sauss06 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 34 minutes ago, pasnownut said: yeah, the 6z gfs was by far the best run of the year (go peek at snow map). If we can keep this look on the maps, there is a nice train of events for trackin in the next couple weeks. 26 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: We just need opportunities, which the GFS has plenty of. One of 'em is bound to break right for us. At the very least we'll be tracking... wow , i just went over and looking at the GFS..............sign me up fellas And button down the hatches, looks like we'll be in Kansas with Dorothy today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Winds gusting to 45mph at Beaver Stadium. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 12 minutes ago, kerplunk said: Winds gusting to 45mph at Beaver Stadium. Still kind of calm here on the eastern side. 45 with a 5-10 mph wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 40 minutes ago, sauss06 said: talking to a friend last night ( yes i have friends ) he is concerned of significant Sleet and a longer duration of freezing rain then snow. that is a definite possibility (location dependent). Lets hope mid/lower levels continue to cool...especially 850/925's as that where liquid freezes :). Really hoping for IP over ZR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, Voyager said: Still kind of calm here on the eastern side. 45 with a 5-10 mph wind. snowdome blocks wind too? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, Voyager said: Still kind of calm here on the eastern side. 45 with a 5-10 mph wind. Was 49º here at 3:38am and am down to 37º now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 16 minutes ago, kerplunk said: Thanks...have been lurking, but very uninteresting winter so far at UNV so nothing to post about. Your post about the earthworms reminded me of how I used to keep my nightcrawlers in a big old Zellers potato chip can in our fridge when I was young. Had holes punched in the bottom with top open and the soil covered in damp, shredded newspapers. My mom used to get really upset because they'd sometimes crawl out and get lost in the back of the fridge—only to be discovered after they'd dried up. Had to use a putty knife to scrape them off. Haha. I have the worlds smelliest truck because I always forget and leave my crawlers in my truck on the hottest weeks of the year . Non Glossy News paper and card board are a favorite carbon source for worms insects and fungi. I keep and return all my carbon , nitrogen and calcium rich waste products and return them to the earth . I am every thing hippie's preach but unlike them I actually walk the walk and talk the shit. With the wind being nasty and all the talk of ice I should probably close my pie hole about the worms and hornets and let the fellows do there stuff. Stay safe All. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 20 minutes ago, pasnownut said: snowdome blocks wind too? lol!!! Not long after I posted it, the winds picked up. It was almost like a gust front the way it hit. All was quiet, then the back bedroom (where my office is) started creaking, and the all the neighborhood wind chimes (I hate those things) started clanging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 The NAM is holding steady with that 1-2" finger of snow Sat Am between 7AM and noon then a few hours of Sleet and Freezing rain in the afternoon. Large break between the two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The NAM is holding steady with that 1-2" finger of snow Sat Am between 7AM and noon then a few hours of Sleet and Freezing rain in the afternoon. Large break between the two. NAM seems like it’d do well with this kind of setup so something to watch. What a nuisance storm if so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The NAM is holding steady with that 1-2" finger of snow Sat Am between 7AM and noon then a few hours of Sleet and Freezing rain in the afternoon. Large break between the two. Stronger warm push north evident as 850s and we lose them when we need them during max qpf, so ZR likely unless warm layer is shallow enough to stay IP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, canderson said: NAM seems like it’d do well with this kind of setup so something to watch. What a nuisance storm if so Hmm...I feel like the NAM's "wheelhouse" is big, juicy lows coming up the coast. (Jan '16) Certainly could be right for this weekend but I really pay attention to it during our big dog events. It's usually the first to sniff out north trends as well as high QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Looking at the wonderful "snowfall" map, suggests to me that sleet is a big part of LSV "accums". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Stronger warm push north evident as 850s and we lose them when we need them during max qpf, so ZR likely unless warm layer is shallow enough to stay IP. HIRES Nam would suggest a mixture of both but really very little precip on it at all...which is common for it from what I have seen...so think it is probably underdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, pasnownut said: Looking at the wonderful "snowfall" map, suggests to me that sleet is a big part of LSV "accums". Yes. As I said last night I really don't think we see much more than 1". It wouldn't totally surprise me if we didn't reach that... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Yes. As I said last night I really don't think we see much more than 1". It wouldn't totally surprise me if we didn't reach that... I personally would be surprised if most areas do not get closer to 2" during that first push whether it is a sole finger football snow then shut off for a while like the Nam or more of a snow to sleet situation like some others I have seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, Bubbler86 said: I personally would be surprised if most areas do not get closer to 2" during that first push whether it is a sole finger football snow then shut off for a while like the Nam or more of a snow to sleet situation like some others I have seen. One thing working in our favor (hopefully) is a very cold night tomorrow night which should set the stage for instant stickage for whatever falls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: HIRES Nam would suggest a mixture of both but really very little precip on it at all...which is common for it from what I have seen...so think it is probably underdone. NAM has a habit of juicing up as we near, so yeah I agree. Still alot of time left and with something like this, we are in the battle zone, so wiggles make a big diff to ones backyard. I'd take 1" of snow and 1" of sleet. No problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 It's cool guys, Pennlive pushed a notification out and has a huge online headline of a "significant" winter storm coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, canderson said: It's cool guys, Pennlive pushed a notification out and has a huge online headline of a "significant" winter storm coming. Sponsored by the Mid Penn Bread and Dairy Association. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Sponsored by the Mid Penn Bread and Dairy Association. Thats a good one.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 For the love of God... Just overheard a conversation on the other side of the office. Dude is telling a couple of coworkers that we're getting 5-8" of snow Saturday. One of the women asks the dude where he gets his weather info, to which he replies "S&S Stormchasing on Facebook...those guys seem to be the best." Ugh. I marched my fat a** right on over and set 'em straight. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 For the love of God... Just overheard a conversation on the other side of the office. Dude is telling a couple of coworkers that we're getting 5-8" of snow Saturday. One of the women asks the dude where he gets his weather info, to which he replies "S&S Stormchasing on Facebook...those guys seem to be the best." Ugh. I marched my fat a** right on over and set 'em straight. They suck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 minute ago, anotherman said: They suck. Lets all go over to fbook and troll the sh!t outta them I'm game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, anotherman said: They suck. Isn't that the group that got sued for harassment and kicked offline for a while? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Icon has a more congealed look with the finger WAA and the front passage being less separated and an all day frozen event. Snow maps not out yet but would guess 1-3" before change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, canderson said: Isn't that the group that got sued for harassment and kicked offline for a while? if memory serves me....yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: For the love of God... Just overheard a conversation on the other side of the office. Dude is telling a couple of coworkers that we're getting 5-8" of snow Saturday. One of the women asks the dude where he gets his weather info, to which he replies "S&S Stormchasing on Facebook...those guys seem to be the best." Ugh. Serious business, a guy just walked in my office and said the same thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Lets all go over to fbook and troll the sh!t outta them I'm game they dont like me and booted me from their site awile ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Icon has a more congealed look with the finger WAA and the front passage being less separated and an all day frozen event. Snow maps not out yet but would guess 1-3" before change. watch the critical 540's back in from the NE at 54. CAD is doin its thingy.... I personally DID NOT expect the ICON to do this. Little model fight going on. I hope Z Germans win this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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