TJW014 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 I haven't been following, but best of luck for snow for y'all. Probably all rain here, maybe a few flakes, but confident it stays as rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Current temp 33.8/DP 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 9 minutes ago, CarLover014 said: I haven't been following, but best of luck for snow for y'all. Probably all rain here, maybe a few flakes, but confident it stays as rain here. What’s your location? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just now, NYCweatherNOW said: What’s your location? it says Toms River under his username Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just now, NYCweatherNOW said: What’s your location? Toms River. We're at 38 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Temps get colder when the precip comes inLet's not turn this into a crap show like people did the last few storms. This isn't a NYC storm. I know you love snow, I do even more. But let's be clear here, you can't wish for something to happen that just won't. Most likely all rain for NYC. Maybe some flurries first. This is going to be a serious ice event just to our north. That's the real story here. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Anyway , here is the Nam. Snowy for areas to the north and west of the city. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 From 78/80 north, I think this a 1-3" event with sleet/ice afterwards, north of 84 3-5" with mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Nam has alot of ice just to the north and west of NYC Dangerous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 hour ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Lol it’s 33 degrees how’s that not cold! You ever heard of dynamic and evaporative cooking? Lol. please stop 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Lol. please stopCmon Rjay. Don't you love when your cooking evaporates? LolSent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Also...final reminder that this isnt the NYC forum, its the ny metro forum. If parts of the metro area, including areas ~30 miles from nyc, are going to see frozen precip, it gets discussed here. 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 23 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, the increase in freezing rain just north and west is very concerning. That is very dangerous, usually places like White Plains don't get significant ZR but in this setup it really could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 21 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, the increase in freezing rain just north and west is very concerning. I’ve witnessed some bad icing events in northern NJ over the years but I don’t think I’ve ever seen over .5 inches of ice accretion. Can only imagine the damage an inch would cause. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 I'd be worried about icing north and west. Some guidance showing an inch of freezing rain? Would be devastating to people expecting your run of the mill system under a WWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Why are their two pinned discussions for the same storm? Tis confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Is that really a possibility That is major power outages, with sub zero temps all week. NWS has not even mentioned that kind of ice event all week, and now still says only up to .2 ZR possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 25 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: That is very dangerous, usually places like White Plains don't get significant ZR but in this setup it really could happen. 22 minutes ago, Nibor said: I’ve witnessed some bad icing events in northern NJ over the years but I don’t think I’ve ever seen over .5 inches of ice accretion. Can only imagine the damage an inch would cause. A few miles distance can make a big difference as to where the most significant icing sets up. A small change in temperature of a degree or two is all that it takes. Sometimes it just comes down to nowcast time. But areas that see icing will also have to cope with stronger winds on Wednesday with the sharp Arctic front. Then the very cold temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Don't really have time to make a map but here is my general thinking on the snow. Central Park 1-2" EWR 1-2" LGA T JFK T ISP 1-3" BDR 2-4" SWF 3-6" HPN 2-4" MMU 1-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Yeah, the increase in freezing rain just north and west is very concerning. It'll be close temp wise but yes the northern 1/3 of NJ into CT could deal with very messy conditions. Hopefully things trend warmer. Generally anyone near 30F with dews in the teens currently will have problems later today and especially tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 I...I really hope that map is exaggerated. Up to an inch of ice would be utterly devastating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Given current trends I decided to make an ice map. Anyone in the red or purple could locally see >0.50" but I think anything approaching that range is highly localized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 RGEM seems to agree with NAM, worst of the ice storm will be the immediate northwest burbs The thing to consider will be temps, 32 and ZR is not the same as 20s with ZR Think further up in the HV there will be more mixing with sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 The 12z RGEM is really bad in the ice department for a lot of the area with temps in the 20's at the surface and warming aloft. Hope it ends up being more sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Very rarely do forecast models nail down the exact freezing rain amounts. It's just something they struggle with. I think 0.25 will be the max in some areas. Hopefully not more. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 This is probably going to factor in to precip types later - 850 mb dew points were ~20C drier than modeled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 RGEM is cold just N and W of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: RGEM is cold just N and W of the city Only at the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Only at the surface alot of sleet and ZR just south of that line... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Wow that's dangerous for the Inland areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now