weathafella Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: They are---at least up by Pit2. BOX is going hard at the mix scenrio near/south of the Pike, leaning snow Sat. night, leaning rain on Sunday. OT, Tropical Tidbits is struggling recently. Is that in the disco? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 EPS probabilities? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Is that in the disco? ZFP's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: ZFP's. I just looked...seems like a worthless product. “Snow with a chance of rain” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 This may be the peak snowiest look for SNE if that ULL trends anymore Just don’t open up the ULL, I wanna see this thing go long duration /deep fetch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 My goose isn’t cooked wrt this event yet... But, Wifey sent me to the store, preheated the oven and invited the in-laws over.... In all seriousness my early, early gut call would be this one isn’t for me. Lots to overcome. Not enough latitude, horrible antecedent airmass, valley location. Everything has to go right for this to be siggy down here. Man I’d love to be at Ray’s spot for this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 FWIW (and it isn't much) but the 6z euro op was definitely colder through hr 90 vs hr 96 on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 45 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Any word on the 06z Euro? the EPS should come out soon, goes out 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 06z EPS is running now, Only out 03z Weds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What does WPC say? So glad you asked. Further west with the coastal. Goes from over nyc ene to east gulf of Maine. Suggests a track bodily over coastal sne. High position looks worse as by Sunday it is ene of Maine. Not good for sne borderline cne, good nne. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 9 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: So glad you asked. Further west with the coastal. Goes from over nyc ene to east gulf of Maine. Suggests a track bodily over coastal sne. High position looks worse as by Sunday it is ene of Maine. Not good for sne borderline cne, good nne. He was being sarcastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Wow. That's cray. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 45 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: OT, Tropical Tidbits is struggling recently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Wow, that’s awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Oh America...getting left behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 That's cray, cray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 I assume there's no changes to the model physics though? Just faster processing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: He was being sarcastic. I’m not that clueless lol. Don’t you look at wpc? I do for trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: I assume there's no changes to the model physics though? Just faster processing? I think that's right, they did a model upgrade recently. I was told by someone in the Gander office that eventually the GDPS will replace the RDPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 06z EPS is also coming in a touch colder than 00z but still pretty similar overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 42 minutes ago, weathafella said: I just looked...seems like a worthless product. “Snow with a chance of rain” It’s hard to believe people use those lol. The only thing that should ever be used is the AFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Im not sure what skill metrics, but the EMC model verification page still has GFS ahead by a slim marginal on standard NH variables. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 06z EPS is also coming in a touch colder than 00z but still pretty similar overall. I'm starting to like this idea more and more and I think we'll continue hedging in that direction. Despite the marginal air mass ahead of this system the lower and mid levels actually start cooling ahead of it. I think my biggest concern with this system is going to be with occlusion and whether that happens too early which could lower the ceiling a bit regarding potential snow totals. But I'm not sold on flooding in much warmer air...even into CT with this system. I think this partly has to do with occlusion but after an initial surge of WAA we actually bring in CAA from the SW which I think can be contributed to occlusion...or singling it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Latest 06z probs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Still puling out hope that we can score a few inches down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Oh America...getting left behind. I thought that the GFS moved to better hardware as part of an upgrade a couple of years ago? https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/noaa-kicks-off-2018-with-massive-supercomputer-upgrade If only they could improve the physics too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 22 minutes ago, dendrite said: Wow. That's cray. No, there are dual Cray supercomputers- that makes it "Cray Cray" Oops Dryslot beat me to it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Still puling out hope that we can score a few inches down this way.Few inches of rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 7 minutes ago, butterfish55 said: 11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Still puling out hope that we can score a few inches down this way. Few inches of rain? We'll see, but the Euro was only about 1" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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