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December 11 Frontal Wave Snow Event


WxUSAF
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If this verifies in the realm of what is currently modeled, wasn't the CMC the first of the major models to lay down the stripe from SW Va to the DC metro area?  Granted, it had 14" or so for my area in one of the subsequent runs, but it had the general idea right if the models end up verifying.  I haven't been following to closely until yesterday, but I remember the 0Z Thursday CMC output on TT:

image.png.788afe3db9bbeb45dabd402d02c7ccb6.png

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9 minutes ago, Winter Wizard said:

Frontogenetic forcing on the GFS continues to look impressive. The 250 mb Jet steak is also sharper and puts us right in the right entrance region. I suspect we’ll see some pretty intense banding with this system, likely N and W of the cities. 

BADB2620-52A7-45EA-8F6A-D88E9024472D.png

This would mean potentially higher ratios, no?

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6 hours ago, WesternFringe said:

If this verifies in the realm of what is currently modeled, wasn't the CMC the first of the major models to lay down the stripe from SW Va to the DC metro area?  Granted, it had 14" or so for my area in one of the subsequent runs, but it had the general idea right if the models end up verifying.  I haven't been following to closely until yesterday, but I remember the 0Z Thursday CMC output on TT:

image.png.788afe3db9bbeb45dabd402d02c7ccb6.png

For example, here is the same run for the GFS.

image.png.8785c555a5bacd34171fd64dff167f5d.png

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