weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Dude, rain is confined to the immediate coast. I’m not going above freezing. Drop the ice map south. The ice map is for freezing rain...not sleet. Freezing rain will occur over a larger area but I highlighted where best chance of freezing rain may accrete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 Nice NCEP vs Everyone else battle. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yup. This has the look of the freezing line straddling the Merritt if not 95. Yeah, I'm banking on some decent accretion here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 15 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: The ice map is for freezing rain...not sleet. Freezing rain will occur over a larger area but I highlighted where best chance of freezing rain may accrete. Which is exactly why I think that line may be farther south. Going to be snow then mainly sleet and only some freezing rain north of 84 if the current colder trends continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 The shortwave is just getting onshore out west now so the 12z models should have a pretty good grasp. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 21z rpm even more suppressed. Metfan jackpot on the 00z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 6 minutes ago, JGNYK03 said: Which is exactly why I think that line maybe be farther south. Going to be snow then mainly sleet and only some freezing rain north of 84 if the current colder trends continue. Oh yeah...if the colder trends continue then absolutely. I would certainly adjust if that were the case. Right now though not 100% confident that happens (though I would hedge that way) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 21z rpm even more suppressed. Metfan jackpot on the 00z run? Wish I could lock that in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 May randomly ban a few people if I don't get a few inches of snow to insulate my bamboo rhizomes before the neggies hit later this week. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: May randomly ban a few people if I don't get a few inches of snow to insulate my bamboo rhizomes before the neggies hit later this week. Bamboo is an invasive species. Which cultivar are you growing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: May randomly ban a few people if I don't get a few inches of snow to insulate my bamboo rhizomes before the neggies hit later this week. Can’t ban me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 21z rpm even more suppressed. Metfan jackpot on the 00z run? Yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 8 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Bamboo is an invasive species. Which cultivar are you growing? Been down that road before on here. It's the running type planning to take over the world. It's in my chicken run and dies back every winter. I get a few new shoots every spring as long as the rhizomes stay mulched and insulated. It struggles in my zone otherwise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Wish I could lock that in Works for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Some narrow zone would get a decent event out of that...with light mood snow accumulations across the rest of SNE/CNE. could be a very sharp cutoff with hardly a flake north of CON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 18z EPS... the mean is only five hundredths of an inch less in QPF than the 12z up this way. Still a decent spread compared to the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Usually it’s the RPM driving these into Montreal. I have never seen an RPM run i like so it must skip Maine. 18 minutes ago, dendrite said: Been down that road before on here. It's the running type planning to take over the world. It's in my chicken run and dies back every winter. I get a few new shoots every spring as long as the rhizomes stay mulched and insulated. It struggles in my zone otherwise. That plant is a tough kill, To get rid of it is not a very conventional method environmentally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: 18z EPS... the mean is only five hundredths of an inch less in QPF than the 12z up this way. Still a decent spread compared to the OP. About how i am expecting this to play out, Just like the rest so far this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: About how i am expecting this to play out, Just like the rest so far this season. We need mainejayhawk to create a gif of you jumping out of an elevated deer stand. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We need mainejayhawk to create a gif of you jumping out of an elevated deer stand. Swan dive right thru the roof of one of Brian's chicken coops. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 I’d love to be in CVT,CNH,SME for this. Mid level goodies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 About how i am expecting this to play out, Just like the rest so far this season.Lol, always room to trim some more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 NAM is definitely gonna be south of that 18z run... no shock there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 So the NAM went from pinging chickens and congrats powderfreak to Montreal on the 18z run to all snow for the pike region on 00z....good model. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 Nam is very cold and south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 Love run to run consistency. As Ginx says...save a horse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: So the NAM went from pinging chickens and congrats powderfreak to Montreal on the 18z run to all snow for the pike region on 00z....good model. LOL. That model had me sipping pina colada’s at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 This should bounce back some starting tomorrow. This is unusually far S for an SWFE at the moment. If not for the crappy organization we would be pounded verbatim down here with this but by the time it organizes it’ll be mostly a CT event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 Block is finally getting realized ? Maybe this will continue to track further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL. That model had me sipping pina colada’s at 18z. NAM is always fun for some laughs. I think it was powderfreak who once said that nobody would really pay attention to it if it came out at 1 instead of 930...lol. I was spewing a little hyperbole there...some pingers actually prob make it past the pike that run but not by much. Amazing how it changed like 100 miles in one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now