Whineminster Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 To me it seems like a winter of yore coming up where it snows where it's supposed to snow (C/NNE) with a combo of rainers and some mix bags in sne. Typically that's what winter is in this our area. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Yeah the icon is a rain to flip to some decent snow on Sunday.... night even be a burst of moderate to heavy verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 The 12z GFS is heading towards warning snows in CNE/NNE, Still warm for SNE but it’s making the right steps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 1 minute ago, dryslot said: The 12z GFS is heading towards warning snows in CNE/NNE, Still warm for SNE but it’s making the right steps. Yeah trended south. Still pretty hideous verbatim outside of powderfreak to Rangeley axis but hopefully a few more ticks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah trended south. Still pretty hideous verbatim outside of powderfreak to Rangeley axis but hopefully a few more ticks. Yeah, At the very least, It’s a step in the right direction as opposed to the wrong one, Like to see it continue, Pretty potent SLP being modeled on some guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: The 12z GFS is heading towards warning snows in CNE/NNE, Still warm for SNE but it’s making the right steps. Save a horse bro the rest is just something to talk about. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Save a horse bro the rest is just something to talk about. And that's why were talking about it............. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Jeez...GGEM is so far south it actually misses most of New England. A bit of light snow for SNE and nothing for NNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Canadian a whiff. Congrats James on deform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Weak primary and well south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Good. Would rather that vs congrats CYUL. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 So our goal posts are cmc to the south and gfs to the north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 It could be congrats that area next GGEM run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Oh well, we have at least another 2 days before the models get a clue as that backside energy will help determine the outcome at the surface. That northern stream h5 low that dives through the Midwest and Northern Plains into the backside of the longwave trough will help determine where we end up, the intensity and timing of that system will help figure out the results. Friday 12z runs we should have a better idea and consensus track and intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 6z Gefs had more decent solutions for me interested in the 12z gefs but this has some legs and bears watching. Appears latitude may help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Still looks like wave interference to me ... GGEM just doing it's best to resolve 120 kts of mid level rage while having two S/W in discrete spacing vying for dominance in that trough. Same thing in GFS.... it's just it's rendition of the resulting low - it's dice rolling among these runs until one of two things happens: either it phase more purely like the Euro.... or, they just neggie interfere and the Euro is wrong, and what materializes ends up being a cyclonic smear that shears out to sea into oblivion - thanks for playing the 'hopes up for no reason game' It's gamble which way to go. haha. No but the GGEM and GFS have intra-wave space interference f'n around with their respective total deep layer results. If the Euro arrives unraveled like these busted ravioli solutions, then I'd save your sanity and 86 the whole thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Ukie is near the BM too FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ukie is near the BM too FWIW. Is there any cold air available for the most part? Lousy air mass no matter the track, no? Maybe a little on the back end, but we know how those work must of the time(last 20 minutes of the precip the cold/column cools enough, and then bang its over lol). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ukie is near the BM too FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 17 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 6z Gefs had more decent solutions for me interested in the 12z gefs but this has some legs and bears watching. Appears latitude may help And longitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Thicknesses crash at that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Looked like 12z GEFS was a few tics south of the op for the weekend storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 That Ukie would be rain to pasting wet snow interior and eventually crashes to coast . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: And longitude ...err I mean elevation Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 nice sub 990 on the UK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 should we open up a separate now that we are under 90 hr? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: should we open up a separate now that we are under 90 hr? I would wait another 24 hours. Not real confident on this system until that northern branch disturbance makes it closer to the US/Canada border in MT. I would give it 24 hours, 12z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I would wait another 24 hours. Not real confident on this system until that northern branch disturbance makes it closer to the US/Canada border in MT. I would give it 24 hours, 12z tomorrow. every model is showing some event for NNE/CNE/SNE, not sure how much confidence we need but it's all good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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