HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 I’ll be impressed with a coating here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Looks like 6-hr precip on the NAM across CT during the time of the changeover is only about 0.1 to 0.25''...which can likely be cut back even more given the dry air...still a major problem on soundings all across CT Hmm looks unstable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 29 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Mid-season? You may want to check you calendar. Reference to the quality of the thread.....not the date. Eagerly awaiting to drop back into the 40's...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You gotta stop with dry air dude. It’s a non factor like Purdue wx said I didn't really say that - it will be a factor on the back edge of the precip shield and could provide a sharp cutoff in snowfall on the northwestern fringes. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Hmm looks unstable Looks like there is an unstable layer in there...but also looks like there is sinking motion within it. Here is 850 RH at 9z...all the good lift is just above this...I don't think we'll have issues generating snow but we will have problems getting it to the ground. This is why I think the radar may be a bit deceiving tomorrow...especially the higher up the beam is hitting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 18z NAM has bunch, huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 11 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: I didn't really say that - it will be a factor on the back edge of the precip shield and could provide a sharp cutoff in snowfall on the northwestern fringes. But not for most of CT where he’s talking about . Far NW CT perhaps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 RGEM off the sauce and back East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 FWIW there really isn't a whole heck of alot of of precip reports on the back edge of the precip going through TN Valley. Also, PIT did an 18z sounding. This is behind the front. that dry air means business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 15 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Looks like there is an unstable layer in there...but also looks like there is sinking motion within it. Here is 850 RH at 9z...all the good lift is just above this...I don't think we'll have issues generating snow but we will have problems getting it to the ground. This is why I think the radar may be a bit deceiving tomorrow...especially the higher up the beam is hitting what site is this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: FWIW there really isn't a whole heck of alot of of precip reports on the back edge of the precip going through TN Valley. Also, PIT did an 18z sounding. This is behind the front. that dry air means business There won’t be much west of the stronger forcing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: what site is this Cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: There won’t be much west of the stronger forcing. Much of the region gets into the stronger forcing but it just seems that everything favors eastern areas being able to utilize it. Actually...18z NAM 3K and even the RPM are hinting at an extremely thin band of very heavy snow which may develop and scrape SE CT, RI, and SE MA...it's just very progressive though...if something like that can develop and hang around a bit someone could easily get 3-4'' out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: RGEM off the sauce and back East. Based only off whats out so far the Candian Centre Progs it doesnt look too much different from 12Z to me, still a good hit for CT. Still on the higher side of things too it would seem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Based only off whats out so far the Candian Centre Progs it doesnt look too much different from 12Z to me, still a good hit for CT. Still on the higher side of things too it would seem. I just went by that Ptype site. Looked a little less than 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I just went by that Ptype site. Looked a little less than 12z? Little bit less but it looked virtually identical to 12z. Noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 2 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: A winter weather advisory for 12-18 and now for 1-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 36 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: I didn't really say that - it will be a factor on the back edge of the precip shield and could provide a sharp cutoff in snowfall on the northwestern fringes. I hope you realize that you wasted your time by getting a met degree....a few "pro" forecasters here never took one met course BUT yet have a significant level of "expertise" far beyond the professional mets on this forum...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 3;35pm date stamp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Little bit less but it looked virtually identical to 12z. Noise. This is pretty much was i saw @CoastalWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I hope you realized you wasted your time by getting a met degree....a few "pro" forecasters here never took one met course BUT yet have a significant level of "expertise" far beyond the professional mets on this forum...... I am willing to bet that those so called “pro” forecasters don’t have a deep understanding of the physics that drive weather. With that said I will be looking for my 2-4 tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Snowing now in the higher elevations of the Catskills and Green Mountains. Cold air bleeding into SW Massachusetts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: This is pretty much was i saw @CoastalWx That’s fine. I’m on phone so not exactly best way to compare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Briz600 said: I am willing to bet that those so called “pro” forecasters don’t have a deep understanding of the physics that drive weather. With that said I will be looking for my 2-4 tomorrow morning. Those "pro" forecasters have physics confused with psychics......come to think of it they are psychics because for most part they make bad predictions/forecasts.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 RPM still ka ka. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 The creep stalker has returned! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 I wonder if we'll really see the rain pick up this evening. The dynamics are no joke: PWATS over 1''...in December...nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 Yea thats a big steaming pile of do do It was showing signs of life coming back west a bit but now it literally has 0.0 over central CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s fine. I’m on phone so not exactly best way to compare. Did look like it backed off a little for E MA ...more like 2-3" instead of 4-5" but it was still hitting Ginxy to Fozz in N RI with 5" or so and back to like Kevin with 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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