BristowWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 8 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Like the icon, gfs is baby bumpin towards a bigger thumpin I’m gonna need triplets to make this a cigar smoking event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Like the icon, gfs is baby bumpin towards a bigger thumpin It ticked south. A few more ticks...lol Sometimes the short range trends work out in the right direction. Sounding at onset is ok up to 850mb. Warm nose pressing in at 800mb so snow to sleet may happen kinda quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 6 minutes ago, Ji said: 10 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Like the icon, gfs is baby bumpin towards a bigger thumpin It ticked south. A few more ticks...lol We live in Loudoun with all of these ticks we will probably will end up with lymes disease 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Not to mention the trend for a near all day frozen event . The colder trend has been real I like the sound of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 I like the trends. Hoping the baby bumpin trends toward a thumpin aren’t setting us up for a ball bustin humpin. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 I predict this will end in an uptick in reapings . Congratz WxWatcher007 . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 5 minutes ago, KAOS said: I predict this will end in an uptick in reapings . Congratz WxWatcher007 . If missing on a crappy lame warm front with a brief period of snow before a big period of rain sends someone over the edge then they have no business even reading the directions let alone actually playing the game 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 36 minutes ago, WVclimo said: 18Z GFS coming into line with the EC, UK and CMC now with a nice thump for N + W zones. Can that hold for 3 days ? Better than our chance of hitting the Dec 22 "storm".....I like it that we're getting something reasonably possible within the 72 hr window, and trends seem to be going the right way for once. It's pretty much a lock that it's going to get washed away regardless, so expectations can't be all that high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 39 minutes ago, WVclimo said: 18Z GFS coming into line with the EC, UK and CMC now with a nice thump for N + W zones. Can that hold for 3 days ? It can get incrementally better if you believe in trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: If missing on a crappy lame warm front with a brief period of snow before a big period of rain sends someone over the edge then they have no business even reading the directions let alone actually playing the game We all know there will be jumpers. Especially if those to the north and west manage to stay frozen while members 50 miles south experience nothing but cold rain . That said, your statement should serve as a PSA. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 I’m gonna need triplets to make this a cigar smoking event I’ll be back in Charlottesville taking my last two finals... hopefully this is an octomom kind of situation or else this thread is just a bad distraction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I’ll be back in Charlottesville taking my last two finals... hopefully this is an octomom kind of situation or else this thread is just a bad distraction. Do well. You need to make a lot of money so you can afford a good snow climo location 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 I'll be flying in from Denver on Monday for the week, so if it snows, you can thank me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Did anybody see the 18z euro? Just curious what it showed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Did anybody see the 18z euro? Just curious what it showed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 18z euro bumped everything north from 12z. Europeans clearly don't understand the spirit of happy hour. Prob sitting around drinking tea and eating stale crackers and stuff. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: 18z euro bumped everything north from 12z. Europeans clearly don't understand the spirit of happy hour. Prob sitting around drinking tea and eating stale crackers and stuff. There's always extrapolation of the 3K NAM..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: 18z euro bumped everything north from 12z. Europeans clearly don't understand the spirit of happy hour. Prob sitting around drinking tea and eating stale crackers and stuff. Or they drink Guinness, which is like 4% abv. Pretty close to water.. My HH stout from Oliver Brewing Company in Bmore was 10%, and thus my hallucinations were much more impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 These models are diabolical 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 18z EPS is just a hair better than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 00z NAM laughs at everyone as it shows... nothing... maybe a quick band that blows by into PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 I guess a low can jump around like a grasshopper. IDK. NAM says it can Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 00z 3km NAM through 60 has a snow band cross into W and C MD early Monday morning... and then thats it as the run ends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Not sure I’d be placing a lot of faith either way in either NAM at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 10 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Icon more amped but colder at the surface. The trend has been clear as far as colder at the surface. Would be a legit ice event up your way. 10 hrs of precip @ 32 or less. Icon doesn't have a cold bias as far as I know. I've seen it be too warm more than once. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 18 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Icon more amped but colder at the surface. The trend has been clear as far as colder at the surface. Icon maps are not the best but it looks like between .25 - .5 qpf falls as some form of frozen across northern MD. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 00z GFS has a better cold press it appears at 12z MON with frozen precip into C VA... but quickly warms to rain for all by 18z MON 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 You can tell there has been a south shift (or maybe it was just better press of cold air) on the 10:1 snow maps (yes I know they suck) when you compare the 12z 84 map to the 18z 78 map and then to the 00z 72 one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 00z CMC came south some... delivers some frozen precip to N VA/MD Monday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Europe destroys us 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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