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January 2020 Discussion


Torch Tiger
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  On 1/23/2020 at 4:52 PM, dryslot said:

28.5"

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14-15 was my most frustrating "good" winter - cold with over 120% average snowfall.  For me that blizzard could be likened to hunting all deer season without success, then the last afternoon coming on a friend who just dropped a nice buck, only he has no idea how to field-dress the beast and his heart is too weak to even help with the drag.  Then I don't even get offered a package of meat.  :o   All the work and none of the fun.

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  On 1/23/2020 at 10:03 PM, tamarack said:

14-15 was my most frustrating "good" winter - cold with over 120% average snowfall.  For me that blizzard could be likened to hunting all deer season without success, then the last afternoon coming on a friend who just dropped a nice buck, only he has no idea how to field-dress the beast and his heart is too weak to even help with the drag.  Then I don't even get offered a package of meat.  :o   All the work and none of the fun.

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Given how snowy it was our winter forecasts should've been pretty good. But we ended up accurately warning 91% of the warning events that occured, but falsely warned at a rate of 37%. 

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  On 1/23/2020 at 11:27 PM, WinterWolf said:

Lol...you had to know that was just a joke at 12z Anthony.  No way that was gonna happen.

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Yes, very unlikely as exact but you’re living in past tense as if it’s Feb 2nd already. Final outcome yet TBD. 

And who really wants a bullseye after bullseye this far out? Just keep some sort of storm signal going for now and with an improving pattern...roll the dice inside d3/d4. 

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  On 1/24/2020 at 12:48 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yes, very unlikely as exact but you’re living in past tense as if it’s Feb 2nd already. Final outcome yet TBD. 

And who really wants a bullseye after bullseye this far out? Just keep some sort of storm signal going for now and with an improving pattern...roll the dice inside d3/d4. 

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Certainly agree.  Keep a signal is the take away.  
 

But I’m gonna go on record now and say that a 954 bomb isn’t gonna happen 8-9 days from now.  Just my gut feeling. Lol. So in that respect I might as we’ll be 9 days in the future, cuz the odds of that happening are slim to none.  And if I’m proved wrong..I’ll So gladly eat crow. 

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  On 1/24/2020 at 12:57 AM, WinterWolf said:

Certainly agree.  Keep a signal is the take away.  
 

But I’m gonna go on record now and say that a 954 bomb isn’t gonna happen 8-9 days from now.  Just my gut feeling. Lol. So in that respect I might as we’ll be 9 days in the future, cuz the odds of that happening are slim to none.  And if I’m proved wrong..I’ll So gladly eat crow. 

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You’re really sticking your neck out there lol, but remember just a few seasons ago we had a very deep (forgot the exact pressure) in the Jan 4 2018 event. Obviously they are rare but the changing pattern ahead can pop a good one or two. We pray.

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