donsutherland1 Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 This morning, the temperature fell to 14° in Philadelphia. That was the coldest temperature this winter and the coldest since February 2, 2019 when the temperature fell to 11°. So far, Philadelphia has had no days in January or February during which the high temperature reached no higher than 32°. The only time January and February saw no such days was in 1932. December 1931 also had no such days. However, March 1932 had 4 days during which the high temperature reached no higher than 32°. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sibbley Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 I had 6F this morning at 5:30 AM with a slight breeze. As of 8:42 AM, temp is up to a whopping 11F. Still just a slight breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 Bottomed out at 13F (12.7) this morning with dps below 0 (-1F). That's when you know there's arctic air passing through. Currently "up to" 23 here now. with dp 6... and overhead we've got that big ole high, so there's truly not a cloud in the sky (my rhyme for the day ). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 18z GFS has the coldest stretch of winter in late Feb and early March, as in you got to be ****ing kidding me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 With snowfall prospects likely remaining bleak through much of the second half of February, at look at March concerning the Arctic Oscillation and PNA is useful. During March, the wave lengths are continuing to shorten, so the diversity of 500 mb patterns with (and also without) snow tends to increase. Below is data for March 1981-2019 for Philadelphia: AO-/PNA-: Mean Temperature: 43.0 degrees % Days with Measurable Snow: 4.3% % Days with 1" or More Snow: 2.2% AO-/PNA+: Mean Temperature: 42.1 degrees % Days with Measurable Snow: 7.0% % Days with 1" or More Snow: 2.8% AO+/PNA-: Mean Temperature: 43.3 degrees % Days with Measurable Snow: 10.0% % Days with 1" or More Snow: 5.0% AO+/PNA+: Mean Temperature: 45.1 degrees % Days with Measurable Snow: 3.6% % Days with 1" or More Snow: 1.6% March 1981-2019 Period: Mean Temperature: 43.4 degrees % Days with Measurable Snow: 6.3% % Days with 1" or More Snow: 2.9% Biggest Snowstorm (March 1950-2019): AO-/PNA-: 11.4", March 1958 AO-/PNA+: 8.8", March 1981 AO+/PNA-: 12.0", March 1993 AO+/PNA+: 6.0", March 2017 (only 4" or greater snowstorm with this combination) Of course, more is involved than the state of the teleconnections. But the teleconnections can provide some starting insight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 Really light flakes in lake harmony, PA at Big Boulder. Just got up here, never been before. Not very big.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 My high just barely hit 32 (31.8) yesterday and my low for today (so far) was at midnight at 26. Did make it up to 47. Currently 43 and partly cloudy. 1 hour ago, ChasingFlakes said: Really light flakes in lake harmony, PA at Big Boulder. Just got up here, never been before. Not very big.. That's where I went on my first ski trip back in high school... I think in 1978. The one issue we ran into on the trip that day was that despite a decent snowpack, the temps were above freezing (may have been the low 40s), so right when you were getting off the lift, the snow at the jump-off point had melted a bit and packed down, becoming a glacier with water on top. So as skiers hopped off the lift, they immediately slipped and fell and they had to stop the lift each time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 2 hours ago, ChasingFlakes said: Really light flakes in lake harmony, PA at Big Boulder. Just got up here, never been before. Not very big.. I think it's 500 feet (max)? Back in the day I liked Elk Mountain - a further drive, but not as crowded and about double the vertical drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 49 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: My high just barely hit 32 (31.8) yesterday and my low for today (so far) was at midnight at 26. Did make it up to 47. Currently 43 and partly cloudy. That's where I went on my first ski trip back in high school... I think in 1978. The one issue we ran into on the trip that day was that despite a decent snowpack, the temps were above freezing (may have been the low 40s), so right when you were getting off the lift, the snow at the jump-off point had melted a bit and packed down, becoming a glacier with water on top. So as skiers hopped off the lift, they immediately slipped and fell and they had to stop the lift each time. Back in 1971 they had 2 feet on Thanksgiving so I drove up there on Friday for the day. I went one other time and it had rained, froze, been "groomed", and you really didn't want to fall cuz it was like skiing on ice cubes, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 1 minute ago, KamuSnow said: Back in 1971 they had 2 feet on Thanksgiving so I drove up there on Friday for the day. I went one other time and it had rained, froze, been "groomed", and you really didn't want to fall cuz it was like skiing on ice cubes, lol. I believe it. And what was also bad were the grooming tractor ruts on the sides of the slopes that had melted and then frozen into mini concrete-like pillars that you sure didn't want to slide into. My only other trip up to the Poconos was the following year to Tamiment Resort (which was north of Bushkill Falls) in January for a senior class trip, and it rained the whole weekend with temps in the 40s and lots of fog. They did have an enclosed ice rink at that time that my classmates checked out, but all-in-all, that January was a winter FAIL (although the big snow did come the next month). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 hour ago, KamuSnow said: I think it's 500 feet (max)? Back in the day I liked Elk Mountain - a further drive, but not as crowded and about double the vertical drop. Yeah about 500-600ft and very gradual slope. Pretty much a massive terrain park as the mellow slope is perfect for those. Big 'culture' shock going from riding Jay and Wildcat two weeks ago. Not really my cup of tea but nice to check out on one of my few days off to ride. Elk is great, definitely worth the driv for more consistent snow and pitch. Rains to Canada they said.. 2 hours ago, Hurricane Agnes said: the snow at the jump-off point had melted a bit and packed down, becoming a glacier with water on top. So as skiers hopped off the lift, they immediately slipped and fell and they had to stop the lift each time. A bit like today, some ice out on the hill and frozen slush at the lift boarding and exit points. