Torch Tiger Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 Those charts look pretty horrid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Those charts look pretty horrid. Of course you would say that. Better look up some history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Bad?,future looks pretty damn good yeah 2021 future Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I’ll keep this picture from 2 years ago handy to help me get through this weekend. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 26 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That says valid 06z sunday....so isn't that 1 am Sunday morning?? 2 AM, not that it makes much difference. Looking at recent GFS run sequences is producing whiplash. Repeat of March 2011, when NVT got buried and Eustis had 19" while 40 miles away I had 2" IP followed by outage-producing ZR? (This following rainy 40s the day before.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 14 minutes ago, tamarack said: 2 AM, not that it makes much difference. Looking at recent GFS run sequences is producing whiplash. Repeat of March 2011, when NVT got buried and Eustis had 19" while 40 miles away I had 2" IP followed by outage-producing ZR? (This following rainy 40s the day before.) 5 hour difference during standard time .. it's 1 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 15 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: yeah 2021 future That's your call? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 It's fascinating .. that sliver of warmth like that. There are several conflicting schools, re the weekend's shenanigans: That much high pressure genesis and roll-out through Ontario typically doesn't stop moving S and stall along that axis as that product illustrates. Almost invariably that would end up correcting S as the period in question goes from late mid, to mid and on inwards to the short term. The 2nd school ... this is a uniquely anomalous pattern - I feel - but one that is pretty well described, so should not be an opinion shared by one individual. The flow is fast, because there is a monters ridge in the S. It may not be spatially engulfing the entire U.S. like they do in the summer, but that is purely a function of ambient, boreal heights of winter pressing south. The speed is a direct result of that compression. But why that is important is because .. this ridge ain't goin' no wheres ( most likely..). It's in part R-wave constructed, but, the construction is footed on a bloated HC tendency in the first place - which is a planetary heat source sink balancing and is thus much more permanent. Anyway, the two are in constructive interference... and that's all verbose terminology that hearkens to a ridge that's stuck. Thirdly... that anomalous ridging - I personally am noting ... - appears to be accentuating confluence in southern Canada. That's having an interesting counter, or offset lower troposphere factor in the temperature/thickness distribution in the NP-Lakes .. N OV and NE regions. We are seeing big highs routinely emerge across southern Canada and these are wedging cold as they would typically do.. .But, that sets up these regions with a kind of background potential of odd-ball sounding events, with big warmth flopped over llv cold. That sliver of obscene warmth slicing up like that ... kinda sorta does fit that exaggerated llv gradient potential, though in this case... the gradient is more horizontal than vertical. Still that warm air is riding over that cold wedge either way - we just happen to have it modeled right now as though the warm intrustion to surface succeed Boston's latitude. I gotta say, that much high pressure up there ... if Boston pulls that off, that is some seriously unusual shit right right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Of course you would say that. Better look up some history history shows you have a not-so-hidden cold bias towards everything 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's your call? nah, I think post 1/18 things improve.. but it's not full blown perfect pattern, our odds increase for some modest events but we will still be living on the edge in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 24 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Bad?,future looks pretty damn good I’ll def take the other side of this over next 10 days, especially for SNE. Close the shades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 The euro keeps the blast furnace into next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 #shutemdown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, Dr. Dews said: history shows you have a not-so-hidden cold bias towards everything Guess you haven't read Kevs posts about me. I cant win, lol some call me cold, some call me hot, some like to smoke pot 9 days old. You should read all the disparaging remarks about me on the Jan 15 thread, start around Jan 2nd. Hammered on all sides. But like 2013 2014 2017 2018 I know my score. Totally busted on 2019 until Nov and Dec but since then pretty damn good. You however switch sides daily quicker than a Pink hatted Patriots and Red Sox fan, so there is that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The euro keeps the blast furnace into next week. System was quite a bit more amped over the midwest. High does try to build into Maine, but that thing gets wound up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I’ll def take the other side of this over next 10 days, especially for SNE. Close the shades. Yea since Will and I were talking about the 16th on that's pretty irrelevant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 days in 60s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 2 days in 60s? Bring it. If I'm going to have bare ground, give me some nice warm temps on the nape. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 2 days in 60s? Decent chance in portions of SNE, even if that front drops down Sunday you'll probably get a midnight high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 14 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: 5 hour difference during standard time .. it's 1 AM. You are correct, sir! With relatives in Hawaii and Japan, neither of which observe daylight savings, I'm perpetually confused about what time it is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, wx2fish said: Decent chance in portions of SNE, even if that front drops down Sunday you'll probably get a midnight high It might get messed up on Sunday, but jeez...that's nuts. Even Monday will be mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I won't sweat the op run, See what i did there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Guess you haven't read Kevs posts about me. I cant win, lol some call me cold, some call me hot, some like to smoke pot 9 days old. You should read all the disparaging remarks about me on the Jan 15 thread, start around Jan 2nd. Hammered on all sides. But like 2013 2014 2017 2018 I know my score. Totally busted on 2019 until Nov and Dec but since then pretty damn good. You however switch sides daily quicker than a Pink hatted Patriots and Red Sox fan, so there is that I do remember last summer...Chart, after chart, after chart after chart promising cool wx all July, ended up with a burning month we won't soon forget Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Lawn mowing and fertilizer dropping on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yea since Will and I were talking about the 16th on that's pretty irrelevant Okay didn’t realize that. But in the case of SNE, still looks quite unfavorable through the 20th —keep the shades closed but start peeking....Thinking trend is from crap pacific towards zonal flow pattern (first). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 26 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Decent chance in portions of SNE, even if that front drops down Sunday you'll probably get a midnight high Normally I'd try to argue that's a transitive error put forth by a model that likes to descend heights ( typically ) to prodigiously immediately through the west...such that it would amp ridging down stream more ...leads to further west track and there we go. Not so sure in this case.. As I was just writing at too much length for the twistispheric raging foment of profound intellectual elites ... this isn't the average run-o'-the-mill obnoxious winter-time S-SE ridge rearing it's one-eyed monsterous prospect on the butts of winter enthusiastic hopefuls here. That's anchored in the HC shit ... I mean, either is still compensate - able ... but, not when they are super-imposed ( I suspect ) which is getting me to actually lean toward the absurd, and actually think it's possible to over come a SE Canada high pressure in f'um January! wow Actually, in fairness to the model, it's flat weakened that +PP featuring up there and also, appears to be 'angling' the trajectory of the contributing confluence more ENE in orientation, which could mean less surface N flow... oy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 18 minutes ago, dryslot said: I won't sweat the op run, See what i did there? Looks like a nice weekend for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 40 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: #shutemdown 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Can't stop laughing listening to that chorus while viewing the 12z euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Man 98 is coming to visit NNE this weekend. Wish we lived there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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