Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 If AK is cold... there’s a pig. It’s easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Just now, Kitzbuhel Craver said: I’m a pack fetish guy when it comes down to it. I love a winter landscape. I absolutely despise liquid precipitation and mud in the heart of winter. I’m cautiously excited for the midweek potential even though it will end up being stat padding as we wash it away a few days later. Tough to not see any sustained cold in the near term in fooking January. Yup. Another winter of early cold and snow but the heart is crap, when it matters most. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: If AK is cold... there’s a pig. It’s easy That’s how I see it. Whether it’s a true vortex or not, doesn’t matter. When they cold, we generally suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s how I see it. Whether it’s a true vortex or not, doesn’t matter. When they cold, we generally suck. It’s been there since about Dec20 . It dictates the fast flow. I think it leaves ~ Jan 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: It didn’t persist. It established itself late December this year. First part of December was EPO and NAO. I did forget about the super cold Novie lol. OK then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Icon looks fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Icon looks fun Need the northern stream to catch up like 6 hours earlier for something bigger but it’s close and still a good solution fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Maybe grab in inch or two in eastern areas tomorrow and mid-week looking better. Hope that the system next weekends trends colder. All is not lost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 37 minutes ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: is the flow buckled from the cutoff in the easter pac at hr84? thank u Yeah, looks like the ridging over the mountain west is building in response to that ull crashing into the west coast. Would promote downstream troughing. It’s a delicate setup though, so I would not have any expectations as of yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Hey even 11-12 had the 6 incher + in there in January..so you always get at least one advisory/border line warning event, even in the true Ratters. Maybe this is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Trough not as sharp on the 12z GFS, More progressive too, Looks to be east of the 06z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Inv trough? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 That clipper on monday kind of muck things up a bit out ahead of the weds system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Go with the seasonal trend of weaker solutions with un phasing streams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Inv trough? Lol Without any phasing from GL ULL, that could be a plausible scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 GFS shows you what you don't want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: GFS shows you what you don't want. Lol there’s been a lot of that this season so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 I asked yesterday if this could end up being a fropa. FV3 not far off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Tasty. No complaints here. See what the rest of the suite shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I asked yesterday if this could end up being a fropa. FV3 not far off But you don’t ever use the FV3/GFS...? So it has to be wrong..right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 ICON a nice hit fwiw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Gfs looks plausible to me too. It’s been pretty good. Have to give it some weight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: But you don’t ever use the FV3/GFS...? So it has to be wrong..right? Of course it is. Point being . Fropa is an option Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Just lean weaker and more progressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Well weaker solutions also spread the love more so I’m fine with that. I’d be delighted with a couple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 And for those simplifying the situation presuming if AK has low pressure and cold it’s warm here....you weren’t around during the frigid AK and east coast winters of the 60s. Negative PDO with NAO can give you some weenie solutions. Without the nao we’re at the mercy of nuances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Canadian is potent. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Canadian is incompetent Agreed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Agreed In this flow, I don’t see any model really shining lately, so all options there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Oh canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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