ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 06z GFS is almost a straight Miller B for weekend. Redeveloping low pretty early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 11:44 AM, Ginx snewx said: It's been discounted more than the Titans. RGEM is bullish too. Expand We can prob still ignore that system in SNE. Needs to trend south quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 11:02 AM, dryslot said: Ha, That is high probs at this lead for sure, I raised an eyebrow at the Euro clown map. Expand You mean this first one from the weekend event or the second of the entire week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 11:47 AM, ORH_wxman said: 06z GFS is almost a straight Miller B for weekend. Redeveloping low pretty early. Expand That was a much better run for your neck of the woods. Spreads the love out for those SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 11:02 AM, dryslot said: Ha, That is high probs at this lead for sure, I raised an eyebrow at the Euro clown map. Expand Ha BTV’s had 90% chance of snow Sat/Sun since each period entered the picture over the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Is it possible the GFS is schooling the Euro once again for this weekends storm ? Stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 11:54 AM, powderfreak said: Ha BTV’s had 90% chance of snow Sat/Sun since each period entered the picture over the weekend. Expand Hmm, That's interesting because its not like GYX to do it that far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 11:53 AM, powderfreak said: That was a much better run for your neck of the woods. Spreads the love out for those SE. Expand It's been pretty good regardless but it might have kept us all snow this run with an IVT hanging back. Def a weenie run. Ill be happy though with the classic 6-10 with a little IP/ZR and dryslot. Like the euro shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 11:54 AM, Snow88 said: Is it possible the GFS is schooling the Euro once again for this weekends storm ? Stay tuned. Expand GFS didn't even get on the bus for thrsday until yesterday, It has been pretty bad too on several of these events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 11:56 AM, dryslot said: Hmm, That's interesting because its not like GYX to do it that far out. Expand I haven't been too focused on GYX's forecasts since I moved from there 12 years ago. But even back then, they were really conservative on forecasts. I'd be looking enviously at BOX forecasts (and the accompanying SNE-centricity of most posters here) with envy. And then in the end, we'd get crushed. At least that's my recollection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 12:01 PM, moneypitmike said: I haven't been too focused on GYX's forecasts since I moved from there 12 years ago. But even back then, they were really conservative on forecasts. I'd be looking enviously at BOX forecasts (and the accompanying SNE-centricity of most posters here) with envy. And then in the end, we'd get crushed. At least that's my recollection. Expand If they honk at this lead then i pay attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 11:58 AM, dryslot said: GFS didn't even get on the bus for thrsday until yesterday. Expand Frankly, I don't give a rat's ass what model does well for Thursday. It's bupkis for SNE in any case, and that's what matters. : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 12:03 PM, moneypitmike said: Frankly, I don't give a rat's ass what model does well for Thursday. It's bupkis for SNE in any case, and that's what matters. : Expand I'll make sure to give you updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 It would have been pretty bad in the euro had caved on Thursday system. It was locked and loaded with its solution for several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Low end warning snow on the 06z Euro here 6-8", Spitting out close to 0.8" qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 12:11 PM, Hazey said: It would have been pretty bad in the euro had caved on Thursday system. It was locked and loaded with its solution for several days. Expand Yeah, the EPS and ECMWF has schooled other guidance imo with this system. It wasn't just a gfs issue either, all other guidance was very weak with the features and had destructive wave interference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 ICON had a cutter, but that was only other piece of guidance which has some amplitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 12:16 PM, OSUmetstud said: Yeah, the EPS and ECMWF has schooled other guidance imo with this system. It wasn't just a gfs issue either, all other guidance was very weak with the features and had destructive wave interference. Expand It did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 12:03 PM, moneypitmike said: Frankly, I don't give a rat's ass what model does well for Thursday. It's bupkis for SNE in any case, and that's what matters. : Expand Ok without looking it up...give me the literal translation for the Yiddish word bupkis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 11:57 AM, ORH_wxman said: It's been pretty good regardless but it might have kept us all snow this run with an IVT hanging back. Def a weenie run. Ill be happy though with the classic 6-10 with a little IP/ZR and dryslot. Like the euro shows. Expand Agree, just recover the ground good, just hope models don't drop the ball as we get closer to game time..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 12:18 PM, dryslot said: It did. Expand I might have to worry about a changeover to rain at some point here now lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 12:15 PM, dryslot said: Low end warning snow on the 06z Euro here 6-8". Expand Just saw that. Raul, Boston Seminole, was first to key on that energy. I see there are flakes flying in Emass this morning. Logan probably recording 40 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 12:21 PM, OSUmetstud said: I might have to worry about a changeover to rain at some point here now lol. Expand It looks like its ticked a bit more north here too, So to my south its a mix to rain along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 12:22 PM, Ginx snewx said: Just saw that. Raul, Boston Seminole, was first to key on that energy. I see there are flakes flying in Emass this morning. Logan probably recording 40 degrees Expand Could be 2 warning events in 3 days, Fun times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 12:22 PM, Ginx snewx said: Just saw that. Raul, Boston Seminole, was first to key on that energy. I see there are flakes flying in Emass this morning. Logan probably recording 40 degrees Expand Not far off. Logan 37 with light snow which I noticed on my walk earlier. I’m at 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 12:25 PM, weathafella said: Not far off. Logan 37 with light snow which I noticed on my walk earlier. I’m at 33. Expand Yea saw that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Thursday looks like junk in SNE. That is a Dryslot dandy. Hopefully GFS is correct this weekend...but not sure I buy a Miller B at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 But there is nothing wrong with that sensor................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 On 1/13/2020 at 12:31 PM, CoastalWx said: Thursday looks like junk in SNE. That is a Dryslot dandy. Hopefully GFS is correct this weekend...but not sure I buy a Miller B at the moment. Expand Didn't appear that the 06z GEFS was buying it either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 might be time to maybe branch these systems off into different threads? I know the Thursday deal is more for CNE NNE Maritimes but it's confusing chatter between the two potentials. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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