chuckster2012 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 11 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 6z NAM joins the other models farther south. How far south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Minus a couple runs, most non american models have performed very well with this one as a non event. Riding the op euro usually works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 4 hours ago, snowlover2 said: 6z NAM joins the other models farther south. Looks like an I-71 special! Unfortunately, it’s the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 22 minutes ago, JayPSU said: Looks like an I-71 special! Unfortunately, it’s the NAM. This one might be fun! I kinda wish it was more of an I-70 special and a little more south, but still I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 12z nam coming in south. Pretty much stopping snow band at I72. At least for the WAA snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 12z nam coming in south. Pretty much stopping snow band at I72. At least for the WAA snowHuge changes again aloft.Now it’s trying to close off the main wave as it ejects out. That’s a new one...don’t think we’ve seen a model/run trying to do that, until now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 17 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Huge changes again aloft. Now it’s trying to close off the main wave as it ejects out. That’s a new one...don’t think we’ve seen a model/run trying to do that, until now. . Wouldn't that lead to a further north scenario typically? Seems like it ended up more south. But it also has that high pressure really nudging south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Wouldn't that lead to a further north scenario typically? Seems like it ended up more south. But it also has that high pressure really nudging southIt came north, with more of a slight SW-NE swath/track.It can only go so far north though, with the PV lobe swinging into the northern lakes from Canada.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: It came north, with more of a slight SW-NE swath/track. It can only go so far north though, with the PV lobe swinging into the northern lakes from Canada. . Seemed like the snow swath was further south. But maybe just a narrower band and sharper north cutoff. Starting to feel it will be lucky if this snow even makes it to I74. Sometimes these frontogenic bands can really be thread the needle. Deformation band looks to clip here possibly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 39 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Seemed like the snow swath was further south. But maybe just a narrower band and sharper north cutoff. Starting to feel it will be lucky if this snow even makes it to I74. Sometimes these frontogenic bands can really be thread the needle. Deformation band looks to clip here possibly The snow swath on the northern edge was definitely farther North and later timing as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bhamwx205 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 The CMC is on the northern end of the guidance envelope at this point . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 12z UK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 I guess the 12Z Euro is the nail, or the last straw, for us Northern hopefuls! Ohio and Indiana deserves this though. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Euro coming in further SE than the NAM. Safe to say this storm is pretty much a write-off for most of us given recent trends. But I'll give it till tonight's 00z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 This thread died as fast as it started. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 I know I'm in the minority here but I can live with this trend. If I can get 3" that would give me 7" for the year with January being our snowiest month down here still to come.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 29 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: This thread died as fast as it started. Lol If Chicago isn’t in the game, these threads always die off. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 1 hour ago, Snowstorms said: Euro coming in further SE than the NAM. Safe to say this storm is pretty much a write-off for most of us given recent trends. But I'll give it till tonight's 00z runs. I can't tell you how many times I sat in the bulls eye of a snow storm, only to watch it trend north at the last minute. Hmmm...Curious?? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 5 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: It came north, with more of a slight SW-NE swath/track. It can only go so far north though, with the PV lobe swinging into the northern lakes from Canada. . I am not discounting this one yet. Last week the PV lobe did not swing as far south as was forecasted a few days out. Still holding out hope 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Someone needs to edit this thread subtitle and change the word Euro to Storm 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Curious if we will see any last second shifts with sampling finally occurring tonight and tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Curious if we will see any last second shifts with sampling finally occurring tonight and tomorrow Yeah I'll hold out until tomorrow morning. Need this current system to clear out the way and get some sampling on the Pac energy before making any final calls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 59 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: If Chicago isn’t in the game, these threads always die off. yep. I've moved onto the Christmas day snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 3 hours ago, Frog Town said: I guess the 12Z Euro is the nail, or the last straw, for us Northern hopefuls! Ohio and Indiana deserves this though. This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 1 hour ago, pondo1000 said: If Chicago isn’t in the game, these threads always die off. Check out wx disco. Its just the opposite of here. Everyone is an OV poster 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 1 hour ago, pondo1000 said: If Chicago isn’t in the game, these threads always die off. lol... yea, I don't even have to look at models...if Alek and Stebo are machine gun posting in a storm thread, I know things aren't looking good for us folks in the forum subtropics. As far as this one, I have no feeling either way, probably thinking the best snow is across the northern 1/3rd of Ohio somewhere. Models all have us changing over to rain...seems reasonable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 7 minutes ago, buckeye said: lol... yea, I don't even have to look at models...if Alek and Stebo are machine gun posting in a storm thread, I know things aren't looking good for us folks in the forum subtropics. As far as this one, I have no feeling either way, probably thinking the best snow is across the northern 1/3rd of Ohio somewhere. Models all have us changing over to rain...seems reasonable. Yep, just like when Snowlover2 posts, I know most of the subforum is about to get screwed. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 29 minutes ago, Stebo said: Yep, just like when Snowlover2 posts, I know most of the subforum is about to get screwed. Come on now. That's not entirely true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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