daxx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 I might be wrong, but I believe this might be the first event this year we don't have to drop to 32 for it stick. We will be starting out cold, then a slow climb. Too bad we are not getting a big thump on the front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, sauss06 said: they dont like me and booted me from their site awile ago we like you buddy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, daxx said: I might be wrong, but I believe this might be the first event this year we don't have to drop to 32 for it stick. We will be starting out cold, then a slow climb. Too bad we are not getting a big thump on the front end. Bingo on all accounts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, daxx said: I might be wrong, but I believe this might be the first event this year we don't have to drop to 32 for it stick. We will be starting out cold, then a slow climb. Too bad we are not getting a big thump on the front end. Yep, going to be like a real winter event. Good call on that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, daxx said: I might be wrong, but I believe this might be the first event this year we don't have to drop to 32 for it stick. We will be starting out cold, then a slow climb. Too bad we are not getting a big thump on the front end. Well we've had two "events" (and one was just a dusting) but I do believe you are correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, daxx said: I might be wrong, but I believe this might be the first event this year we don't have to drop to 32 for it stick. We will be starting out cold, then a slow climb. Too bad we are not getting a big thump on the front end. Yeah it is a shame, but gut says tonight we "moisten" up a bit (my wife L O V E S that word ) so as Trainer suggests, we should have cold enough ground to save every flake/pellet we get. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 minute ago, canderson said: Well we've had two "events" (and one was just a dusting) but I do believe you are correct. I have had four if I include the 0.2 I got with the snow squall in December. A total of 9.5". Every one I started above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just parsing through the rest of the storm on the ICON, and i've gotta say that it really trended better in the front and back. Toggle through and watch the 540's (critical thickness where snow likes to live). You can see CAD early on and then backside collapse as column cools. Verbatim, there would be some surprises in there. That's purely model reading btw.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 While the ICON is frozen/non frozen with no ice component built in....watch the southern tick across the MD line. Thats what we want to see for a better frozen outcome (especially us south of the Turnpike). These are the trends i look for. While its small and maybe considered noise to some, when your living on the edge...its everything. 6z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 38 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: For the love of God... Just overheard a conversation on the other side of the office. Dude is telling a couple of coworkers that we're getting 5-8" of snow Saturday. One of the women asks the dude where he gets his weather info, to which he replies "S&S Stormchasing on Facebook...those guys seem to be the best." Ugh. I marched my fat a** right on over and set 'em straight. I thought the day we ruined them on PennLive.com was the last we would have heard of them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 I would take the 12z gfs and be happy. 2 to 4 of snow and sleet. I'm not paying too much attention to it's 2m temps. I will use nam for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, daxx said: I would take the 12z gfs and be happy. 2 to 4 of snow and sleet. I'm not paying too much attention to it's 2m temps. I will use nam for that. absolutely. It too ticked South w/ 540's, so while we dont need to trust it...we'll take the trend for sure. CAD also showing up a bit more early on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 minute ago, daxx said: I would take the 12z gfs and be happy. 2 to 4 of snow and sleet. I'm not paying too much attention to it's 2m temps. I will use nam for that. I'm a lot like @CarlislePaWx, give me enough snow to cover the grass, bury it in ice and let it ride in the cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 55 minutes ago, daxx said: I have had four if I include the 0.2 I got with the snow squall in December. A total of 9.5". Every one I started above freezing. I'm rocking 3.6". That's NOT what she said. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 8.7" season total for me to this point. Surprised that HBG is that far behind me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 8.7" season total for me to this point. Surprised that HBG is that far behind me. The airport had 4" from that storm last week - I had 3.5". I had a trace very early and then .1" dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Evan Kuchera is giving the middle finger to @CarlislePaWx and @Cashtown_Coop (nearby) on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 the biggest Euro run of our lives is coming soon ................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 The of the GFS went to POO for the rest of the month. North Dakota Cutter next Weekend and missed phase end of month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The of the GFS went to POO for the rest of the month. North Dakota Cutter next Weekend and missed phase end of month. Yea...if this happens I'm sure we will talking more about worms than snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 19 minutes ago, daxx said: Yea...if this happens I'm sure we will talking more about worms than snow. If that happens I might finally pull the trigger and book a room at the lodge in Mammoth Lakes, CA. 700" of snow last year with continuous cover for 250+ days in town...I'm getting the itch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: If that happens I might finally pull the trigger and book a room at the lodge in Mammoth Lakes, CA. 700" of snow last year with continuous cover for 250+ days in town...I'm getting the itch. @Flatheadsickness might have already delivered those composting worms to Daxx so maybe some got loose and that explains the itch? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 33 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The of the GFS went to POO for the rest of the month. North Dakota Cutter next Weekend and missed phase end of month. 25 minutes ago, daxx said: Yea...if this happens I'm sure we will talking more about worms than snow. 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: If that happens I might finally pull the trigger and book a room at the lodge in Mammoth Lakes, CA. 700" of snow last year with continuous cover for 250+ days in town...I'm getting the itch. that'd be enough to make me take up drinking! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: If that happens I might finally pull the trigger and book a room at the lodge in Mammoth Lakes, CA. 700" of snow last year with continuous cover for 250+ days in town...I'm getting the itch. I'm down. AmericanWX road trip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 28 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The of the GFS went to POO for the rest of the month. North Dakota Cutter next Weekend and missed phase end of month. crazy how different a couple model runs can go. 6z was nuts in snow dept and now its going to be about 1/4 of that (of which most falls this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 43 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The of the GFS went to POO for the rest of the month. North Dakota Cutter next Weekend and missed phase end of month. fwiw, the ENS and Op are having a little infighting going on..... just a little... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: crazy how different a couple model runs can go. 6z was nuts in snow dept and now its going to be about 1/4 of that (of which most falls this weekend. I especially find a bit of humor how it transfers from Western Indiana to Easton, PA between 228 and 234. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: If that happens I might finally pull the trigger and book a room at the lodge in Mammoth Lakes, CA. 700" of snow last year with continuous cover for 250+ days in town...I'm getting the itch. At least those great snowfall maps have us at 10 plus feet so far. So I consider this winter a win! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 At least those great snowfall maps have us at 10 plus feet so far. So I consider this winter a win! That’s why they are fun to look at and fantasize about, but unless it’s within a 5 days, it’s only model porn.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I especially find a bit of humor how it transfers from Western Indiana to Easton, PA between 228 and 234. Yeah. Quite lol worthy. I only took time to post the maps because I wanted to try to suppress the influx of "its over" posts..... and in truth...we're still trying to get "it" started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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