HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:45 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Absolute garbage. 3k weenie map spitting out 6-10 south of the pike. Expand Must be thinking sleet and snow are the same thing. edit...it is including sleet as snow on TT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 That's a lot of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:45 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: Jerry, what do the muthafukkas say? Expand That this storm will probably disappoint in the snow department, muthafukka. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 And that's totally incorrect on that TT map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Yeah I agree with scooter....3k isn't always better. Remember how poorly it handled the front end thump in the Dec 1-3 storm? It was pinging the chickens like 30 hours before the event started and I never even flipped here. 12k NAM wasn't as bad. Sometimes it does better synoptically, but I'd tend to focus on how it handles stuff like CAD vs what it's spitting out on the synoptic front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:50 AM, EastonSN+ said: That's a lot of sleet Expand Well, it thinks the sleet QPF is snow, so cut a ton of those totals off since it goes 10:1 on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:50 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That this storm will probably disappoint in the snow department, muthafukka. Expand What would be disappointing for this event for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Weird how the best lifting 700mb is so far north. Should I be looking at the 850mb? Which is further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:44 AM, The 4 Seasons said: @weathafella Expand Talk about being unstable............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:50 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That this storm will probably disappoint in the snow department, muthafukka. Expand If your expectations are anything but 1-3” or 2-4”, then yup. Disappointed weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:52 AM, dryslot said: Talk about being unstable............lol Expand It is the Sanu of models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 I’ll take a few mothafukking inches and be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:50 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That this storm will probably disappoint in the snow department, muthafukka. Expand I was hoping you’d have a more positive weenie outlook this winter but alas, you’re the same...muthfukka...we have always known you as. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:51 AM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I agree with scooter....3k isn't always better. Remember how poorly it handled the front end thump in the Dec 1-3 storm? It was pinging the chickens like 30 hours before the event started and I never even flipped here. 12k NAM wasn't as bad. Sometimes it does better synoptically, but I'd tend to focus on how it handles stuff like CAD vs what it's spitting out on the synoptic front. Expand I find it more unstable, but agree with the CAD aspect. It’s good to gain insight to all that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:53 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: It is the Sanu of models Expand He got lucky today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:53 AM, CoastalWx said: I’ll take a few mothafukking inches and be happy. Expand Lets turn this into a 4-6 front ender then pellets/dryslot. More exciting than getting 5" over 15 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:54 AM, ORH_wxman said: Lets turn this into a 4-6 front ender then pellets/dryslot. More exciting than getting 5" over 15 hours. Expand Sometimes my latitude helps a tad even though I’m near the water. As long as the 18z gfs doesn’t verify I’ll be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:51 AM, weathafella said: What would be disappointing for this event for you? Expand On 12/16/2019 at 2:52 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: If your expectations are anything but 1-3” or 2-4”, then yup. Disappointed weenies Expand On 12/16/2019 at 2:53 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I was hoping you’d have a more positive weenie outlook this winter but alas, you’re the same...muthfukka...we have always known you as. Expand lol... it was a joke. Id say less than 2” would be disappointing... Great winter so far, no complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Muthafukka, Has not been good this season though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:57 AM, CoastalWx said: Sometimes my latitude helps a tad even though I’m near the water. As long as the 18z gfs doesn’t verify I’ll be happy. Expand What latitude? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:59 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: What latitude? Lol Expand I‘m literally the same as Will. It’s all relative, but sometimes it helps. The day after supebowl storm in 2015 had the mix line stop 5 miles from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:59 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: What latitude? Lol Expand My latitude is pike region. Often that’s the line too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 3:02 AM, CoastalWx said: I‘m literally the same as Will. It’s all relative, but sometimes it helps. The day after supebowl storm in 2015 had the mix line stop 5 miles from me. Expand Latitude def. saves me from the ocean because I think I'm even closer to it than Wilmington... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 3:04 AM, weathafella said: My latitude is pike region. Often that’s the line too. Expand Sarcasm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 SEEFS are juiced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 3:04 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sarcasm... Expand No shit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Man Reggie blasts pike region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 3:06 AM, ineedsnow said: SEEFS are worthless Expand FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:50 AM, EastonSN+ said: That's a lot of sleet Expand This looks more realistic: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 On 12/16/2019 at 2:52 AM, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: Weird how the best lifting 700mb is so far north. Should I be looking at the 850mb? Which is further south Expand This is why you see the term mid-level magic used so often. I have not looked at H7 track tonight but I think a couple of tics N of that in latitude is usually good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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