jbenedet Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 18th has to be watched very closely. I feel like CNE and NNE in great spots for this. The big question is the rest of us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 NAM hasn’t run yet on TT. Is that a TT only issues or is the NAM having issues? Perhaps James is currently manipulating it to give him the Thursday snowstorm he wants so badly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: 18th has to be watched very closely. I feel like CNE and NNE in great spots for this. The big question is the rest of us... I believe the weekend threat can produce at least 3" for me on the Cape, but I am still going to watch the next two to three cycles of model runs for the Thursday threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, Sn0waddict said: NAM hasn’t run yet on TT. Is that a TT only issues or is the NAM having issues? Perhaps James is currently manipulating it to give him the Thursday snowstorm he wants so badly? Look at the NCEP operations site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 9 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Since when do we ignore a potential event 72 hours away? We always say to pay attention until within reasonable time frame. I would give it through the 00z cycle tonight, if the trends go the other way or stay the same as the 00z last night, then I will side with everyone else on no threat for snow. Dude, not gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, Sn0waddict said: NAM hasn’t run yet on TT. Is that a TT only issues or is the NAM having issues? Perhaps James is currently manipulating it to give him the Thursday snowstorm he wants so badly? It was late on Pivotal too but finished about 10 mins ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Dude, not gonna happen. Awesome, we got the Juju back. The JUNO juju Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Awesome, we got the Juju back. The JUNO juju JU-NO. Note the "NO" part. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: JU-NO. Note the "NO" part. lol word play Scott, nice. I am not holding out hope like a little kid waiting for the first snow flakes the night before school and I am waiting for that snow day. I got my ultimate storm in High School, I got a week off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 17 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Because it is a resource and we are obsessed. if there were a possible but unlikely phasing event in 5 days and it meant 0" or 20+" and the mean showed 6" would you forecast 6"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: if there were a possible but unlikely phasing event in 5 days and it meant 0" or 20+" and the mean showed 6" would you forecast 6"? I am not saying it is an ideal resource and I do not use it myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 1 hour ago, moneypitmike said: It’s 3 days before the event. A little early to be talking if schooled. My 2 cents. Yeah, true. I should have couched that to say it appears its schooled the other guidance at this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 17 minutes ago, jbenedet said: 18th has to be watched very closely. I feel like CNE and NNE in great spots for this. The big question is the rest of us... You are kind of in CNE, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 might not snow at all on cape cod this winter, just one of those years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, Whineminster said: might not snow at all on cape cod this winter, just one of those years We have 6" already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: You are kind of in CNE, no? Coastal NNE. CNE is interior MA; that’s my take anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, jbenedet said: Coastal NNE. CNE is interior MA; that’s my take anyway That is not CNE, you are CNE anyone north of I90 and south of Portland, ME I consider CNE and anyone north of Portland, ME latitude is NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 The reggie has the thursday system pretty amped. Might be a threat of liquid in there even for northern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 GFS much slower like EURO for Saturday. Also pretty far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: GFS much slower like EURO for Saturday. Also pretty far south. Yessss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: GFS much slower like EURO for Saturday. Also pretty far south. Stronger high pressure which is a plus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 GFS is really cold and basically turning into a miller B this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: GFS is really cold and basically turning into a miller B this run. Yes, primary a good deal weaker this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Stronger Thursday is helping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 You guys are analyzing for the tastier looking run per post content ... like interpretive for why its better this and better that. I'm seeing these as model discontinuities - hopefully, that's baked into this, otherwise, heh - sometimes I wonder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Looks good for the interior. Coast will have issues with that flow, but a few inches prior to any rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Stronger Thursday is helping. A stronger Thursday system does help advect that legit arctic airmass further south. Give us more wiggle room when we have -12C 850 temps right before the event. Euro has been a bit less enthused with that further south arctic air despite being pretty potent with the Thursday system so we'll see...it's still getting good cold over us for sure, but the GFS has been deeper with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks good for the interior. Coast will have issues with that flow, but a few inches prior to any rain. Cold tuck and flash freeze for you Sunday morning with weenie snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks good for the interior. Coast will have issues with that flow, but a few inches prior to any rain. which system? i'm confused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 12 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Coastal NNE. CNE is interior MA; that’s my take anyway I guess I didn’t realize you were right on the coast. CNE to me is N of Rt 2 and W of ORH in MA up to a line from Bennington VT to Concord NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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