Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 1 minute ago, weathertree4u said: Some of that is sleet; I was actually kind of wondering if that was the case with that blue color. That was a color I don't see too often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathertree4u Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Just now, Holston_River_Rambler said: I was actually kind of wondering if that was the case with that blue color. That was a color I don't see too often. Yea, I think it will be close - got an awful lot of kiddos headed out the door this am for school - if it changes sooner than expected... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 What's your temp right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 I see a 37 on Wunderground near Cottontown, but lots of 34s north near Protland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathertree4u Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 6 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: What's your temp right now? Believe it is close to 35 right - I would say from the sound of it on the windows the majority of what is falling is now sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Utvols235 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Just switched to sleet here in west Nash. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathertree4u Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Is it just me or has the front stopped southward progress? The line of rain or precip at this point does not appear to be moving southeast precip is simply riding the track southwest to northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 I think the front itself is still moving, but there's still enough moisture being lifted behind it to keep things going for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Cold air starting to move in now in my neck of the woods. Wundergound stations showing a sharp drop in the past hour. Wind has also picked up outside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 NAMs aren't doing so well with the precip. 6z 3km and 12 km NAM radar projections for 7 AM: Radar as of 730 AM RGEM and latest HRRR look better but the HRRR has also been trending better the past few runs, maybe playing catchup with radar presentation? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nash_LSU Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Mostly sleet at my work right by BNA. Changed over between the time it took me to get from my home by the zoo at 6:15 to work at 6:35. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 West side of the state update. I’ve got a sleet, freezing rain mix at 35 degrees at the moment. Looks like a line of snow will move in soon and be around for 3-4 hours. We will see how it pans out 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 I noticed mixed radar returns were already showing up on MRX radar, using Radarscope, near Gainesboro. Is this not very early compared to predictions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Could be some sleet starting to mix in up that way. I know one of the radar products had a giant blog of graupnel over that area when that bright banding was going on. Maybe that helped cool the column a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Looks like the NAM is back on board for the plateau and points east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 The 6z Euro has beefed up just a bit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 The NAM though is still not doing so hot with its precip depiction: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 If you look on models like the RGEM, NAM, and ARW....they all show several little ripples riding up that boundary. Very difficult to model. If the eastern valley scores on this, it will be one of those "micro-bursts"(man, no idea what to call those) moving from southwest to northeast. Again, we are probably talking the difference between one tenth of moisture. Not sure the models are precise enough for that...yet. One day they will likely be. So, I think the reason for the models "waffling" is we are talking about small amounts of precip making the difference between nothing and and inch or two of snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Looks like I should be at 35 by 1PM at the rate the cold air is moving in. Re: Carver's that last ripple has consistently been modeled as the best one, I think whoever gets that one may get a quick inch. Has been projected up towards your area, but I also think the precip is being underdone by the models to an extent. Does precip continue to slightly overperform, no idea, lol. On the local radar sites to the west, you definitely see the dry air trying to intrude. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Just now, Holston_River_Rambler said: Looks like I should be at 35 by 1PM at the rate the cold air is moving in. Re: Carver's that last ripple has consistently been modeled as the best one, I think whoever gets that one may get a quick inch. Has been projected up towards your area, but I also think the precip is being underdone by the models to an extent. Does precip continue to slightly overperform, no idea, lol. On the local radar sites to the west, you definitely see the dry air trying to intrude. With it falling at night, that is also a plus for those of us trying to eek out an inch or two of snow in the eastern valley. Interesting for sure. Will also be interesting to see how the system at 144 evolves over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: Will also be interesting to see how the system at 144 evolves over the next few days. For sure. The way things have been shifting even in the short term could make that one even more interesting! Be nice not to be chasing anafrontal 0.5 to 1 inch, lol, but I'm a beggar, so I ain't choosin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Watch where these enhancements form to our southwest. They are generally modeled to hold together in their trek northeast. Get under one of those and you will be ripping fatties for 30 minutes, give or take. Good luck to those west of us. I hope the precip continues to overperform vs what is initialized in modeling and some of you out that way can get a surprise or two..... 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Just now, tnweathernut said: Watch where these enhancements form to our southwest. They are generally modeled to hold together in their trek northeast. Get under one of those and you will be ripping fatties for 30 minutes, give or take. Good luck to those west of us. I hope the precip continues to overperform vs what is initialized in modeling and some of you out that way can get a surprise or two..... Getting some light snow now in north-western hardeman County at the moment. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Think I just caught the front moving through NE TN on NEXRAD, either that or some weird leeside of the plateau enhancement. Interesting to see how it seems to move across the N sections more quickly 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xAllVolsx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Had some mixed precip in the Corrynton area about 50 min ago 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Think I just caught the front moving through NE TN on NEXRAD, either that or some weird leeside of the plateau enhancement. Interesting to see how it seems to move across the N sections more quicklyWell that tells us the mountains didn’t slow it down any. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Interesting the HRW/WRF mods I believe are for convection and they are showing more totals right over the Central Valley. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Assuming the weather stations are working properly, there’s a 10 degree drop from Oneida to Oliver Springs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Snowing here,some mist mixed in still tho but it's getting better 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Snowing here,some mist mixed in still tho but it's getting betterFine flakes?..JW if the dry slot is messing with the DGZ out your way.Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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