sauss06 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Goodness Gracious....not sure if this was foretasted before but could someone make a run at 70? A/C time. And then a little snow just 12-18 hours later. i saw 62 and thought inches YAS finally a 5 footer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 50 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Yes, the "relaxation" has been showing up for several days now. I suggested the other day that it was looking likely on most ens guidance, but that relax, brings the cold WAY south (likely coldest the SE has seen this year IMO), and beyond seems to be the time that opens the window for a decent run at winter. For how long....I dont know, but tellies are in support of something less transient and more sustained. I knew a warm up was coming next week (Next week is my Florida week...may be colder there than here. It was one night last time). but did not know mid to upper 60's was on the docket. Was not following it that closely but we hit 69 at MDT and it adds another notch into the belt of the 69 and over days discussion we had a few weeks ago. Fairly rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 For those not visiting the MA this EPS/Euro Ens map is interesting in how many show snow from a coastal near us this weekend. 17 out of 50 show something at least worth measuring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 2 hours ago, pasnownut said: Saw that. Nooners tell us GFS/CMC/GEM/ICON all see the storm. Thats enough concensus to annie up. NoGaps looks like a moderate snow though there are no surface temps. WW3 and JMA are out. Edit 18Z Icon is a moderate snow as well though surface temps are not great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: I knew a warm up was coming next week (Next week is my Florida week...may be colder there than here. It was one night last time). but did not know mid to upper 60's was on the docket. Was not following it that closely but we hit 69 at MDT and it adds another notch into the belt of the 69 and over days discussion we had a few weeks ago. Fairly rare. Just for the sake of compare, the 18Z has the temp around 50, on Wed, where the 12Z Euro is 67 (my place) due to timing differences in the front. Makes the difference between a normal warm day and a once or twice a decade type day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 The 18z GFS & 18z ICON both brought the coastal low close enough to the coast to produce some snow in CTP this weekend. There are still 5 days to go. Hopefully 0z runs tonight continue to go in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 The 18z GEFS also took a good step in the right direction for the weekend potential. The cluster of low tracks trended closer to the coast & the overall precip increased well inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 The 18z EPS also took a step in the right direction. There is a good cluster of lows that take an ideal storm track for the Susquehanna Valley. I’m interested in what the 0z runs have to say tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 HM continues to harp on the NAO going slightly negative this weekend, leading to coastal development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 28, 2020 Author Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: HM continues to harp on the NAO going slightly negative this weekend, leading to coastal development. Lol I wish it was that easy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 I'm gonna sleep on it...... G night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 This coastal is going to jack with out trip to DC and visit to Arlington Saturday to place the annual flowers on the grandparents’ graves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 4 hours ago, pasnownut said: I'm gonna sleep on it...... G night So, after looking over the 0z runs tonight, we need to root for the GFS & UKMET. The 0z Canadian & Euro were wide right. The UKMET has the coastal on a similar track as the GFS, but the low is stronger to our south & further deepens to the northeast. I would sign up for the GFS right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 The 6z GFS & 6z ICON storm still keep the chance of some snow from the coastal on Saturday for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 10 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 6z GFS & 6z ICON storm still keep the chance of some snow from the coastal on Saturday for us. That icon depiction would pressure the NWS for Warnings. Probably 4-8" on the grass. Canderson I am guessing it will be not too bad on the roads either way. There is no cold air so at the worst it will be near freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 I'll tell ya this....if the 6z Goofus has any merit to what its showing, I'm gonna be happier than a clam. That was one of the snowiest runs i've seen in a long time. Train of opportunities....and a doozy right in the middle 2/7 weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 when we see MA and SE snow totals popping up like this....its time to get the coffee ready. Lotsa tracking to be done. Some of the 500 maps for next week are just beauts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 10 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I'll tell ya this....if the 6z Goofus has any merit to what its showing, I'm gonna be happier than a clam. That was one of the snowiest runs i've seen in a long time. Train of opportunities....and a doozy right in the middle 2/7 weekend. That seems to be time when the players are progged to be aligned for our best opportunity. I'm genuinely interested in the period beginning in about 10 days. Yeah...I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 15 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I'll tell ya this....if the 6z Goofus has any merit to what its showing, I'm gonna be happier than a clam. That was one of the snowiest runs i've seen in a long time. Train of opportunities....and a doozy right in the middle 2/7 weekend. You need to push that doozy back a day or two so I can get home...its actually Thursday night and Friday on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: That seems to be time when the players are progged to be aligned for our best opportunity. I'm genuinely interested in the period beginning in about 10 days. Yeah...I know. You know what?? Your tired of chasing 10 day Unicorns?? I'm not even looking much beyond until we get into next week, as I think that as long as we enter this new pattern thats been advertised coupled w/ our back weighted winters, that we may be seeing a decent window open. Sure hope so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: You need to push that doozy back a day or two so I can get home...its actually Thursday night and Friday on the GFS. this is the one I'm getting jacked up about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 a 964mb low sitting 100 miles off the south jerzzzy coast in peak snow climo....sign my ass up PLEASE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, pasnownut said: this is the one I'm getting jacked up about. Yea, that's the one. Snow starts probably 2-3 AM Friday Morning. Mostly joking about the timing but like Canderson I get a bit tired of fighting snow during travel. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, that's the one. Snow starts probably 2-3 AM Friday Morning. Mostly joking about the timing but like Canderson I get a bit tired of fighting snow during travel. LOL. well then you all should be rather rested this year..... just sayin...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 28, 2020 Author Share Posted January 28, 2020 Well the first step to any snowy pattern is getting the daily 6z GFS ice age run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Well the first step to any snowy pattern is getting the daily 6z GFS ice age run. now we just need a happy hour shellackin before it all goes down the sh!tter Mindy you I'm not honkin any crazy snow horns....I'm just happy to see legit threat windows and storms within....thats all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 5 minutes ago, pasnownut said: well then you all should be rather rested this year..... just sayin...... You would think but twice I have flown in to seemingly tough situations including last weekend....got lucky and that finger of snow never made it to Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: You would think but twice I have flown in to seemingly tough situations including last weekend....got lucky and that finger of snow never made it to Baltimore. i too have flown in snow, but unless its a doozy, its of no worry and has had no effect whatsoever....guess i'm just lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 i too have flown in snow, but unless its a doozy, its of no worry and has had no effect whatsoever....guess i'm just lucky. Big airports cancel flights before the events.During that March 2017 storm, I had a flight from BWI to Tampa cancelled. They ended up with little, if any snow.MDT had close to 20” of snow and I ended up taking a flight from there to Florida. No flights cancelled.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, Superstorm said: Big airports cancel flights before the events. During that March 2017 storm, I had a flight from BWI to Tampa cancelled. They ended up with little, if any snow. MDT had close to 20” of snow and I ended up taking a flight from there to Florida. No flights cancelled. . Yea, the airlines themselves will not fly planes into airports where they expect snow...sometimes 12 hours ahead of schedule. Southwest is terrible about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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