Hoth Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 26 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I just want to say, with the recent warmth, the storms the next two weeks have a lot of energy to ignite something large and expansive off the East Coast. Of Dawn Awakening caliber? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, Hoth said: Of Dawn Awakening caliber? Nothing of that caliber, the only ones that huge for me were the Blizzard of 2005 and Blizzard of 2015 (JUNO) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 12 minutes ago, qg_omega said: SE flow favored eastern dacks and NNE I'm still selling those ridiculous totals unless it morphs into a more legit Miller B coastal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 More of a SWFE right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Longer range thoughts...no big changes. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/01/rumors-of-winters-demise-soon-to-be.html 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Saturday threat...First Call Wednesday night. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/01/winter-may-return-in-earnest-next.html 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Saturday threat...First Call Wednesday night. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/01/winter-may-return-in-earnest-next.html Ray bullish, damn. I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: More of a SWFE right now. Yes. Got plenty of juice but it's hard to get more than a foot in those. Maybe some enhanced areas get 15ish. It could trend more redeveloper obviously. Then we could be talking about bigger totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yes. Got plenty of juice but it's hard to get more than a foot in those. Maybe some enhanced areas get 15ish. It could trend more redeveloper obviously. Then we could be talking about bigger totals. Yes, Foot is generally the ceiling, Unless this morphs into more of a Miller B, A lot of these end up in the 6-10" range, I would say as modeled right now, Its probably on the higher end of the ceiling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 to those using Kutchera snow graphics for most New England snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Those kuchera maps are window dressing, Most events along the coast are in the 7-10:1 range generally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Toss the kuchie on the left hand side 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 30 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Ray bullish, damn. I agree Just prelimary WAG RE ceiling....not even a first call yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 40 minutes ago, dryslot said: More of a SWFE right now. Wasn't it always? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wasn't it always? Ana? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 32 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yes. Got plenty of juice but it's hard to get more than a foot in those. Maybe some enhanced areas get 15ish. It could trend more redeveloper obviously. Then we could be talking about bigger totals. Yea, never forecast over 1' with open mid levels or mid levels to NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wasn't it always? I really have not looked at much here lately so it very well could have been, Just getting a look into these next ones today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: I really have not looked at much here lately so it very well could have been, Just getting a look into these next ones today. Same, but just thought it was always a SWFE...it redevelops in time for N ME , I think.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: Boston, Bridgeport, New Haven, and Providence all set January record high temperatures. That’s fairly substantial. Big time warmth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Thursday seems like nada. Maybe a few flakes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Thursday seems like nada. Maybe a few flakes Yea, maybe a coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Be nice if we were repating 2018 sequence one month sooner...heh. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 I’m kind of bullish on the weekend deal. Most models are really drilling the low well north and west of the area and still delivering a significant thump ~6”+ for almost everyone save for the cape and beaches. If this follows the path of similar storms this year... I’d expect that to become less pronounced, which should lead to snowier solutions, or less mix issues. just a guess 6 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: I'm still selling those ridiculous totals unless it morphs into a more legit Miller B coastal. The thing is that things got unworldly jet max blasting by West is just under our latitude over 120 kn in mid levels… Frontogenics would be off the charts and probably be getting mesoscale QPF clusters that would actually make those totals at local baands. The GFSQPF chart is probably not going to pick any of that up. Thus it’s probably right for the wrong reason at a few points Obviously that’s predicate on the assumption that run’s right otherwise but we don’t even know that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Be nice if we were repating 2018 sequence one month sooner...heh. That would be a treat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 NAM has an inverted trough from Maine to Minnesota. I suspect days and days of snow in NNE starting Monday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: That’s fairly substantial. Big time warmth. It was. I am looking forward to the coming pattern change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Extended reg has a 1002mb low over the benchmark on Thursday morning and some snow for CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 11 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Extended reg has a 1002mb low over the benchmark on Thursday morning and some snow for CNE. If the NAM was extended to hour 108 or so, it would have a similar situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 The main factor for the Thursday system and whether or not the shortwave can trend southward over New England is the evolution of potential west coast ridging as a trough amplifies slows and stalls, allowing heights over the Rockies to amplify and rise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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