STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 KBED has been an area under decent echoes compared with those under the holes of Swiss cheese. Still..weak rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 There's been an obs/nowcast thread up for awhile folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Almost all sleet. Can’t even get a zr storm after the snow failure. Just a complete all around loss Don't forgot your nearly 30" this far. Sniffles for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: 52 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Almost all sleet. Can’t even get a zr storm after the snow failure. Just a complete all around loss Don't forgot your nearly 30" this far. Sniffles for you He has half that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: 53 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Almost all sleet. Can’t even get a zr storm after the snow failure. Just a complete all around loss Don't forgot your nearly 30" this far. Sniffles for you What? I have 16.6” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 He has half thatStill.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 15 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: @WinterWolf To be fair...everybody feels pretty much the same. Not a melt just pointed out it was a bust by modeling. I’m moving on just fine lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 What? I have 16.6”What did you get for the KU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Just now, Lava Rock said: 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What? I have 16.6” What did you get for the KU? 11” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Yeah I am at about 21". I believe the 30" amounts have been up north of the MA Pike towards the route 2 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Just now, CTValleySnowMan said: Yeah I am at about 21". I believe the 30" amounts have been up north of the MA Pike towards the route 2 corridor. Yup. Rte 2 area got crushed Dec 1/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 2 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Chris, lots of peeps go to bed before 11 pm, and they went to bed with a 3-6 inch snow accumulation call for a lot interior SNE. Then at 11 pm, the forecast was changed and downgraded to 1-3 inches, and that’s gonna bust too. This was a horrible performance by modeling...plain and simple. And That’s my point...sure you can keep changing with every model run of the HRRR etc etc in a situation like this...but that doesn’t help the 99% of the general public who’s definitely not watching every model run every hour. I had you in the C-2 range for most of CT that will work out well. I was one of the most conservative on the snowfall last night and i know no one liked it but that's the reality. Fact of the matter is im going to bust high in the 2-4 range for far northern CT. Ice map will be pretty good, glad i didn't go to crazy with that either. Here's some of the latest PNS statements which will fill in as we go on throughout the day from the LFOs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: He has half that Still.... You don't sound very remorseful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 You don't sound very remorseful.Lol. Flakes flying at home. Down in BWI today. Lots of fog/ shwrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Any thoughts on why the initial thump flopped? The 12z HREF yesterday had about 0.5" of liquid by 12z today in the Hartford area. BDL recorded 0.04" of liquid by 12z. Obviously convection to the south played a role... maybe screwed up moisture transport and less convergence along the 850mb jet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Any thoughts on why the initial thump flopped? The 12z HREF yesterday had about 0.5" of liquid by 12z today in the Hartford area. BDL recorded 0.04" of liquid by 12z. Obviously convection to the south played a role... maybe screwed up moisture transport and less convergence along the 850mb jet? Hard to say...I want to blame it on convection but typically when convection robs our conveyor it is closer by than what this was (like in the warm sector of a coastal)....but perhaps it was still able to pull it off if it was strong enough...I wasn't following closely down south yesterday but it did look pretty intense over a pretty decent area. This system never looked great aloft...I remember complaining a few days ago about how horrendously sheared the vortmax was well off to our west versus our more typical larger thumps. Still doesn't explain why the models ramped up the thump so much through 12z yesterday before starting to back off though....it's not like they had a better looking vort for a few runs and then went back to the ugly look....it was always ugly. But they wanted to consolidate a nice WCB thump for a few runs there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Hard to say...I want to blame it on convection but typically when convection robs our conveyor it is closer by than what this was (like in the warm sector of a coastal)....but perhaps it was still able to pull it off if it was strong enough...I wasn't following closely down south yesterday but it did look pretty intense over a pretty decent area. This system never looked great aloft...I remember complaining a few days ago about how horrendously sheared the vortmax was well off to our west versus our more typical larger thumps. Still doesn't explain why the models ramped up the thump so much through 12z yesterday before starting to back off though....it's not like they had a better looking vort for a few runs and then went back to the ugly look....it was always ugly. But they wanted to consolidate a nice WCB thump for a few runs there. Almost seems like the narrow thump just wound up a bit south along the best 850 mb speed convergence? I'm not sure why that happened but yeah that 12z run was a burp yesterday. It was weird seeing all of the HREF members and HRRR go big and then immediately start to pull back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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