wolfie09 Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 It's snow, enhanced by the lake.. Doesn't mean it will happen though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2019 Author Share Posted December 26, 2019 EPS shows cold sliding down under from Alaska. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Pivotal doesn't show sleet as snow.. It’s sleet and you’re forcing it to 10:1 which is too high in this setup 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: It’s sleet and you’re forcing it to 10:1 which is too high in this setup once again pivotal doesnt include sleet in its formula. the 10:1 i agree is a bit high maybe 8:1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 31 minutes ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: once again pivotal doesnt include sleet in its formula. the 10:1 i agree is a bit high maybe 8:1. Well be interesting to watch the trends next few days I’m down in the Lake George area until Monday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Currently 56 deg here with a heat index of 68...Seriously, it’s really warm out right now! The 56 deg does feel warmer with some humidity in the air and no wind. This type of winter nighttime warmth usually precedes a strong cold front that sucks GOM air up in front of it. Not so much this time...Kinda weird actually. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Currently 56 deg here with a heat index of 68...Seriously, it’s really warm out right now! The 56 deg does feel warmer with some humidity in the air and no wind. This type of winter nighttime warmth usually precedes a strong cold front that sucks GOM air up in front of it. Not so much this time...Kinda weird actually. I actually spray painted some furniture that my wife and I refurbish...and it dawned on me it's December 26th...the beer tastes great though... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2019 Author Share Posted December 27, 2019 6 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Currently 56 deg here with a heat index of 68...Seriously, it’s really warm out right now! The 56 deg does feel warmer with some humidity in the air and no wind. This type of winter nighttime warmth usually precedes a strong cold front that sucks GOM air up in front of it. Not so much this time...Kinda weird actually. My car thermometer read 61. I just went to Lowes in shorts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 6 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: EPS shows cold sliding down under from Alaska. Keep hearing different ideas of how January, and indeed the winter, will turn out. Up here in Canada, Environment Canada is calling for a mild winter ,while The Weather Network is calling for a cold winter. Ryan Maue is calling for a warm first half of January while JB is calling for a big flip to cold. Will be interesting to see how it all turns out. I hope this doesn't go the way of 2005-2006 - that winter was originally predicted to be cold only for January to be a torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: My car thermometer read 61. I just went to Lowes in shorts. Buy some flowers to plant tomorrow? Some red and white petunias might look nice for New Year’s... 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ottawa Blizzard said: Keep hearing different ideas of how January, and indeed the winter, will turn out. Up here in Canada, Environment Canada is calling for a mild winter ,while The Weather Network is calling for a cold winter. Ryan Maue is calling for a warm first half of January while JB is calling for a big flip to cold. Will be interesting to see how it all turns out. I hope this doesn't go the way of 2005-2006 - that winter was originally predicted to be cold only for January to be a torch. How’s the snowpack doing up in Ottawa? I have some time off and was considering heading north to get in some cross country skiing. Certainly not happening around here for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 23 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: My car thermometer read 61. I just went to Lowes in shorts. Only 37 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2019 Author Share Posted December 27, 2019 We're going to go into January with lake temps like this. Very rare. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2019 Author Share Posted December 27, 2019 Guess where the warm front is. Thought it felt muggy out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2019 Author Share Posted December 27, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2019 Author Share Posted December 27, 2019 Its warmer here right now than anywhere in USA besides south Texas and Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2019 Author Share Posted December 27, 2019 1 hour ago, Ottawa Blizzard said: Keep hearing different ideas of how January, and indeed the winter, will turn out. Up here in Canada, Environment Canada is calling for a mild winter ,while The Weather Network is calling for a cold winter. Ryan Maue is calling for a warm first half of January while JB is calling for a big flip to cold. Will be interesting to see how it all turns out. I hope this doesn't go the way of 2005-2006 - that winter was originally predicted to be cold only for January to be a torch. I'm starting to get worried as the Euro weeklies show a torch through all of January. That strong PV is a huge issue. We are basically at a neutral Enso state yet we are getting dominated by a PAC flow similar to that of an El Nino. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Euro was a little better verbatim, actually shows a little snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Gfs has been damn consistent that's for sure.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 I have no freaking clue with this pattern. It’s like storms try and get a late start on the EC after being shredded. IDK. I’m losing hope here. Another week or so of ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 This coincides with the MJO going into phases 8/1/2. Quite a lot of spread still. MJO is practically non existent when it heads towards the center, especially when it enters the colder phases, 8-1 & 2, so yeah it's a player this yr but it's also far from being a driver. Hopefully something changes soon!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2019 Author Share Posted December 27, 2019 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: MJO is practically non existent when it heads towards the center, especially when it enters the colder phases, 8-1 & 2, so yeah it's a player this yr but it's also far from being a driver. Hopefully something changes soon! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Yeah, everything is a non driver for warmth yet we are setting record highs and it doesn't look to be ending. I've never seen anything like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Got any links to understanding mjo and Northeastern weather. It’s like you guys are talking voodoo. I can’t find anything understandable on the Google machine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Well it hasn't been nearly as much of a torch here, hell I can finally see my driveway lol We hit mid 40's once last week but we also had lows of 2, -3 and -10, which offsets the average daily temps..I have about 12" more snow this December than last, which isn't saying much lol The next several days we are under the influence of a cutter so it makes sense to be warm.. Life's to short for me to worry about what's coming a month from now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 11 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Got any links to understanding mjo and Northeastern weather. It’s like you guys are talking voodoo. I can’t find anything understandable on the Google machine. It's because none of is amateurs, and professionals alike are having a hard time explaining the overall factor to this crap pattern. Only thing I'm hoping for is it lasts for about two more weeks and we flip for the last 6 week's of winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Hooked up my weather station yesterday so kinda looking forward to some rain lol I wanna test out the gauge and get rid of this crusty snow .. Gauge did well this morning with 0.11" liquid, on par with neighboring stations.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2019 Author Share Posted December 27, 2019 There you go Syracuse posters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Atleast pattern will get active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Sleet or ZR looking more likely here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 The disappointing part of this winter so far to me has been the constant teases we keep getting. Long range picks up a few nice features... holds them consistent until we hit a week out and then it just slowly rips them apart to nothing for us. The LES setup for New Years that has hung on for days now even looks to be questionable. Looks like our only saving grace will be to hang onto the above normal lake temps and hope we can get a cold outbreak later into January like we did last year to just get all our snow in one quick shot. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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