Torch Tiger Posted January 18, 2020 Author Share Posted January 18, 2020 it's over. Incredible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 I don’t see any reason or indications to end winter or change the forecast. Stay the course on overall wintry pattern thru Feb 20 or so.. then end it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Are you ending it? Is today our last snowfall you’re saying? Consider your campfire doused. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 It’s ugly. 5-10F+ departures as modeled after this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Just now, kdxken said: Consider your campfire doused. I just whipped it out and peed all over it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 On the bright side, it looks somewhat active. So maybe amid a dog shit look we pull out a diamond in the rough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: On the bright side, it looks somewhat active. So maybe amid a dog shit look we pull out a diamond in the rough. No better time climatologically for that to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Hey if Nick can pull off a BECS, anyone could be in the game. The storm corridor is wide open this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: No better time climatologically for that to happen. Right. We can do it at peak climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Just now, Hazey said: Hey if Nick can pull off a BECS, anyone could be in the game. The storm corridor is wide open this winter. Biblical EC Storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 18, 2020 Author Share Posted January 18, 2020 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t see any reason or indications to end winter or change the forecast. Stay the course on overall wintry pattern thru Feb 20 or so.. then end it It's literally over after today's thump 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 7 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: It's literally over after today's thump Noted 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s ugly. 5-10F+ departures as modeled after this week. As modeled? So you bought the models when they showed an epic pattern.. they burned you.. now you’re buying them when they end winter. Honestly I think you look at the weather too much. Step back a bit. It’s making you super stressed out . Stay the course . No knee jerk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: As modeled? So you bought the models when they showed an epic pattern.. they burned you.. now you’re buying them when they end winter. Honestly I think you look at the weather too much. Step back a bit. It’s making you super stressed out . Stay the course . No knee jerk Salesman. It looked good, but everyone mentioned the caveats. Now, It looks pretty ugly as modeled. That’s the key phrase. However, I think there is support for the ugly pacific. MJO gone wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Salesman. It looked good, but everyone mentioned the caveats. Now, It looks pretty ugly as modeled. That’s the key phrase. However, I think there is support for the ugly pacific. MJO gone wild. There were def not any caveats mentioned. None. All mets were on board and sitting fat and happy. The point is the models were wrong and changed. They’ll be wrong this time and we’ll see them change again. So you stay the course, don’t melt and understand it will snow and not be +5-10 the next three weeks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Biblical EC Storm?For them? Yes. I just use the term figuratively. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There were def not any caveats mentioned. None. All mets were on board and sitting fat and happy. The point is the models were wrong and changed. They’ll be wrong this time and we’ll see them change again. So you stay the course, don’t melt and understand it will snow and not be +5-10 the next three weeks Sit on this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Dudes gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 blizz isn’t listening to Scott. Pattern could most certainly be warm but we can sneak in an event or three even amidst a sea of warmth. it is just harder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There were def not any caveats mentioned. None. All mets were on board and sitting fat and happy. The point is the models were wrong and changed. They’ll be wrong this time and we’ll see them change again. So you stay the course, don’t melt and understand it will snow and not be +5-10 the next three weeks This is why I don’t really believe it until I see it. 2001-02 and other awful winters also had a lot of long range false hopes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There were def not any caveats mentioned. None. All mets were on board and sitting fat and happy. The point is the models were wrong and changed. They’ll be wrong this time and we’ll see them change again. So you stay the course, don’t melt and understand it will snow and not be +5-10 the next three weeks Lol being 11-15 days out is always a caveat. Everyone should know that. The newer guidance looks pretty unstable in that time frame so I wouldn't jump off the bridge over it. But I suspect many will if the D8-10 period doesn't produce a wintry storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dudes gone. It would do you well to listen. A lot of people actually look at everything and try to give their best judgement on what may happen. It’s pretty ugly, but could be active. When it’s peak climo, things can get snowy, but overall....I’m not a fan of the look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 33 minutes ago, Hazey said: For them? Yes. I just use the term figuratively. Yes, the literal Old Testament BECS passage reads thus: "And the Lord was very roth with the doubters who cried "torch", yea, and in his righteous vengeance he sent unto His people the Mauler, as told in the Scriptures. And Manitoba did birth the beast, and the Gulf Stream did forge its hoary heart, and lo, the clouds did burst over New England, and the wind did scream, and the knickers were buried, and the waters did crash upon the shore, and when the dawn awakened all unrepentant doubters were smited, in God's mercy, yea. And from the chosen faithful of Harwich and Moosup and Wilmington and Tolland Massif there arose a glorious cry, and there was much rejoicing." Here endeth the lesson. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It would do you well to listen. A lot of people actually look at everything and try to give their best judgement on what may happen. It’s pretty ugly, but could be active. When it’s peak climo, things can get snowy, but overall....I’m not a fan of the look. In all seriousness, I think you are spending too much time looking at weather and obsessing over it. Instead of ebb and flow as eps looks good one run and not so good the next... just don’t look for a few days. Get your head clear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Yes, the literal Old Testament BECS passage reads thus: "And the Lord was very roth with the doubters who cried "torch", yea, and in his righteous vengeance he sent unto His people the Mauler, as told in the Scriptures. And Manitoba did birth the beast, and the Gulf Stream did forge its hoary heart, and lo, the clouds did burst over New England, and the wind did scream, and the knickers were buried, and the waters did crash upon the shore, and all unrepentant doubters were smited, in God's mercy, yea. And from the chosen faithful of Harwich and Moosup and Wilmington and Tolland Massif there arose a glorious cry, and there was much rejoicing." Here endeth the lesson. And the Pope looked around him and smiled and said "it is good". 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Here's the GEFS and EPS below. They are both pretty bullish on a system somewhere near us next weekend but you can see the marginal temps too. It could easily be rain on a more west track or even a whiff SE. I suspect the fate of this system will drastically change perceptions of the pattern regardless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 CMC was beautiful next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: In all seriousness, I think you are spending too much time looking at weather and obsessing over it. Instead of ebb and flow as eps looks good one run and not so good the next... just don’t look for a few days. Get your head clear Well, it is his job... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: In all seriousness, I think you are spending too much time looking at weather and obsessing over it. Instead of ebb and flow as eps looks good one run and not so good the next... just don’t look for a few days. Get your head clear In all seriousness, stick to sales. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Canadian should have the W NE and Mass weenies excited for next weekend as it has the storm do a crawl across the south coast Clown map 24 hour clown map but it goes more than 24 hours: Its the GEM but whatever 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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