In the scheme of things it ain’t no big deal We’re passionate about it (it’s why majority spend time tracking and posting) but yea, agree...nbd. I mean, anyone who has a hobby I’d hope would be very passionate for it. Otherwise, why are you doing it...just to pass time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: We hope for big snows but with each passing day this season’s grade sinks lower. I did appreciate the 9F low with snow cover the other day. That was nice. I thought this season would feature several big events but not a pack season with warm stretches and cutters. It’s all just an educated guess for me but 40/70 and Raindance have done well with tons of research...and they both think big coastals are likely ahead. Whether or not it produces for everyone, not likely. But if we get 2/3 good ones, even if I miss out...it was still a solid seasonal forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 We're down to about 3 or 4 weeks of time left......Nemo came in early February.....if we get that I'm good....short of that this winter can GFI......thats it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 I'm beginning to understand what it's like to live the life of James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 7 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’re passionate about it (it’s why majority spend time tracking and posting) but yea, agree...nbd. I mean, anyone who has a hobby I’d hope would be very passionate for it. Otherwise, why are you doing it...just to pass time? We have no control over it. I was responding to BIrving’s post about how people are handling it. I love snow. I get out and enjoy it as much as I can plus it affects my work. But am I going to spazz because I didn’t get this amount or that storm? Nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Feb 1978 occurred in a WInter of crap. Just sayin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Feb 1978 occurred in a WInter of crap. Just sayin' I dunno if I'd call that winter crap. BOS had a 21 inch storm in January 1978. Id say a more hopeful analog might be something like '68-'69 or '12-'13. Both went into February with really paltry snowfall totals in BOS and coastal areas but both seasons are remembered fondly...multiple blockbuster events occurred after that (Feb '13/Mar '13 and the Lindsay Storm and Feb 24-28, 1969)....both had the NAO going favorable though. Would be nice to see that happen this year too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Even 02-03 on the coast was frustrating as n and w of 128 cleaned up through Jan. Feb came in with violence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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