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Got down to 19F overnight...almost makes you think it was winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 52 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Got down to 19F overnight...almost makes you think it was winter. Deceiving looks outside today. Not knowing the weather forecast I would have guessed 40-50F but I'm at 29F. (11:20am) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Had a low of 19 just before sunrise and it just got to freezing about an hour ago. Currently 33 and clear with pristine blue skies. You can feel the sun warmth though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Welcome to spring 50 already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 “Welcome to”?? It’s been spring since Thanksgiving. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Welcome to spring 50 already Not only that but you can really feel the Spring sun kicking in...it penetrates the skin. Took a walk and I think I could get some color today if hanging outside? Winter sun may be bright but doesn't "hit you" like a late Feb/heading toward Spring sun does. It's a vast difference from early Dec through Jan then it slowly goes downhill. We're on life support.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 62F. Feels great outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 60F Relieved to see the GFS March cold wave was just the GFS doing it's bias thing. After next weekends cold snap looks like early spring is on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 4 hours ago, RedSky said: 60F Relieved to see the GFS March cold wave was just the GFS doing it's bias thing. After next weekends cold snap looks like early spring is on the table. This weekend may be the last time we see 30s for a high and any chance of snow is a pipe dream.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 24, 2020 Author Share Posted February 24, 2020 Made it to a high of 62 here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Made it to 60 here as well around 1 pm and had a low of 29. Currently overcast and 52. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 Our NE PA friends may see some snow on the backside tomorrow. Perhaps even down to Allentown may see some flakes at the end. NAM gives Scranton 1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 I'm crossing my fingers we can get a similar system to tomorrow to occur a month from now. Would be a very interesting severe set up if that was the case. I think we're in for a decent severe spring with no signs of the pattern changing. That would be cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Seems like a lot of the rain events of late have been under performing. Looks like more of the same tn. Was looking like a 1"+ of rain a few days ago, now looking like a half inch or less. Fairly below normal which isn't a surprise due to the lack of snowpack across the region. Next few weeks look active though so we may be able to put a dent in this. Still fires like the one on Tammany the other night may start becoming more frequent if we don't get some more soaking rains soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 19 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Seems like a lot of the rain events of late have been under performing. Looks like more of the same tn. Was looking like a 1"+ of rain a few days ago, now looking like a half inch or less. Fairly below normal which isn't a surprise due to the lack of snowpack across the region. Next few weeks look active though so we may be able to put a dent in this. Still fires like the one on Tammany the other night may start becoming more frequent if we don't get some more soaking rains soon. That map is low for me. Currently at 5.46" of precip on the year which is just about average for Jan and Feb. Tonight should put it over. Seems like it's almost always cloudy and/or raining. Edit: Taking another look at that map, it's really not that much lower than reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 9 minutes ago, BBasile said: That map is low for me. Currently at 5.46" of precip on the year which is just about average for Jan and Feb. Tonight should put it over. Seems like it's almost always cloudy and/or raining. Edit: Taking another look at that map, it's really not that much lower than reality. Yeah S jersey has done better than PHL and N and W. PHL is at 4.51" on the year so far. Currently ranked 109th out of 136 years. Average to date is around 5.6" so about an inch below normal so far. A few active weeks should erase that though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Yeah S jersey has done better than PHL and N and W. PHL is at 4.51" on the year so far. Currently ranked 109th out of 136 years. Average to date is around 5.6" so about an inch below normal so far. A few active weeks should erase that though. Didn't realize PHL was that much lower. Almost an inch less and only 14 miles from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 8:49 AM, The Iceman said: I'm crossing my fingers we can get a similar system to tomorrow to occur a month from now. Would be a very interesting severe set up if that was the case. I think we're in for a decent severe spring with no signs of the pattern changing. That would be cool. True that. Pretty sad but I'm looking forward to tonight's rain (w/possible thunder) and a gusty/windy day tomorrow with highs around 40 but wind chill much lower. 50F cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 give me this set up in late april/may... Would likely be a severe threat in March, but that would be an epic look with better instability like we'd see in April or May. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now