CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 The Hadley Cell will kill us all. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Sneaky torch day, 50F in Northampton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: The Hadley Cell will kill us all. Lmao!! Holy smokes what drama about CC...enough already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lmao!! Holy smokes what drama about CC...enough already. How dare you 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 GFS at day 8 looks like it might have a fun solution....lots up blocking up north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 still liking the 24th/25 on the GFS, slow moving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 man, if only this was 3 days away.. buried on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 would love to see some of the LR guys comment.. all these players aligning? AO, EPO, NAO, MJO, blah blah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 2 hours ago, WinterWolf said: So just a quick question...just a day or two ago everything was looking really good...now there are comments about us loosing the good look??? Is this a fact..or are peeps just jaded about everything always going to sh*t this year so far? What's your take Scott? i'm not Scott but as mahk alludes to below, some ppl get confused when the NYC and MA weenies post their panic drivel in here, where in most cases, it is not applicable to the NE subforum 2 hours ago, mahk_webstah said: I have to remember where I live. I can see how the Mid Atl folks could start to panic, and maybe NYC but for most of us an active pattern with cold air nearby via highs to our north is a great winter set up - no suppression. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 23 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: still liking the 24th/25 on the GFS, slow moving That's the period i like too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 38 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Heh... I wish it were that easy.. Problem is, I'm getting increasingly more leery ( not that you are anyone cares or asked for my opinion of course... ) with comparatives between un-like eras. The climate isn't just changing...it's done/doing so logarithmically - ...the old comparing of Ali to Tyson. Can't really do it. Shouldn't that ( logically ) immediately send ripples of uncertainty when assessing anything now, based up a time(s) prior to the linear part of that change ( on...1990s)? Uncertainty that would naturally only be exacerbated by the last 20 years when the climate change appears to be a curved ascent. You may not be "relying" on '58 through '78 to formulate a speculation framework - that's not what I mean. I'm saying that - for me - I don't think the 'climate signaling' is really being read right these days...because it can't in way? I'm just i gotta say ...I'm a little flummoxed that there is evidence in the actual dailies, for the HC to relax really everywhere around the NH lower latitudes...and the MJO is robust in Phase 7/8... so, the MJO "should" be able to take advantage and show it can exert an influence more. The HC was enveloping the MJO prior... sort of in the same sense why it helped mute the mega NINO in 2015-'16... Gradient detection falters when the HC engulfs - Where the f is it? I wonder if it will all happen at once or something. I dunno. I don't really see the MJO getting into phase 8 on current guidance. Seems to go back into the COD after phase 7. That might change of course. But I'm not surprised we don't see an MJO phase 8 look right now on guidance because it's not getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: That one I provided came via NWS', one of their NP offices and going to their "Observations" link ... I've noticed these sites ( must be ) allowed to create their own interfacing for obs, under a standardized page formatting - comes off that way... Anyway, I put in the "=bos" in the URL bar and it seemed to default the orbital view over the west coast, which is then easy to drift the image over any region of the country and then use track-ball action ( or whatever tech) to then hone in, when/where it automagically fills in with a denser number of sites but very quickly. And that's good. Try this link: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?&zoom=8&scroll_zoom=true¢er=42.08599350447723,-72.08129882812499&basemap=OpenStreetMap&boundaries=true,false,false&obs=true&obs_type=weather&elements=temp,wind,gust&obs_popup=false&obs_density=1 It's centered over SNE but you can create links for any place based on the latitude/longitude and how far you want it zoomed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 25 minutes ago, dryslot said: That's the period i like too. Me, three. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Me three. We’ve been on that train, agree. Slowly they are joining one by one as surface profiles begin to show it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 28 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I don't really see the MJO getting into phase 8 on current guidance. Seems to go back into the COD after phase 7. That might change of course. But I'm not surprised we don't see an MJO phase 8 look right now on guidance because it's not getting there. Ah...I bet that 'unfurls' ...it wasn't supposed to get to 7, either. Typical behavior for that guidance - Not always, no... we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Me three. me four Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’ve been on that train, agree. Slowly they are joining one by one as surface profiles begin to show it. Some were on it before the surface showed it, All you had to look at is H5............ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 26 minutes ago, MetHerb said: Try this link: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?&zoom=8&scroll_zoom=true¢er=42.08599350447723,-72.08129882812499&basemap=OpenStreetMap&boundaries=true,false,false&obs=true&obs_type=weather&elements=temp,wind,gust&obs_popup=false&obs_density=1 It's centered over SNE but you can create links for any place based on the latitude/longitude and how far you want it zoomed. yup... And the national view has it's place cuz ...well, if one is a serious weather dork, it's nice to fly around lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Some were on it before the surface showed it, All you had to look at is H5............ That was my point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, Whineminster said: me four Me five I like every storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That was my point Its the look where it pops up on a surface map all of a sudden and some go where the fuk did that come from?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Just now, Snow88 said: Me five I like every storm And a steady diet of these.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: And a steady diet of these.............. I dont like hotdogs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Just now, Snow88 said: I dont like hotdogs Oh yes you do..... 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 I wonder when the GFS expects us to purchase the 25/26th, but it's unrelenting in its marketing ploy - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Man...this could be so great if we could just get western N/A to cooperate... f. Talking 578 dm heights over Miami, with no flags over 30 nots IN A RIDGE there. That is how you set the table. Problem is, the heights aren't committing to a convincing +PNAP. Funny, both the GGEM and GFS are QPFing the hell outta the eastern seaboard in that time frame, nonetheless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Oh yes you do..... He loves hot dogs he’s a weenie 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: Oh yes you do..... Maybe he likes Bratwurst....lol. Ant's just a die hard snow lover like us all. Tries to find the positive in the situation. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 41 minutes ago, Snow88 said: I dont like hotdogs Donuts? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 The MJO correlation to our sensible weather seems less pronounced than one would expect. Here are some big-time winter months from the past and their predominant MJO octant: Source: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/mjo/ January 78 - 5 Feb 78 - 7 April 82 - low 7 Feb 83 - COD March 93 - 3 Feb 94 - high 3-4-5 Feb 96 - COD Feb 11 - COD Feb 14 - COD Feb 15 - COD then low 7-8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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