Stebo Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: Come on now. That's not entirely true. Haha, it is most of the time though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 yep. I've moved onto the Christmas day snowstorm. You mean the pre-Christmas warm up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 If Chicago isn’t in the game, these threads always die off. So.....post more then?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 19 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: So.....post more then? . Meh, I just think there’s more people on here in Chi area. My post wasn’t meant to be a bust or anything. Just a fact. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 5 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: You mean the pre-Christmas warm up. Probably, but I'll argue this warm pattern is overplayed. Let's not lose sight of the fact St. Louis is about to get a decent snow event unseen about 7 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 15, 2019 Author Share Posted December 15, 2019 Ouch Looking like a DAB around here. Too bad. At least somebody will get a decent snow, namely around I-70. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 Euro nailed this tbh. The NAM should just be discontinued. It's not as consistent as it used to be. Onto the next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 15, 2019 Author Share Posted December 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Snowstorms said: Euro nailed this tbh. The NAM should just be discontinued. It's not as consistent as it used to be. Onto the next. I don't remember the NAM being consistent, on a consistent basis. It blows a lot of setups beyond 36-48 hrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sidewinder Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 gfs nam and euro all in good agreement now for 4-7 for the indy area. so many times south of town mixing issues rob us blind, will believe it when we can measure it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 27 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Ouch Looking like a DAB around here. Too bad. At least somebody will get a decent snow, namely around I-70. Your welcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 34 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Ouch Looking like a DAB around here. Too bad. At least somebody will get a decent snow, namely around I-70. Yeah....current prediction is 4-7 inches along I-70 corridor by Tuesday morning. Freezing rain risk currently thought of as being farther south to the Ohio Valley. Hope forecast is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Indystorm said: Yeah....current prediction is 4-6 inches along I-70 corridor by Tuesday morning. Freezing rain risk currently thought of as being farther south to the Ohio Valley. Hope forecast is right. I'd rather have just rain than freezing rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 15, 2019 Author Share Posted December 15, 2019 Of course the Canadian rolls in with this right after me going DAB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 8 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Of course the Canadian rolls in with this right after me going DAB Insert eye-roll here.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Man Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 Still some uncertainty, especially with the position of the deformation band Monday night into Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 00z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 I don't dare throw out a guess this far out around here (36 hrs lol) in mid Dec. Still big chance its gonna be a slush fest. Model soundings vary but there's warm tongues floating around from 500 down to 925 depending on the model. Hate I70 App runners this early. 00Z OP runs made a pretty significant shift south except for the Canuk who thinks it's January although it's been very consistent in it's solutions run to run comparatively. I will be pleasantly surprised or normally disappointed either way. Such is winter life nowadays along the whiteknuckle I70 line. Bring on the clippers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 Also it's the annual battle of the AFD's. KIND has me at 4-6 with FRZA mixing in, and curiously only a WWA for technically warning criteria snow. IWX, 2 miles to my north, has me at 2-4 with no mixing issues and curiously no WWA with technically advisory criteria amounts. Baffled a bit, they both betting high? Let the winter games begin lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 7 hours ago, Cary67 said: Your welcome all good. That's the fun of this board to have a healthy debate regarding storms, patterns, and modeling. You and me should have a fun winter. I love a good troll job as good as the next guy. Now go hit the OV peeps on WX disco over the 20 mile fluctuation that will occur with the main snow band. And again, I'll point out a 4-7 " snowfall in StlLouis and Indy is no way to run a mid December mild pattern. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 A slight glimmer of hope from some nice DTX analysis this Sunday am.........I know, I know....I'm grabbing on straws. So far, the satellite representation (including a decent look from GOES-15 in this fairly data void satellite area) of the lead vorticity spokes pivoting around northern upper low suggest this energy may be digging a bit sharper southwest into the Northwest Territories. If the trend were to persist, a slightly deeper mean upper trough would result and the odds that some light deformation snow from the southern system would lift into southern parts of the forecast area would increase. Given this, will not abandon the idea of some light accumulating snow over far southern areas completely despite a definite consolidation of most model solutions in that direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 actually surprised to see a forecast for an inch. I figured shut out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 I'm under a WWA for slop changing to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 I wish the Canadian could be right. Lol. Looks like 1-2in here. In the words of Ariana Grande "thank you next" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 6 hours ago, Jackstraw said: Also it's the annual battle of the AFD's. KIND has me at 4-6 with FRZA mixing in, and curiously only a WWA for technically warning criteria snow. IWX, 2 miles to my north, has me at 2-4 with no mixing issues and curiously no WWA with technically advisory criteria amounts. Baffled a bit, they both betting high? Let the winter games begin lol. It could be because this is happening with 2 waves over a 24 hour period. If they are like ILN who's criteria(in part) is 8" in 24 hours, then it won't meet the criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustMePatrick Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 NWS Wilmington Forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 15, 2019 Author Share Posted December 15, 2019 5 hours ago, Baum said: actually surprised to see a forecast for an inch. I figured shut out. Could squeeze out an inch the closer you get to I-80. Not sure how much farther north that 1" line will get, but wouldn't expect it to reach to ORD, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
496bb Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 1 hour ago, JustMePatrick said: Where did you find this map? Where did you find this map? Ive looked everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 HRRR squeezing out around 0.02" of precip, so hoping we can fluff that up to 0.3-0.4". 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 15, 2019 Author Share Posted December 15, 2019 13 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: HRRR squeezing out around 0.02" of precip, so hoping we can fluff that up to 0.3-0.4". Pumped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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