HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Absolute garbage. 3k weenie map spitting out 6-10 south of the pike. Must be thinking sleet and snow are the same thing. edit...it is including sleet as snow on TT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 That's a lot of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Jerry, what do the muthafukkas say? That this storm will probably disappoint in the snow department, muthafukka. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 And that's totally incorrect on that TT map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Yeah I agree with scooter....3k isn't always better. Remember how poorly it handled the front end thump in the Dec 1-3 storm? It was pinging the chickens like 30 hours before the event started and I never even flipped here. 12k NAM wasn't as bad. Sometimes it does better synoptically, but I'd tend to focus on how it handles stuff like CAD vs what it's spitting out on the synoptic front. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just now, EastonSN+ said: That's a lot of sleet Well, it thinks the sleet QPF is snow, so cut a ton of those totals off since it goes 10:1 on that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That this storm will probably disappoint in the snow department, muthafukka. What would be disappointing for this event for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Weird how the best lifting 700mb is so far north. Should I be looking at the 850mb? Which is further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 7 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: @weathafella Talk about being unstable............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That this storm will probably disappoint in the snow department, muthafukka. If your expectations are anything but 1-3” or 2-4”, then yup. Disappointed weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Talk about being unstable............lol It is the Sanu of models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 I’ll take a few mothafukking inches and be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That this storm will probably disappoint in the snow department, muthafukka. I was hoping you’d have a more positive weenie outlook this winter but alas, you’re the same...muthfukka...we have always known you as. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I agree with scooter....3k isn't always better. Remember how poorly it handled the front end thump in the Dec 1-3 storm? It was pinging the chickens like 30 hours before the event started and I never even flipped here. 12k NAM wasn't as bad. Sometimes it does better synoptically, but I'd tend to focus on how it handles stuff like CAD vs what it's spitting out on the synoptic front. I find it more unstable, but agree with the CAD aspect. It’s good to gain insight to all that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: It is the Sanu of models He got lucky today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: I’ll take a few mothafukking inches and be happy. Lets turn this into a 4-6 front ender then pellets/dryslot. More exciting than getting 5" over 15 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Lets turn this into a 4-6 front ender then pellets/dryslot. More exciting than getting 5" over 15 hours. Sometimes my latitude helps a tad even though I’m near the water. As long as the 18z gfs doesn’t verify I’ll be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: What would be disappointing for this event for you? 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: If your expectations are anything but 1-3” or 2-4”, then yup. Disappointed weenies 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I was hoping you’d have a more positive weenie outlook this winter but alas, you’re the same...muthfukka...we have always known you as. lol... it was a joke. Id say less than 2” would be disappointing... Great winter so far, no complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Muthafukka, Has not been good this season though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sometimes my latitude helps a tad even though I’m near the water. As long as the 18z gfs doesn’t verify I’ll be happy. What latitude? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: What latitude? Lol I‘m literally the same as Will. It’s all relative, but sometimes it helps. The day after supebowl storm in 2015 had the mix line stop 5 miles from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What latitude? Lol My latitude is pike region. Often that’s the line too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: I‘m literally the same as Will. It’s all relative, but sometimes it helps. The day after supebowl storm in 2015 had the mix line stop 5 miles from me. Latitude def. saves me from the ocean because I think I'm even closer to it than Wilmington... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: My latitude is pike region. Often that’s the line too. Sarcasm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 SEEFS are juiced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sarcasm... No shit... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Man Reggie blasts pike region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just now, ineedsnow said: SEEFS are worthless FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 16 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: That's a lot of sleet This looks more realistic: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 11 minutes ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: Weird how the best lifting 700mb is so far north. Should I be looking at the 850mb? Which is further south This is why you see the term mid-level magic used so often. I have not looked at H7 track tonight but I think a couple of tics N of that in latitude is usually good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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