CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: 3” now You may get 4.5 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 1 minute ago, eduggs said: Was that C - 1" forecast I saw for all of CT ever updated? That rivaled the worst forecasts I've ever seen. Ballsy speculation but stupid forecast. Thank god that guy doesn't forecast for anything that matters. Classic case of trying to beat science/math with emotion. Guidance showed several tenths frozen behind the front for days. Overall this was pretty well modeled from the mid-range. Congrats to those who scored a bit this morning. Here in SENY it was generally 1 - 5" depending on elevation. A nice little event in any month. Jeez agressive much? Everyone makes bad calls or gets it wrong in this field. It happens, give him a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 TAN reporting +SN, 8:20 30.2 26.6 28.9 86 9.2 WNW 30.19 30.24 Heavy Snow, Ice Fog 0.25 900 0.03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Maybe a few more tenths to half inch to finish up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 looks like no snow on the backend for me, turned to crap, do do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Heavy, vis < 1M 31/28 , paved snow covered Middletown RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Snowing decent here in nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said: Some totals so far. 4.5 in Burlington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 21 minutes ago, eduggs said: Was that C - 1" forecast I saw for all of CT ever updated? That rivaled the worst forecasts I've ever seen. Ballsy speculation but stupid forecast. Thank god that guy doesn't forecast for anything that matters. Classic case of trying to beat science/math with emotion. Guidance showed several tenths frozen behind the front for days. Overall this was pretty well modeled from the mid-range. Congrats to those who scored a bit this morning. Here in SENY it was generally 1 - 5" depending on elevation. A nice little event in any month. Ugly dumb post. There is no need. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Steve, good call overall. This turned out more widespread with 3-5 and a lolli to 6. Esp from about Hubby to KBED on south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 16 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: looks like no snow on the backend for me, turned to crap, do do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Ugly dumb post. There is no need. Wiz' concerns re dry air were legit. Seems it didn't quite muscle in as some of the models were showing, and there was strong fronto. I certainly understand his pessimism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Steve, good call overall. This turned out more widespread with 3-5 and a lolli to 6. Esp from about Hubby to KBED on south. Thanks but you know I do it for fun no glory. I just am happy everyone saw snow that basically got shut out on the coast last time. It's a tough crowd here and I didn't mean to upset anyone but I just saw Short wave enhancement and not what was called anafront. There was a bit of anafront but mostly shortwave enhancements. Gonna enjoy the views today while I can lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 22 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: looks like no snow on the backend for me, turned to crap, do do All snow here in orange ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Still snowing pretty hard here.... 3.5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Winners so far. Its gonna snow where it wants to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Snow starting to wind down, maybe an extra 0.2" of fluff, call it 3.7" total...temp dropped again, down to 26.8° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 SE MA catching up for sure. Some final lift pushing through, but fighting dry air coming in as well. Should still add up in those areas that shut off to maybe another 0.5"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: SE MA catching up for sure. Some final lift pushing through, but fighting dry air coming in as well. Should still add up in those areas that shut off to maybe another 0.5"? Brimfield with a 6 from a trained spotter. Also Worcester County... Rutland 6.8 840 AM 12/11 Ham Radio Holden 5.8 700 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Sterling 5.3 548 AM 12/11 Ham Radio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Nice little event, bout 3.5”, everything caked and some mood snow currently at work in Middletown. Festive for sure, we take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 39 minutes ago, eduggs said: Was that C - 1" forecast I saw for all of CT ever updated? That rivaled the worst forecasts I've ever seen. Ballsy speculation but stupid forecast. Thank god that guy doesn't forecast for anything that matters. Classic case of trying to beat science/math with emotion. Guidance showed several tenths frozen behind the front for days. Overall this was pretty well modeled from the mid-range. Congrats to those who scored a bit this morning. Here in SENY it was generally 1 - 5" depending on elevation. A nice little event in any month. Eduggs melted... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 30 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Jeez agressive much? Everyone makes bad calls or gets it wrong in this field. It happens, give him a break. I just hope he learns from it. The model algorithms that estimate QPF, although the least reliable parameter, still "understand" and incorporate physics vastly more accurately than amateur or even professional meteorologists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Eduggs melted... Edsukks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Shit is rebuilding. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Just now, eduggs said: I just hope he learns from it. The model algorithms that estimate QPF, although the least reliable parameter, still "understand" and incorporate physics vastly more accurately than amateur or even professional meteorologists. Well not always. We had an event in Mar 2015 that wasn't far off. Models way too generous near BOS with snow for the same reason. But this one had better dynamics in the same area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Just now, eduggs said: I just hope he learns from it. The model algorithms that estimate QPF, although the least reliable parameter, still "understand" and incorporate physics vastly more accurately than amateur or even professional meteorologists. Low blow bullshit post you made though. WTF. There isnt a person on here who even trained gets it right all the time. What was your call? I mean cmon man 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Shit is rebuilding. Nice. Can see that dry air back here, shrinkage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Low blow bullshit post you made though. WTF. There isnt a person on here who even trained gets it right all the time. What was your call? I mean cmon man There's too much gambling and gut "calls" is "meteorology." It does a disservice to professional forecasters who have a lot riding on their decisions. Stupid "calls" should be called out for what they are. And as far as I can tell (been following this thread for days), you guys really dropped the ball in this regard. My call was model consensus. It worked out very well this time and almost always beats human forecasters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Shit is rebuilding. Nice. Nice band sitting over the house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Just now, eduggs said: There's too much gambling and gut "calls" is "meteorology." It does a disservice to professional forecasters who have a lot riding on their decisions. Stupid "calls" should be called out for what they are. And as far as I can tell (been following this thread for days), you guys really dropped the ball in this regard. My call was model consensus. It worked out very well this time and almost always beats human forecasters. Um I had 3 to 6 for 4 days, which thread where you following again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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