OceanStWx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Thats why BOX is going 1-4 in their advisory product lol. You get some leeway with criteria (theirs is 3") if you want to say impacts will be a problem. They can claim the commute will make 1 or 2 inches problematic and thus issue an advisory for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 starting to sniff like despite all that's transpired across this 'hoping journey' ... the original insights and experience may prevail. waste of time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Dry air advection? That’s what I think he/it means lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: You get some leeway with criteria (theirs is 3") if you want to say impacts will be a problem. They can claim the commute will make 1 or 2 inches problematic and thus issue an advisory for it. That's exactly what they said in the disco actually. It's sub advisory pretty much everywhere. Timing is bad but i don't think roads will be as i said before. I'm pretty certain that 91 and 95 will be just wet. Side streets esp in hilly terrain have issues if we can get some good banding. Is this the latest criteria that you're aware of? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Is this the latest criteria that you're aware of? Yes, that's the current regional criteria. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: starting to sniff like despite all that's transpired across this 'hoping journey' ... the original insights and experience may prevail. waste of time A couple inches or so (2-3) here was all i was really expecting from the start, that happens ill be satisfied. But yes i can't wait for this little turd to flush down the toilet so we can start tracking something real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 27 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I always sign my last name, Legro. I still think someone in SNE could pull off a 3-4" report, but the question is how do you want to message it. Do you prefer to paint a narrow band and potentially put it in the wrong spot? Or would you rather broad brush 3-4" everywhere and know some of that will be wrong? 1-2", locally up to 4". Says 'minor' to all, and that's what the vast majority will have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 19 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: My guess is WSW’s up with morning package PM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: PM? lol, just thinking about that. Where are my warnings. to be frank, the advisories are a stretch and the nws knows it, mostly for timing/impacts as we mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: lol, just thinking about that. Where are my warnings. to be frank, the advisories are a stretch and the nws knows it, mostly for timing/impacts as we mentioned. Agree on the latter. It's really only the best way to convey impact, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice crush job Euro 18th That's been there for the past 3 (main) runs too. Nice to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 7 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: lol, just thinking about that. Where are my warnings. to be frank, the advisories are a stretch and the nws knows it, mostly for timing/impacts as we mentioned. ORH is still looking for there’s from last Sunday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: ORH is still looking for there’s from last Sunday LOL--I was thinking of that. What a hoot that was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: ORH is still looking for there’s from last Sunday A winter weather advisory for 8-13 and now for 1-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 19 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: PM? No changes on 3-6 inland ” and 2-4 coast. Nice to see 12z amp back up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Hoping for a 2-3" pack refresher here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Hoping for a 2-3" pack refresher here. You still have it? I was really curious about you guys up north with all this rain and 50s and snow eating fog how much would be left after today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: You still have it? I was really curious about you guys up north with all this rain and 50s and snow eating fog how much would be left after today The urban and exposed areas have melted off completely in spots but the wooded areas and residential areas still have pretty solid cover 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: You still have it? I was really curious about you guys up north with all this rain and 50s and snow eating fog how much would be left after today About 1-6" here. High of 51F here, yesterday was in the 30's until 4pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 This threat is reminding me of MPM's Nov 8th one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
met_fan Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 You still have it? I was really curious about you guys up north with all this rain and 50s and snow eating fog how much would be left after todayLooking out the window at work in Ware and it looks like it’s mostly grass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 18z looks better vs 12z. Looked like advisory snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 18z looks better vs 12z. Looked like advisory snows. That run would get the job done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 All going according to AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: All going according to AWT Except for the WSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 39 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: This threat is reminding me of MPM's Nov 8th one Do you mean "thread"? I think you do....keep in mind that mine explicitly stated it was a pre-season warm-up. This one is pure mid-season disaster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Except for the WSW Always been 3-6”/4-8 type deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Do you mean "thread"? I think you do....keep in mind that mine explicitly stated it was a pre-season warm-up. This one is pure mid-season disaster. Mid-season? You may want to check you calendar. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Looks like 6-hr precip on the NAM across CT during the time of the changeover is only about 0.1 to 0.25''...which can likely be cut back even more given the dry air...still a major problem on soundings all across CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 You gotta stop with dry air dude. It’s a non factor like Purdue wx said 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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