penndotguy Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 crazy weather, seems I've had more snow squall warnings today then I've had Winter storms warnings in the past 2 years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 9, 2020 Author Share Posted January 9, 2020 Cold morning out there, current temp 24 Pretty impressive that we will be in the 60's this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 9, 2020 Author Share Posted January 9, 2020 Temp has actually dropped to 23 here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Bottomed out at 22 here this morning - even with the puffs of wind that kept up overnight... so that was some serious arctic air (the low dp of 8 seems to confirm that). Currently 24 and clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Two camps on the coming pattern change: Camp 1 - Pattern change to cold and possible snowy after the 16th, many in this camp expect this to last deep into February which would be unusual we usually don't do that very well but it can occasionally happen. Camp 2 - Change to normal/below after the 16th likely lasts 10-14 days then oscillates back to first half of January pattern. This falls in line with the mild winter forecasts that have scored highest to this point. Also Weather World a few days ago did their 5 week outlook which is 2/3rd of the time normal to above, which argues this cold wave will be transient. What does this mean? We better score good snow the last third of January because that may be all she wrote outside of more late season garbage like the last two winters. Camp 2 seems most likely given the progression we are seeing in the overall N Hemi teleconnections. Fairly certain the current meh pattern will begin to progress into something more workable as the strong N central PAC ridge begins to migrate/extend into the EPO region allowing for continental cold air intrusions. With the said, the PAC will still continue to rule to show. While the Scandinavian ridge will eventually attempt to bridge across the AO region and provide a favorable window, it appears to the me the theme of transient Atl and HL features will continue on well into mid February while the more stable mid lat features may return to their base state (-pna/central PAC ridge/se ridge). When the EPO ridge wanes we will once again be dependent on transient blocking/ridging on the Atl side for windows. Not surprising we arent getting a sustained favorable pattern but rather windows of opportunity. Better than a complete shutout look. Tbh I can see us transitioning to cold and dry early Feb before the EPO ridge relaxes and things return to hostile in the N central PAC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 My current forecasted low Saturday into Sunday is 60F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 On 1/7/2020 at 11:45 PM, Albedoman said: A few days ago this wasn’t shown to get out of phase 5 before going into the COD. Now it’s higher amplitude is getting it into 6 with members now showing it going into 7 then 8. It will keep correcting our in time. Solid call on this it appears. Euro takes it near 8 then cod. Cfs ishigher amp into 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 I can’t wrap my head around the MJO, I’m gonna have to search it up, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 I just spotted a slug! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 JF 94 redux looking more and more possible starting next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: JF 94 redux looking more and more possible starting next weekend ECM is in no way like 94 and GFS has a terrible fantasy cold bias Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 6 hours ago, RedSky said: ECM is in no way like 94 and GFS has a terrible fantasy cold bias Cant deny there is some serious cold being modeled to pour into the US after next weekend. EPS is more aggressive with this than the usually cold-bias GFS/GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 9 hours ago, RedSky said: I just spotted a slug! Saw a ladybug here yesterday afternoon.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 I have seen some spiders on the move too. Will get worse this week. I do hope we get at least some stretch of cold to kill off the pests. The mold and mildew situation isn’t good at all either with all the warmth and wetness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 60 degrees at 10am in January just seems wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 38 minutes ago, penndotguy said: 60 degrees at 10am in January just seems wrong. Seems just fine to me....let the roller coaster ride begin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 67F Do I need sunscreen today lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Lol. Cmc redevelops a low off Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Had a "low" of 48 this morning and it's currently 65 here and getting mostly cloudy. Dps are in the (somewhat) juicy low 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 2 hours ago, penndotguy said: 60 degrees at 10am in January just seems wrong. We had a day in February last season that was above 70f. Cant remember the exact high but I went snowboarding in a T-shirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 My car thermometer read 71 at 2 pm. Was in langhorne pa. Are other areas breaking 70 in the area or is my car thermometer just running hot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Next weekend has the wiggum rule going for it. I think it's looking like a solid thump to ice to light rain/drizzle scenario. Finally a legit winter threat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 63.7 currently which is the high temp - also represents a elevation record high for the day - eclipsing the old mark of 59.6 in 2014. The all-time Chester County mark of 67 set back in 1975 appears to remain safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Just smashed a stink bug. Currently 66 and overcast here. Have been able to open the windows and back door to air out the house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 13 minutes ago, The Iceman said: My car thermometer read 71 at 2 pm. Was in langhorne pa. Are other areas breaking 70 in the area or is my car thermometer just running hot? Langhorne deep into the urban heat island land of concrete and asphalt it's legit. I hit 68F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 11, 2020 Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 Warm day out there, current temp is 67 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 8pm and it's still 66F. Wonder if someone would have made a run at 80F today with full sun?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 64F at 11pm and MOTHS at the floodlight, ok were doomed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 Current temp is 66 here, very impressive for a nighttime temperature in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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