Typhoon Tip Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 That's a nother thing... I wonder if we're ever gonna get one of these big rosby rollout warm ups on D10 to actually verify - It's like the opposite of previous years with this model. Usually, there's a D9 bomb on every run that gets so common false people stop even commenting on it. This is like a phantom early spring opposite of that - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 19 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Thank god the Euro came out. Amen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 3 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Amen! If I'm reading right, the 12z Euro shows the coastal bomb. At least as of right now, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 5 minutes ago, Hazey said: Yes we do. I’m itching for a nice blowing and drifting snowstorm. Maybe this will be it. Been a while here since I had one. Snow has been of the wet and sloppy kind lately. Some nice trends here on the last eps slp means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 oh god. I saw that emblem down in the lower left there and though, "wow - this late in the season" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 23 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Thanks, same to you.I personally would love to see the long range fail completely and we are tracking snow events starting with this weekend staright through March Or at least straight through January 20. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 10 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: If I'm reading right, the 12z Euro shows the coastal bomb. At least as of right now, right? Yes, but I was more so talking about some of the previous discussions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 38 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Thank god the Euro came out. Winter is saved! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Winter is saved! At least until 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 EPS longer range in the pacific has improved but that se ridge is strong so no doubt we have a high cutter risk. Atlantic blocking is what we’re begging for at this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 14 minutes ago, weathafella said: EPS longer range in the pacific has improved but that se ridge is strong so no doubt we have a high cutter risk. Atlantic blocking is what we’re begging for at this time. If you want my opinion ...which I know you gaze out at the auburn sunsets forlorning to hear ... Nope - The SE ridge isn't a SE ridge as is; it is the entire planetary tropical girdle of heights... In other words, that's just a nodule of a beast that frankly, I keep discussing but everyone's either ignoring, or don't understand, or don't take seriously... but, it's well-papered that the Hadley Cell is expanding. Now, this does not directly impugn your assessment when you say "SE ridge" ... buuut, the problem is, the heights are not going anywhere if there is Atlantic blocking/-NAO west based or not... In fact, what results in that circumstance is hellacious Neptunian wind velocities yanking Denver's air mass and fire hosing it at France... Can't get storms in that kind of compressed flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: If you want my opinion ...which I know you gaze out at the auburn sunsets forlorning to hear ... Nope - The SE ridge isn't a SE ridge as it is the entire planetary tropical girdle of heights... In other words, that's just a nodule of a beast that frankly, I keep discussing but everyone's either ignoring, or don't understand, or don't take seriously... but, it's well-papered that the Hadley Cell is expanding. Now, this does not directly impugn you assessment when you say "SE ridge" ... buuut, the problem is, the heights are not going anywhere if there is Atlantic blocking/-NAO west based or not... In fact, what results in that circumstance is hellacious Neptunian wind velocities yanking Denver's air mass and fire hosing it at France... Can't get storms in that kind of compressed flow. No I can’t entirely agree. Draw the ridge on the pacific side and move it 500 miles further east. The Atlantic would respond. without that we need blocking in the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: If you want my opinion ...which I know you gaze out at the auburn sunsets forlorning to hear ... Nope - The SE ridge isn't a SE ridge as it is the entire planetary tropical girdle of heights... In other words, that's just a nodule of a beast that frankly, I keep discussing but everyone's either ignoring, or don't understand, or don't take seriously... but, it's well-papered that the Hadley Cell is expanding. Now, this does not directly impugn you assessment when you say "SE ridge" ... buuut, the problem is, the heights are not going anywhere if there is Atlantic blocking/-NAO west based or not... In fact, what results in that circumstance is hellacious Neptunian wind velocities yanking Denver's air mass and fire hosing it at France... Can't get storms in that kind of compressed flow. Been pretty stormy for this winter so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: No I can’t entirely agree. Draw the ridge on the pacific side and move it 500 miles further east. The Atlantic would respond. without that we need blocking in the Atlantic. I'm talking about Meteorology here... The heights are anchored in the GW anomaly that's ...just ... it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Been pretty stormy for this winter so far. Right...we haven't attempted to move a storm through a west -based -NAO compression, either. You made it sound like a silver bullet fix was Atlantic... heh...it's a bit more complex than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 31, 2019 Author Share Posted December 31, 2019 23 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Winter is saved! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 3 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: meh, seen that before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 A gradient must be setting up as it looks cold here in the long range. Which keeps us away from the effects of the SE ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 46 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Some nice trends here on the last eps slp means. Very nice indeed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 1 minute ago, leo2000 said: Very nice indeed! But what about the nao???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 Just now, OSUmetstud said: But what about the nao???? I am sorry I am still learning the nao isn't really about here for snowstorms especially a negative one?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 Just looked at the 12z Euro, That would be warm to start then a flip to frozen it seems up here, Here we go again............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 That ICONic p.o.s. model has 4-6" off an NJ model secondary this weekend for what it's indubitably worth - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 Uncle leo! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 Poor uncle Leo with that scarlet letter. Maybe it's time to remove it? He seems harmless, i kinda feel bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 47 minutes ago, weathafella said: Been pretty stormy for this winter so far. Tip has been screaming fast flow for a decade in the midst of epic slow moving storms. What a great snow decade it has been. Snow depth days are up too.in Feet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 Free Leo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Free Leo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Free Leo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Free Leo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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