Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, ShawnEastTN said: Looking further upstream in Northern AL nice batch of precip coming up! Just about to say that! Cold caught the moisture for once! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Save the itchy algae! Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 I’m in Farragut under those high returns. It’s barely doing anything here. Must be higher level reflectivity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 I’m in Farragut under those high returns. It’s barely doing anything here. Must be higher level reflectivity Bright banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Oh boy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 I'm really surprised MRX hasn't changed my point forecast. Still says change over to occur at midnight... Lol. Already changing over in the great valley. I mean 12 hours off, is pretty big miss for MRX in my opinion. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Save the itchy algae! Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 7 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Bright banding I saw the banding but when it went through the precip at the surface got lighter not heavier. Just a mist here with temp at 39. Hopefully it does more up your way. Reports of some sleet mixed in with mostly rain off western avenue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 Current afternoon updated forecast. Rain. High near 54. Northwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Current conditions, 32 snow. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Current afternoon updated forecast. Rain. High near 54. Northwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Current conditions, 32 snow.Bwahaha... Sounds like mine too. Not quite sure what is going on with MRX today. It's like they aren't watching OBS and temps of their CWA at all.Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Save the itchy algae! Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Their pm update is coming in about an hour, hopefully they drop the hammer and everything keeps trending nicely. all precip has stopped in Farragut but temperature is dropping more steadily now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xAllVolsx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 34 in Gibbs/Halls. Mix precipitation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xAllVolsx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Snow and Sleet in Halls. 33 degrees. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 There definitely appears to be a large amount of precip upstream in the western valley. Not sure how much of that is getting to the ground or not, especially in lower elevations there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 36 in Morristown snow mixing in with the rain now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Going to be interesting...hires models continue to be overdoing the surface temps in the eastern valleySent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 36 in Morristown snow mixing in with the rain nowWonder if MRX employees have poked their head outside...Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 43/43 as of 1415 in Greeneville. Heavy bands moving through are still 100% rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Going to be interesting...hires models continue to be overdoing the surface temps in the eastern valleySent from my SM-S767VL using TapatalkAlso just for reference, RadarScope isn’t handling precip changeover well. It’s more than 50% frozen where I’m at and it’s all liquid on radar. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 In Morristown, temperature has dropped rapidly, reports of flakes mixing in, starting to think the models were underdoing the cold air 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 Snow down to flurries here but a good band appears aimed this way coming straight up the plateau. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 That band is just starting up here some sleet in it for now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 WWA for the mountains . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McMinnWx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 The latest NAM is slamming the valley. You all would know better than I if there is enough juice to support that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 28 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: Going to be interesting...hires models continue to be overdoing the surface temps in the eastern valley Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk Yeah, at my house it is 35 but the models don't seem to have me getting there for another 4 or 5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, McMinnWx said: The latest NAM is slamming the valley. You all would know better than I if there is enough juice to support that. Not sure if the NAM is handling the mid-level dry air that is affecting precip rates that well or now. I'm hoping it's right though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Took about 10 minutes for that new band to go from 50/50 sleet and snow to mostly snow. It's trying hard to rip some fatties, but just not quite there yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 The NAM initialized a lot differently than what appears on radar. I know a dry level is causing plenty of virga but I'd say the NAM is underselling the precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Now snow sleet mix virtually no rain and 34 degrees under that banding coming up the Eastern rim of the plateau but in the valley.Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Rain snow mix began here around 2 p.m..with the ambient temperature 38. Apparent steep T rates. Precip has stopped for now . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 19z HRRR already changing for the valley..accum showing up quicker already at 3hr Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Pretty big jump on the SREF plumes for Knoxville from the 9am. Average went from 1 inch to 1.8 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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