Thinksnow18 Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 38 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Euro has cutter after cutter It appears the lower west side of MI is under a WWA for 3 to 6 with areas of 8 inches from tonight through tomorrow am. Wonder if this is all lake effect or a hybrid... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 30, 2019 Author Share Posted December 30, 2019 13 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: It appears the lower west side of MI is under a WWA for 3 to 6 with areas of 8 inches from tonight through tomorrow am. Wonder if this is all lake effect or a hybrid... hybrid, better moisture and low placement there than here and slightly colder temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 Watch issued 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 22 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: hybrid, better moisture and low placement there than here and slightly colder temps. Same old story. The colder air 400 miles to our west will modify enough to keep us from anything substantial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 Nws took the old map and made it the low end lol Slight increase east of Ontario.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 High end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 Finally transitioned to a snow rain mix. Currently 31 food glaze of ZR everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 Rgem has a really strong band from tomorrow evening through Wednesday afternoon...We flip to snow around 4-5 pm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 So close to being a nice event for wny Im just hoping we can cover the mud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 Rgem has a really strong band from tomorrow evening through Wednesday afternoon...We flip to snow around 4-5 pm.. Just trying to figure out how the KBGM area gets 5", lol?? The RGEM has to be one of the worst with precip placement but we'll see as itll be here after the event for posterity Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 Over 20" in the Tug, NOT happening especially not this time as a 20"+ event dont come around all that often. Moisture gets absolutely stripped from the coastal that developing and the temps don't really go all that low, at least for this time of year so I, at least, dont see totals eclipsing the 12" mark in any one location, but I hope I'm wrong for sure!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 This is what happens when u get to much cold, u get suppression..Fooked either way lol Gfs also shreds the previous clipper.. The pattern will relax after this and we will be back to cutters.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 Gfs ushers in some of the coldest air this season after the next system/front.. We may see more snow than rain verbatim even though it cuts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 5 hours ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: Yes, I am not upset. Models clearly overestimated the weak cold that was in place. Overestimates cold at both surface and upper levels . Models suck. Underestimated the warmth push. Useless. Anyways I’m off to California next week. Happy new year. Hope to catch some snow in the LA mountains Ehhh. The models were pretty consistent with pushing the -4 700 line well into Canada. That’s the one I watch. Go with the warmest model and add 30 miles. I’ve been burned too many times. The lake plain just ushers all that warmth right from Cleveland to Rochester, the escarpment changes a bit near Syracuse- so they sometimes hold on. Enjoy Cali! I’m off to Wyoming and Montana in a few weeks. And then to your neck of the woods, specifically to Iceface Mountain, in February. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2019 Share Posted December 30, 2019 Changed over to all sleet at the moment, 36.3°. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 I am so glad I got some riding in before Christmas. 200 miles. You go when there is snow. Keeping an eye on day 6. Not expecting too much but there are a few ways it can snow synoptically or LE or both. I’ll worry about the LR later. Track what’s coming next. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 HWO issued for metro BUF tomorrow. Good call on this! Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 959 PM EST Mon Dec 30 2019 NYZ010-011-010300- Northern Erie-Genesee- 959 PM EST Mon Dec 30 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Tonight. The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. A band of snow will move through the area during Tuesday afternoon. Although snow accumulation will only be a couple inches, there may be a burst of heavy snow which could impact the evening commute. They added a blurb in the AFD as well... There may be a burst of heavy snow across the Niagara Frontier Tuesday afternoon with the passage of the upper level trough. Even though it will not be cold enough aloft for pure lake effect snow, mesoscale guidance suggests a convergence band may develop down Lake Erie with a potential for a brief period of heavy snow. Snowfall amounts should be in the 1-3 inch range since the band will be moving, but timing is such that it may impact the early portions of the evening commute in the Buffalo metro area. Adjusted the HWO to reflect this risk. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 31, 2019 Author Share Posted December 31, 2019 92 pages! New thread for the new year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 4 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: 92 pages! New thread for the new year! Models looked better for snowfall overnight...gfs 6z has the clipper back for late in the weekend with plenty of cold around COULD be a chance for some appreciable snows with lake effect setting up during that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 The flow across the upper Great Lakes is definitely not WSW or even West for that matter so things may be interesting tonight for a few hrs perhsps before everything heads North, so let's hope so for our sakes, lol!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 Looks like get another round of hefty rain coming our way, with temps in mid 40's, what a joke, enjoy gentsSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 We can't even get snow to fall with the dam front itself, as that to is going to be rain!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 5 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: We can't even get snow to fall with the dam front itself, as that to is going to be rain! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Freak there's a new thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 Yeah best me to it lol https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/52880-upstateeastern-new-york/?tab=comments#comment-5404143 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 31, 2019 Share Posted December 31, 2019 Bring on Spring and summer already Cause if we're not gonna have a Winter I'd rather nice Sunny warm weather then this horrific garbage that we're experiencing in upstate New YorkSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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