Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: In latter January, that's fine by me...pin the cf over KLWM. No CJs. prefer KBED 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: In latter January, that's fine by me...pin the cf over KLWM. No CJs. The GFS is a bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Just now, Bostonseminole said: prefer KBED Prefer buoy 44029 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 8 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: I haven't seen anything solid yet, there was a 3.4" reported by the Paradise Cocorahs but his obs seem questionable at times. That qpf seems high to me given the feel of the snow out there. I was thinking more than 10:1 but less than 15:1. North Foster RI coop had 4.95 in 78 with about 40 inches reported. Only measured once a day. We had some 25 foot drifts but your area looks more impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: North Foster RI coop had 4.95 in 78 with about 40 inches reported. Only measured once a day. We had somr 25 foot drifts but your area looks more impressive. Higher ratios? Stronger winds maybe?? So amazing. To have it hit a populated area like that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Higher ratios? Stronger winds maybe?? So amazing. To have it hit a populated area like that... Saw gusts over 100 out there. That's insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that's pretty crazy. A little December '92-esque though better climo period for coast. Though I'm always hesitant to throw that storm around. It had far more close contours at h5. But same type of high setup on somewhat marginal airmasses, the fact they are both cutoffs, and that deep layer easterly flow. That's funny you mention that, because that's what I was not really wanting to get into after the lengthier expose earlier - one diatribe a day is all the collective attention span has the patience for ..haha... Seriously, that's very close to getting us into one of those total troposphere E anomaly deals. GGEM hints at closing 250 mb. When ever you have that thick of a tube of mass moving into a baroclinic instability that's marginal? That's where you get your grid failures and a couple days waiting for the n-guard to bring in pack choppers. That's what'd be if that '92 happened on cryo climate. I don't have a problem with bandying comparisons ... In a way, you could throw April '97 into that mix, too. Deepening ( not filling ) ULL with concatenation of multi-sigma level isohypses is a destablizing column that really revs the QPF machinery. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: North Foster RI coop had 4.95 in 78 with about 40 inches reported. Only measured once a day. We had somr 25 foot drifts but your area looks more impressive. I actually just talked to Jordan who took the Mt. Pearl 93 cm ob. He's very reliable. He said 78 mm/3.06" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Also, I feel like the 15-22' on the ground already makes a huge difference to the general look of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said: I actually just talked to Jordan who took the Mt. Pearl 93 cm ob. He's very reliable. He said 78 mm/3.06" Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Just now, OSUmetstud said: Also, I feel like the 15-22' on the ground already makes a huge difference to the general look of the event. Yes for sure but this pic is nutz and that's a previously plowed road 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 You could tell two days before that happened up there they were doomed. That system was hemming and hawing all week in the GEFs members and most in here ignored it in lieu ( at the time ) of the last nights, which turned into an overrunning thing, stating it was too insignificant. Ha. Well, down our way it certainly wasn't memorable, but I thought it was fascinating that while popularity had it ignorable, that little 1.5"er that swept through here pre-dawn was converting in the models to a monster - no one mentioned... I let it go. Oops. Man, absolutely went through some extraordinary B-gen kinematics NE of the Benchmark, and just as modeled ... it drove a freak CCB jet anomaly around the NW-W-and even SW arcs of the core. Really fantastically modeled... unsung hero - The standard graphics couldn't handle the pressure packing and it was like a sharpie was applied to weather chart. Gee, maybe the mid trop, 2,000 naut mile long, by 300 naut wide wind stream at 130 kts punching off the upper M/A isn't such a hot idea, huh - that's probably 5th time I've seen an obscene 500 mb jet max that strong this season. Meanwhile last night's event... piddling and barely pedestrian isn't nearly as memorable. Or is it...I dunno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 18z GFS got the interior with 6"+...tick that just a shade colder with some better deepening and we've got something bigger. Obviously this is still not an easy storm to get to track "correctly". Need a lot of things to go right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 20 minutes ago, Snow88 said: El Nino. Doesn't look bad to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 18z GEFS for next weekend looks great. Juiced run. Miller A. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 I’m all for a coastal. Even if it’s rain here, let’s crank up the seas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 8 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: I’m all for a coastal. Even if it’s rain here, let’s crank up the seas. Watch the position of the High pressure and how this trends across modeling . 18z Gefs has great timing w regards to it being over N Maine with a marginal airmass and a juicy system we can’t afford this High sliding east 18 hours earlier Early indications are latitude will help in SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 12 minutes ago, jbenedet said: 18z GEFS for next weekend looks great. Juiced run. Miller A. The mean tracks h5 over nne...far from great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The mean tracks h5 over nne...far from great. Surface temps toasty too down here. I guess can be overcome by dynamic cooling like last March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Needle threader are this point. Hopefully it can trend into a good event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Interesting overnight weather tonight for the Cape and ACK. A shortwave over NYC swings through quite robustly with a surface system developing off to the east. A front swings through and there could be some decent precipitation rates for an hour as it passes through. Also models show abundant moisture between the surface and around 800mb through tomorrow evening for CHH. This will likely lead to some cloudy weather and perhaps a few snow showers. HI resolution models show potential for sustained northerly winds tomorrow afternoon into Tuesday, this could lead to a better event, just don't know if the snowfall rates will be there. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Regarding next week's potential.... https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/01/all-eyes-on-next-sunday-monday.html 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 32 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The mean tracks h5 over nne...far from great. I just wrote about that.....all three ensemble packages are through NNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Wippie! We had barely had one week of cold and we're already warming up. This Jan can't deliver 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 NYC received 20 inches in a stale cold airmass in Feb. 2010 (rained to Maine). Even down this way received 8 once the storm became vertically stacked. Obviously different setup however anything is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Wippie! We had barely had one week of cold and we're already warming up. This Jan can't deliver They had Feb below normal temps last I checked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Man...if we could just get a little N/stream insertion... that'd probably take that to the next level really fast - 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 7 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: NYC received 20 inches in a stale cold airmass in Feb. 2010 (rained to Maine). Even down this way received 8 once the storm became vertically stacked. Obviously different setup however anything is possible. Back in the -NAO days of yore. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Back in the -NAO days of yore. 2009-10...yuck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now