NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 1:10 PM, Ginx snewx said: You ok? Unmitigated disaster? Expand Bridge jumpers in here this morning. When Jerry jumps, I’m concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Now, I know some of you are not a fan of HM... For what's worth, he is a professional meteorologist and he sees the Nao going negative in about a week, and said to not pay attention to the GFS Showing the cutter for next week. Several opportunities for Coastal storms coming up. I'm going to take that as a positive and something to look forward to instead of all the negativity and craziness of these models. May the best man win LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Looking over the last 24 hours ..it occurs to me. Firstly, this cyclone's trajectory is a climate no-no for snow. The fact that it is destined to snow anyway has causality that is way > 50 % driven by anomalies, relative to climate norms. This system's 'snowier profile' is almost entirely secondarily emergent off the speed of it's translation through the flow. It's large, and it's over, in 9 hours. The column from BUFF-BOS/ White Plains, NY - PWM is so cold initially, the atmosphere simply does not have time to warm up to flip to rain, by the time the deeper QPF dynamics are gone.. In some respects, "SWFE" all have that similar genetic trait,... in that there is enough cold in the bank - so to speak - that it overruns for awhile. It's hard to separate the two. But this making that effect much more coherently clear the way in which it's synoptics are portrayed/looped .. exaggerated. Very interesting... but I suspect with the high in eastern Ontario, having corrected weaker as we've approached this event, this thing would have otherwise found its way back to 34 and light/moderate rain, if it were moving slower more akin to climate speeds. It's being faster than normal, outpaces that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Wrong thread Tip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 1:10 PM, Ginx snewx said: You ok? Unmitigated disaster? Expand I’m great. 5 months and 13 days but who’s counting? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 2:30 PM, weathafella said: I’m great. 5 months and 13 days but who’s counting? Expand Dont listen to the Debbie's. Snow on the way and more to come. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 12:45 PM, qg_omega said: Interesting Expand wouldn't that look create some CAD here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 17, 2020 Author Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 12:45 PM, qg_omega said: Interesting Expand want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 2:43 PM, Ginx snewx said: Dont listen to the Debbie's. Snow on the way and more to come. Expand I like your optimism, and level-headedness around our weather pattern and the modelling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 3:21 PM, mahk_webstah said: I like your optimism, and level-headedness around our weather pattern and the modelling. Expand Yeah who wants to hear reality. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 3:25 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah who wants to hear reality. Expand Oh gurl.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 17, 2020 Author Share Posted January 17, 2020 Why's everyone so down? It's almost summer, chin up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 3:25 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah who wants to hear reality. Expand Everyone keeps Freaking out because things keep going back and forth. But a lot of the bigger meteorologists keep saying it's going to change. They can't be completely wrong. We're just a forum of Weather Geeks that Thrive and love weather and snow LOL I'm still very optimistic. You should be to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 3:28 PM, Dr. Dews said: Why's everyone so down? It's almost summer, chin up Expand Exactly what comes to mind every year around mid January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 3:31 PM, Snowcrazed71 said: Everyone keeps Freaking out because things keep going back and forth. But a lot of the bigger meteorologists keep saying it's going to change. They can't be completely wrong. We're just a forum of Weather Geeks that Thrive and love weather and snow LOL I'm still very optimistic. You should be to Expand It's ok. Like we said earlier, there are ways it could work..or waysit could go to crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 3:31 PM, Snowcrazed71 said: Everyone keeps Freaking out because things keep going back and forth. But a lot of the bigger meteorologists keep saying it's going to change. They can't be completely wrong. We're just a forum of Weather Geeks that Thrive and love weather and snow LOL I'm still very optimistic. You should be to Expand Size matters? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 3:44 PM, weathafella said: Size matters? Expand Lolol... just keep it at a lot of meteorologists LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 I think the day 8 system comes back as at least SECS. And first one of the season to watch that has a appreciable shot at becoming a MECS...SNE also in the game on this ...My first *low* confidence guess... 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 3:25 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah who wants to hear reality. Expand So it's not going to snow and there is no more on the way. Good call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 4:09 PM, jbenedet said: I think the day 8 system comes back as at least SECS. And first one of the season to watch that has a appreciable shot at becoming a MECS...SNE also in the game on this ...My first *low* confidence guess... Expand Yeah, GFS still not showing it this run but the pattern is there for a system around the 25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Scooter starts posting reality , and ACATT gets upset and says “no snow ever again , good call” lol I see why scooter posts in tea leaves now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 4:37 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Scooter starts posting reality , and ACATT gets upset and says “no snow ever again , good call” lol I see why scooter posts in tea leaves now Expand there is no middle I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 4:40 PM, Bostonseminole said: there is no middle I guess. Expand Lol when i don’t like the message ...I like to resort to hyperbole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 4:37 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Scooter starts posting reality , and ACATT gets upset and says “no snow ever again , good call” lol I see why scooter posts in tea leaves now Expand Read my post then his snark. Go play in a puddle 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 4:09 PM, jbenedet said: I think the day 8 system comes back as at least SECS. And first one of the season to watch that has a appreciable shot at becoming a MECS...SNE also in the game on this ...My first *low* confidence guess... Expand The Pope has decreed it so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 lack of snow is getting to folks, glad we are all getting at least 3" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 I'll take the CMC for $100 please.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 4:40 PM, Bostonseminole said: there is no middle I guess. Expand Just like everything else, it's polarized. You're either ACATT or Dr Dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 5:11 PM, dryslot said: I'll take the CMC for $100 please.. Expand That’s a step in the right direction! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 5:11 PM, dryslot said: I'll take the CMC for $100 please.. Expand yeah, baby steps .. gfs blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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