WinterWolf Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 5 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: should we open up a separate now that we are under 90 hr? God No...that’s always the kiss of death lol this early. As Jimmy said..give it another day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I would wait another 24 hours. Not real confident on this system until that northern branch disturbance makes it closer to the US/Canada border in MT. I would give it 24 hours, 12z tomorrow. Always the voice of reason ! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: God No...that’s always the kiss of death lol this early. As Jimmy said..give it another day. for a bunch of science folks, some believe in odd things 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 lol at the superstition, I started the one on the 30th-31st on the 26th and that one worked out fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: lol at the superstition, I started the one on the 30th-31st on the 26th and that one worked out fine. I think you should start it then lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, Bostonseminole said: I think you should start it then lol.. lol, Its been modeled for days and days to be wet with a trend towards some frozen , So its not going away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol at the superstition, I started the one on the 30th-31st on the 26th and that one worked out fine. For you it did...just rain here(oh and some thunder sleet/slush). Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Always the voice of reason ! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 made one anyway, the superstitious folks stay away 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 I wouldn't say that system worked out at all, I rained and rained for 36 hours. It was awful and we had fog Monday and Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: For you it did...just rain here(oh and some thunder sleet/slush). Lol. I brought the dynamics with it............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I wouldn't say that system worked out at all, I rained and rained for 36 hours. It was awful and we had fog Monday and Tuesday. yeah did suck for the cape.. sucked here also but we did get about 2" of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: I brought the dynamics with it............. Keep it up, I'm over a third of the way there to last season's total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: I brought the dynamics with it............. Lol...ya I guess you did. Thunder Sleet..you don’t see that too often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, OceanStWx said: Keep it up, I'm over a third of the way there to last season's total. I have some catching up to do, I'm behind last year but we had a very good Nov then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, WinterWolf said: Lol...ya I guess you did. Thunder Sleet..you don’t see that too often. Or severe thunderstorm warnings the same day you have ice storm warnings for the same areas............... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 46 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Thicknesses crash at that time. I hope so. Nice look for Central folks. I need an excuse for a Pit2 trip. 15 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I wouldn't say that system worked out at all, I rained and rained for 36 hours. It was awful and we had fog Monday and Tuesday. If we need to wait on starting threads for you to get snow, we'll wind up with one threat thread a season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 30 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: made one anyway, the superstitious folks stay away Where are those chickens... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 59 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol at the superstition, I started the one on the 30th-31st on the 26th and that one worked out fine. 1 hour ago, dryslot said: lol at the superstition, I started the one on the 30th-31st on the 26th and that one worked out fine. It’s bad luck to be superstitious. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 I have some catching up to do, I'm behind last year but we had a very good Nov then.Only had 4" all of Dec 2018. That really was a bad month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: One thing I've been noticing about the difference between the Euro and the GFS is ... The GFS has internal destructive wave interference over the TV...centered roughly on 84 hours off the 06z ( to exemplify the point), but has been carrying on with that contention for many runs. The Euro seems to be smoothing and/or not just disagreeing that will be the case. The differences parlay ... The Euro then goes on to having more of a 'slug' of DPVA and total mechanics for quicker cyclogen and is thus cooling the column quicker. Contrasting, and despite the GFS' seeing this as a bomb a week and a half ago ( haha ), the GFS' negates that look and it's resultant low weaker and faster. Great post. I flagged 12z Saturday in my AM blog as the crucial point that the EURO phases that system, and other guidance as of 00z last night, failed to do so as proficiently. Transent ridging over intermountain west aids that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: It might be that the Euro is just phasing the remnant ejected western trough more proficiently with that piece of late ejected more polar stream mechanics coming SE through the Plains there at 72 hours. The GFS dives the wind max into that region there, and then the two cancel out, and the trough remains neutral/positive slope and thus....weaker for whatever it goes on to create. The Euro just seems to phase that more proper like, opting for more constructive wave interference/interaction ... interesting. Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Great post. I flagged 12z Saturday in my AM blog as the crucial point that the EURO phases that system, and other guidance as of 00z last night, failed to do so as proficiently. Transent ridging over intermountain west aids that. Seems to be maintaining that gestalt in this run, too. It may still have some intra-trough contention... not truly ideally phasing and whatever, but it definitely is more proficiently smoothing out the wave interactivity in a more harmonious fusion. We can see...that escaping near bomb is a result of that - As I was mentioning in the other thread ... I think the Euro being inside of D4 while the UKMET leaned in with a campaign contribution are red flags for something more than the GFS. Which frankly, the GFS's speed obsession ...it might not be the best model for these subsume scenarios... even when/in the partial sense, it'll always end up in a lesser proficient paradigm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Who remembers the Jan 2nd 3rd 2014 snowstorm that slammed EMass but was 6 to 8 elsewhere. Boston had 18 I had 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 18z vs 12z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 In the spirit of transparency, the 12Z EPS was slightly less hostile in the 11-15 day. Obviously it could and will a oscillate. It had some ridging build deeper into AK which in turned appeared to plunge the come more SE. If we are going to have a dateline ridge, you want ridging into Santa‘s fanny. That will help limit SE ridging. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: In the spirit of transparency, the 12Z EPS was slightly less hostile in the 11-15 day. Obviously it could and will a oscillate. It had some ridging build deeper into AK which in turned appeared to plunge the come more SE. If we are going to have a dateline ridge, you want ridging into Santa‘s fanny. That will help limit SE ridging. The GEFS at 18z kinda showed this at the end of the run too....maybe the thaw will end up being 2 weeks instead of 4? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Who remembers the Jan 2nd 3rd 2014 snowstorm that slammed EMass but was 6 to 8 elsewhere. Boston had 18 I had 8 Bitter cold during heavy snow, Temperatures near 0 even in Boston during the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Bitter cold during heavy snow, Temperatures near 0 even in Boston during the event. Yes I remember your posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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