Ralph Wiggum Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 30 minutes ago, RedSky said: Charlie Brown what did you get for xmas "I got a lake" You may very well be right. Like you said 50/50. I'm just playing devil's advocate with you. Your glass is half empty mine is half full. Just keeping discussion open and both of us are presenting different sides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: You may very well be right. Like you said 50/50. I'm just playing devil's advocate with you. Your glass is half empty mine is half full. Just keeping discussion open and both of us are presenting different sides. Half full of Cap'n Jack let's drink 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Half full of Cap'n Jack let's drink cheers!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Come on man do you SEE the WEST, THAT IS NOT an east coast snow storm look, i feel like DT lol Nao and AO will be favorable so yes a snowstorm is possible if the west cooperates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 On 12/13/2019 at 8:51 PM, RedSky said: Come on man do you SEE the WEST, THAT IS NOT an east coast snow storm look, i feel like DT lol Predictably models abandoned the idea of an east coast snowstorm next week. Giant troughs out west are not conducive for snow in this region. Depressingly Don S has updated and came up with a not so pretty 69% chance for <20" snow NYC +NAO +AO this month Are the 80's back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Mesos still looking good for some snow squalls tomorrow evening as a trof swings thru the region. Northern areas favored. Any of those could drop a quick localized c-1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 3k NAM jumped on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 ^^ probably the best shot of snow for the rest of the month. Looking like we punt the next 2 weeks at least. Long range ensembles show the pac improving as we head into early January but you have to wonder if that is too quick of a breakdown. I'm skeptical right now that the west coast trough will be as transient as currently depicted. One positive is that the ensembles are showing blocking in the AO and NAO area's through the end of the run so we have that going at least. Overall though think we see much of the same, warm/wet and cool/dry until the PAC gets in better shape. I'm thinking it won't be until mid January until we get the pattern where we want it. Let's see where we are in 2 weeks before hitting the panic button. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 The frustrating thing is most of our really good winters had a solid December. Hopefully things will begin to improve over the coming weeks. Getting really sick of cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 1 minute ago, JMcCaughey42 said: The frustrating thing is most of our really good winters had a solid December. Hopefully things will begin to improve over the coming weeks. Getting really sick of cold rain. I dont remember reading any outlooks calling for a "really good winter". Most outlooks called for avg to below avg snowfall this winter with a crud December and better January, February, and some March. I went with avg to above avg and chances for a bigger storm....maybe 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 12 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I dont remember reading any outlooks calling for a "really good winter". Most outlooks called for avg to below avg snowfall this winter with a crud December and better January, February, and some March. I went with avg to above avg and chances for a bigger storm....maybe 2. True, I guess I should temper my expectations. I just love December snow ha. Let's hope things actually improve this year. Last year was really rough as a snow lover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Well, broke 5 inches of rain this month....in December. That's something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Hrrr is in for SE PA squalls. Tomorrow afternoon and early evening could be fun....short-lived but fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 18, 2019 Author Share Posted December 18, 2019 Current temp is 31 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 all it takes is one Miller A to set us over the average... look up folks still plenty of golf left to play. Not even solar winter yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 HRRR and 12Z NAM still show some flakes flying later today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, JTA66 said: HRRR and 12Z NAM still show some flakes flying later today. SE PA has a few squalls set to move thru between 5 and 9pm. Some spots may pick up a quick C-1" still it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 NWS didn't show much on the forecast for this last night. These trough events have a tendency to over perform. Tend to come in fast and furious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 4 hours ago, zenmsav6810 said: all it takes is one Miller A to set us over the average... look up folks still plenty of golf left to play. Not even solar winter yet. It's like this - the analogs as Don S has eloquently described call for an awful <20" winter at this point. Now last year the analogs were very good(snowy) and we know how that worked out. Need the opposite to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Getting a random flurry or two, 35F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Just had a nice little snow shower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Getting a nice burst of snow right now near phoeonixville. Coming down pretty good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Delaware Valley Weather Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 A decent snow shower just wrapping up here in Exton. Current temp is 32. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 this squall just laid down a little dusting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Sky just puked for about a minute. Looked cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Second heavy squall of the day in Bath. Everything is covered with a nice coating of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 18, 2019 Author Share Posted December 18, 2019 Picked up a dusting of snow with a moderate squall that went through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Had snow in the air a few times today from flurries, not enough to dust anything up, but nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Just had an intense squall come through Western Berks, roads are skating rinks and accidents all over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Another good squall this time a with a coating. Accumulating on roads and also blowing around a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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