WinterWolf Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 lol...The Rat is creeping in. And now we’re at the second week of Feb before this even looks to change ....holy smokes. Completely reminds me of 11-12 with the continued pushing out of the better pattern, and then it goes to crap anyway and never makes it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Just now, WinterWolf said: lol...The Rat is creeping in. And now we’re at the second week of Feb before this even looks to change ....holy smokes. Completely reminds me of 11-12 with the continued pushing out of the better pattern, and then it goes to crap anyway and never makes it. Enjoy what you got, down here in S. CT, we are ending well below or at average at best. At least you got a major snowstorm in early Dec, near 10". 9.7 exactly. That's about my seasonal total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 This is worse than 11/12 because at least that had a memorable lifetime event, albeit before the season even started. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 49.05” since late November. I average around 70-75” here. Depth has been pretty low but I have had some snow on the ground pretty much every day since Dec 1 other than a few days last week. Even then there were still piles and stuff. You and Chris have done well out in western MA as well as Pete in the Berks, Your seasonal avg is the same as mine but we got off to a slow start with a below avg Nov and avg Dec, Pack retention has not been there either until the last few weeks, Were still behind in that aspect and behind in Jan too, But look to be gaining some ground but its a slow go and i think we may finish close to avg unless Feb is a monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This is worse than 11/12 because at least that had a memorable lifetime event, albeit before the season even started. Not worse than 01-02. Nothing will probably beat that in my lifetime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Not worse than 01-02. Nothing will probably beat that in my lifetime. Lol this will be close to that by the end I bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 We have done pretty well in SNH. I don’t keep a seasonal total but I’m guessing it’s somewhere around 35’’. If anything the pack has been the worst part. Wish we’d either keep a powdery pack or absolutely nothing. The consistent small, crusty, icy pack is crap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 It's impossible to speak of the whole of something when we don't know the whole story. Shouldn't posts that claim that they know the whole story be in the panic thread so we can keep this one focused on actually pattern analysis? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 3 hours ago, weatherwiz said: lol, please tell me NWS has a color coded warning for this. "The National Weather Service in Miami has issued an Iguana Warning for South Florida..." Or the P/C: "Tonight, clear and cold. Low 35-40, with a 40% chance of falling iguanas. Road conditions may become treacherous." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 You guys will see 20-30+" from Feb 15 through April 1st. Expect a massive Greenland block after mid February into March. The pattern is following the same beats as past several seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 GFS clown range maps showing the second storm almost identical to the first. 2'+ from DDH-AFN-CON-GYX, but basically zilch 1V4-HIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 2 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Lol this will be close to that by the end I bet. I was wearing tshirts first week if March, dont think that will happen this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 2 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Lol this will be close to that by the end I bet. I bet not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Long range eps is a good compromise between GEPS and GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 On the glass half-full side, mud-season will be below average as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Aren’t we on or around the date DIT said the pattern change was? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 37 minutes ago, weathafella said: Long range eps is a good compromise between GEPS and GEFS. How’s the long range worked over the last 6 weeks? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Aren’t we on or around the date DIT said the pattern change was? 1/20. And I'll be honest and mentioned that it looked like it would be earlier than that a few weeks ago. #voodoo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 This is how you know the winter has sucked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: How’s the long range worked over the last 6 weeks? Actually quite well with the exception of the burp 2 weeks ago. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 47 minutes ago, Snow88 said: This is how you know the winter has sucked. You used to be full of optimism before you graduated from the police academy. You use to think I was a negative nelly... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Sounds like based on everyone's long range we should had closed the forum till February.Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Actually quite well with the exception of the burp 2 weeks ago. Wut? Long range modeling showing pattern changes to a wintrier pattern have fallen flat every time they've shown up. It's the winter of modeling showing a pattern change perpetually in the 10-14 day range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Sounds like based on everyone's long range we should had closed the forum till February. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk That's what it looks like for now. But my skepticism of the pattern actually flipping for us are low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Wut? Long range modeling showing pattern changes to a wintrier pattern have fallen flat every time they've shown up. It's the winter of modeling showing a pattern change perpetually in the 10-14 day range. The long range this winter has been horrible. Eps has shown good patterns numerous times and failed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 MTD dropped below +7.0F finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 I don't really remember great snow patterns being modeled for the east in the extended range overall, except this one that hasn't worked out around now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ogmios Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: This is how you know the winter has sucked. Near Ground Hog Day if there is one ounce of truth to the myth it does have a psychological effect on the psyche of people and for most people who have an utter dislike for the cold this is the one day you do not want it to be sunny on the 2nd. Especially in such a bad pattern for all sides because of it being to warm and wet for cold air snow lovers and too wet for warm air and lovely Spring type conditions that support growth and lots of vitamin D (those who despise cold and snow which is the majority); no party has been happy this winter. But if this trend continues winter lovers will take another blow for the winter psychologically, while the other side gets a nice dopamine hit looking forward for warmer days. The suggestion on the GFS of a system has been consistent for this time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: This is how you know the winter has sucked. I'll take that. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 39 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You used to be full of optimism before you graduated from the police academy. You use to think I was a negative nelly... It's hard to be positive living near bath water. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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